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| Title: | 海上長城的重構或破壞？：中國崛起與南海海上交通線之政策 (2000-2014)
Building or Breaking the Great Wall at Sea: The Rise of China and the Politics of Sea Lines of Communication in the South China Sea (2000-2014) |
| Authors: | 潘荷西
Plata Díaz, José Luis |
| Contributors: | 楊昊
Yang, Hao
潘荷西
Plata Díaz, José Luis |
| Keywords: | 東南亞國家協會
行為準則
衝突管理
信心建立措施
合作
能源
賽局理論
海上聯合巡邏
軍事發展
非傳統安全
資源
中國崛起
海上交通線
南海
南海太平島提案
主權
ASEAN
Code of Conduct
Conflict Management
Confidence Building Measures
Cooperation
Energy
Game Theory
Joint Maritime Patrols
Military Development
Non-Traditional Security
Resources
Rise of China
Sea Lines of Communication
South China Sea
South China Sea Peace Island Initiative
Sovereignty |
| Date: | 2013 |
| Issue Date: | 2014-08-12 14:08:39 (UTC+8) |
| Abstract: | 摘要
本研究採用賽局理論 (stag-hunt model) 來推論假設南海海上交通線 (SLOCs) 安全合作的情形．根據結果顯示，爭奪南海的國家，其解決衝突最好的策略應以合作的方式來提昇無論是在石油進口、貿易活動以及該地區船隻航行等方面的安全性。
為縮短假設情境與現實情況的差距，一方面，我們找出海上交通線安全合作之難點：主權、資源、和軍事發展；另一方面，也提出能促進其合作的正面因素：舊有的海上聯合巡邏、非傳統安全合作相關領堿、以及未來的南海行為準則 (SCS COC)。
最後我們介紹了「南海太平島提案」，試圖建立與協調新的海上聯合巡邏來降低該地區的緊張關係，建立彼此之間的信任，並改善衝突的情況。
根據本研究結論表示，我們的研究發現以及一些政策將能協助實施南海海上交通線安全的合作。
Abstract
This research applies game theory (stag-hunt model) to a hypothetical situation of cooperation on Sea Lines of Communication (SLOCs) protection in South China Sea (SCS). The results indicate that, in theory, the best option for all disputant countries in the issue is to cooperate in order to increase the security of their oil imports, trade, and ships crossing the region.
To overcome the gap between the theoretical model and the reality, we have identified those factors that will hinder the implementation of cooperation on SLOCs protection, sovereignty, resources, and military development; as well as those that can be used to counterbalance the effect of negative ones, previous joint maritime patrols, non-traditional security cooperation, and the future South China Sea Code of Conduct (SCS COC).
Finally, we have presented the South China Sea Peace Island Initiative, a proposal to coordinate and create new joint maritime patrols in the region as a mean to reduce tensions, build confidence, and improve the relationship between disputants.
We conclude presenting the main findings of this research, as well as those policies that will be useful to implement cooperation on SLOCs protection in SCS. |
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[accessed on 20 Jun 2014] |
| Description: | 碩士
國立政治大學
國際研究英語碩士學位學程 (IMPIS)
101862009
102 |
| Source URI: | http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G1018620091 |
| Data Type: | thesis |
| Appears in Collections: | [國際研究英語碩士學位學程] 學位論文
|
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