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    Title: 指數股票型證券投資信託基金(ETF)之績效評比
    Authors: 陳添賜
    Contributors: 郭維裕
    陳添賜
    Keywords: 指數股票型證券投資信託基金
    績效評比
    績效指標
    基金績效
    ETF
    Date: 2012
    Issue Date: 2014-06-04 14:43:01 (UTC+8)
    Abstract: 本研究將過去五年各ETFs基金之資料,針對Sharpe Ratio、Information Ratio、Omega Ratio、Sortino Ratio及Gain-Loss Ratio等衡量指標當作績效評比依據。
    首先,分別從個別平均報酬及本利和的角度,進行ANOVA 之F檢定分析,檢視各績效指標在以一個月或三個月為衡量期間,最好(Winner)和最差(Loser)ETFs之次月(季) 平均報酬及本利和,是否存在顯著差異性。
    再來,單獨利用Sharpe Ratio、Information Ratio、Omega Ratio、Sortino Ratio及Gain-Loss Ratio等指標,排序挑選每月(季)之前七檔(Winner) ETFs,除一個月為投資前間之Sharpe Ratio外,其餘各指標在次月(季)的投資績效似乎都不明顯。然而績效指標可預先發出警訊,當指標與下一個衡量期間之報酬率背離時,可當成空頭來臨前的警示燈號。
    此時在研究中,思考可擬定投資策略,分別同時做多(long)其最好之七檔ETFs,及做空(short)最差之七檔ETFs,即使是經歷金融海嘯的過程,依此策略Sharpe ratio、Omega ratio、Sortino ratio或Gain-Loss ratio在絕大部分時間裡都是正報酬。
    最後,迴歸分析結果顯示,要找出適合解釋ETFs報酬率能力的績效指標並不容易。並未有單一績效衡量指標具有對不同ETF皆有很好的預測能力,可見在金融市場裡,想單靠幾個績效指標來解釋ETFs基金的報酬率並不易達成。同時在研究基金績效是否具有持續性上,結論也發現以各績效衡量指標過去一個月的績效,並沒有能力去預測ETFs基金未來的價格,沒有証據可支持ETFs基金績效具有持續性。符合”所有基金績效,均為過去績效,不代表未來之績效表現”;建議機構或個別投資人買賣ETFs基金應著重於研究產經未來趨勢,而非過去績效。
    Reference: 一、中文文獻:
    1、顏錚瑜,2006,共同基金評比與績效之探討,碩士論文,淡江大學保險學系保險經營碩士班。
    2、邱永和等人,2008,國內共同基金之績效評估,會計學報。

    二、英文文獻:
    1、Carl Bacon, 2009, “How Sharp is the Sharpe ratio”
    2、Mutual Fund performance Journal of Business, 39, 1966, pages 119-138
    3、Jensen Michael C., 1968, "The performance of mutual funds in the period1945-64", Journal of Finance 23, 389-416
    4、Carlson, Robert S., 1970, "Aggregate performance of mutual funds", Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 5, 1-31
    5、Sortino F & van der Meer R, Downside risk, Journal of Portfolio Management, Summer 1991
    6、Hendricks, Darryll, Jayendu Patel, and Richard Zeckhauser, 1993, "Hot hands in mutual funds: Short-run persistence of relative performance, 1974-1988", Journal of Finance 48, 93-130
    7、Sortino F, van de Meer R & Plantinga, 1999, The Dutch Triangle : a framework to measure upside potential relative to downside risk, Journal of Portfolio Management 26, pages 50-58
    8、Shadwick WF & Keating C, 2002, A Universal Performance Measure, Journal of Performance Measurement, Spring, 59-84
    9、Eling M, & Schuhmacher F, 2006, Does the Choice of Performance Measure Influence the Evaluation of Hedge Funds, Journal of Banking and Finance

    三、網頁資料:
    1、李存修、邱顯比,共同基金評比,中華民國證券投資信託暨顧問同業公會委託台灣大學財務金融系(所)邱顯比與李存修兩位教授所做的共同基金績效評比表。網站:http://www.fin.ntu.edu.tw
    2、元大寶來投信。網站:https://www.yuantafunds.com/
    Description: 碩士
    國立政治大學
    經營管理碩士學程(EMBA)
    100932140
    101
    Source URI: http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0100932140
    Data Type: thesis
    Appears in Collections:[Executive Master of Business Administration] Theses

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