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    政大機構典藏 > 商學院 > 統計學系 > 期刊論文 >  Item 140.119/71482


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    题名: The Impacts of Extreme Events of Dynamic Interactions on Interest Rate, Real House Price and Stock Markets
    作者: 陳明吉
    Tsai, Hsiu-Jung;Ming-Chi Chen
    贡献者: 財管系
    日期: 2010
    上传时间: 2014-11-14 18:17:01 (UTC+8)
    摘要: This study investigates the possible impact of various events among interest rate, real house price and stock market dynamic interactions on the United States. We used dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) analysis, a multivariate GARCH method, with monthly US data from 1973 to 2008. We consider the dynamic correlation change among interest rate, real house price and stock market following the Watergate Affair, Iran-Iraq War, Stock Market Crash, Iraq-Kuwait War, Soviet Coup, Asian Financial Crisis, 9/11 Attack, Hurricane Katrina and Sub-Prime Mortgage Crisis. Evidence shows that the correlation between FFR-RHP and FFR-DJIA markets are more responsive to extreme events than other pair-wise markets, probably because the interest rate is often the government`s tool to adjust the economy. In addition, we discovered that the inter-asset coefficients of correlation often have structural changes when an economic event occurs, so investors should make appropriate adjustments in their portfolios.
    關聯: International Research Journal of Finance and Economics, 35, 187-201
    数据类型: article
    显示于类别:[統計學系] 期刊論文

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