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    题名: Inflation and economic growth in China: An empirical analysis
    作者: Hwang, J.-T.;Wu, Ming-Jia
    吳銘家
    贡献者: 東亞所
    关键词: China;Growth;Inflation;Nonlinearity;Threshold effect
    日期: 2011-09
    上传时间: 2015-06-22 15:55:30 (UTC+8)
    摘要: Using official provincial data for gross provincial product, consumer price index and other explanatory variables from 1986 to 2006, the present paper investigates the nonlinear effects of inflation on economic growth in China. The main finding of the study is that the inflation threshold effect is highly significant and robust in China. Above the 2.50 percent threshold, every 1-percentage point increase in the inflation rate impedes economic growth by 0.61 percent; below this threshold, every 1-percentage point increase in the inflation rate stimulates growth by 0.53 percent. This indicates that high inflation harms economic growth, whereas moderate inflation benefits growth. We suggest that China should maintain a moderate inflation rate for long-run growth. © 2011 The Authors China & World Economy © 2011 Institute of World Economics and Politics, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences.
    關聯: China and World Economy, 19(5), 67-84
    数据类型: article
    DOI 連結: http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1749-124X.2011.01259.x
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1749-124X.2011.01259.x
    显示于类别:[東亞研究所] 期刊論文

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