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    题名: Estimating the impact of exchange-rate uncertainty on unemployment in developing Asian countries
    作者: Shen, Chung-Hua;Ting, Chung-Te;Chang, Shu-Chen
    沈中華
    贡献者: 金融系
    关键词: autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity;Exchange Rate;Generation Time;Nonlinear Model
    日期: 2007
    上传时间: 2015-03-23 18:08:14 (UTC+8)
    摘要: This paper employs a nonlinear model of bivariate generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity with mean to generate time-varying exchange-rate uncertainty and to simultaneously estimate the effects of exchange-rate uncertainty on unemployment in three developing Asian countries. This approach thus avoids overstating the level of uncertainty which has been characteristic of previous studies. It is found that the argument that lagged unemployment has an impact on exchange-rate uncertainty holds for South Korea and Taiwan, but it is less obvious in Singapore. On the other hand, in Taiwan and Singapore, the effect, that increased exchange-rate uncertainty has an obvious, positive impact on unemployment has not been substantiated.
    關聯: IEEE International Conference on Grey Systems and Intelligent Services, Date of Conference: 18-20 Nov. 2007, Page(s):1426 - 1429
    数据类型: conference
    DOI 連結: http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/GSIS.2007.4443508
    DOI: 10.1109/GSIS.2007.4443508
    显示于类别:[金融學系] 會議論文

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