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    Title: 東協─印度自由貿易協定之研究
    A Survey on ASEAN-India Free Trade Agreement
    Authors: 黃仲歡
    Huang, Jhong Huan
    Contributors: 劉德海
    Liou, To Hai
    黃仲歡
    Huang, Jhong Huan
    Keywords: 東協
    印度
    東協─印度自由貿易協定
    ASEAN
    India
    ASEAN-India Free Trade Agreement
    Date: 2013
    Issue Date: 2014-03-03 15:36:18 (UTC+8)
    Abstract: 2002年第一屆東協─印度高峰會上,印度、東協雙方同意啟動AIFTA談判,至今雙方已於2003、2009、2013年分別簽署AIFTA的架構協定、貨品貿易協定以及服務業貿易暨投資協定。本研究的主旨便在於探討AIFTA之源起、發展過程與現況,並展望其未來,進而印證以下論點:AIFTA的成立與發展受到多重因素的驅動,但透過對於AIFTA成立源起、談判過程與成果的討論可以發現,成立至今,儘管關注AIFTA所蘊含的經濟利得與損失,政治、策略性考量的影響力多次超越經濟考量,在關鍵時刻成為驅動AIFTA發展進程的首要考量、決定性因素。

    在緒論之後,本研究首先分別檢視驅動印度、東協同意成立AIFTA的多重考量,並試圖對其相對影響力進行分析,最後發現印度、東協對於彼此戰略重要性的認知是驅動AIFTA成立的首要因素,而非經濟吸引力。其次,對於東協─印度經貿關係稍作說明,進一步了解影響AIFTA談判的經濟因素。再次,檢視AIFTA的制度性發展,並從談判過程、成果內涵、經濟效果、戰略效應等面向加以分析,然後發現,其談判之所以達成並非因為雙方之經濟利益出現合致,而是基於對外部情勢的策略性回應。而經濟、戰略效應的分析結果也與之形成呼應。最後則總結研究發現並對未來研究提出建議。
    At the First ASEAN-India Summit held in 2002, ASEAN and India agreed to launch the negotiation of AIFTA. Then the AIFTA Framework Agreement, Agreement on Trade in Goods and the Agreement on Trade in Service and Investment were inked in 2003, 2009 and 2013 respectively. The thesis aims at discussing the origin, development and outcome of AIFTA and argues that among the multiple factors, the political and strategic considerations overrode the economic ones, consequently becoming the primary consideration and decisive factor at the critical moments of AIFTA’s development.

    The thesis composes six chapters. Chapter 1 is the Introduction. Chapter 2 and 3 analyze the considerations that drove India and ASEAN to form AIFTA, and try to evaluate the relative importance of these considerations. The argument here is that the primary consideration that drove India and ASEAN to form AIFTA is their perceived strategic importance to each other rather than economic attractiveness. Chapter 4 is an overview on ASEAN-India bilateral economic relations, which helps to understand the economic factors influencing the AIFTA’s development further. Chapter 5 examines the overall institutional development of AIFTA, the analyses on its negotiation process, outcomes, economic effects and strategic implications included. The finding here is that during the negotiation process, the political and strategic reaction to external situations rather than the convergence of economic interest led to the completion of AIFTA negotiation. The analysis on economic and strategic effects exemplifies the above arguments. Chapter 6 sums up the research findings of the thesis and makes several suggestions for the further research.
    Reference: 壹、中文資料

    方天賜,〈印度實施經濟改革以來的外交走向〉,《問題與研究》,第40卷,第4期(2001),頁81-96。
    史惠慈等,《東協對外洽簽FTA之策略及對我國在東協市場之影響(文件編號:1166A7)》(臺北:外交部/經濟部國貿局委託,2011年)。
    吳玲君,〈東協國家與東亞經濟合作:從「東協加三」到「東亞高峰會」〉,《問題與研究》,第46卷,第6期(2007),頁117-139。
    李瓊莉,〈「東協加 N」FTA的政治、安全效益〉,江啟臣編,《東亞經濟整合趨勢》(臺北: 臺灣經濟硏究院,2009年),頁 75-98。
    徐遵慈,〈印度之經濟發展與對外經貿關係〉,鄭端耀主編,《印度》(台北市:財團法人兩岸交流遠景基金會、政治大學國際關係研究中心,2008年)。
    徐遵慈,《印度與東協、韓、日、中洽簽FTA對我之影響與我因應策略之研究(文件編號:1166A2)》(臺北:外交部/經濟部國貿局委託,2010年)。
    楊永明,〈東協區域論壇:亞太安全之正負間多邊對話機制〉,《政治科學論叢》,第11期 (1999年12月),頁145-180。
    葉華容,〈東協對外發展FTA的戰略與進程〉,《國際經濟情勢雙週報》,第1760期(2012年08月),頁5-12。
    劉德海,〈澳洲因應中國崛起與中國FTA策略的對策〉,《WTO研究》,第84期(2007年),頁125-148。

    貳、英文資料

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    Severino, Rodolfo. “ASEAN and India- A Partnership for Our Time.” ASEAN Official Website, 9 Jan. 2001, at< http://www.asean.org/resources/2012-02- 10-08-47-56/speeches-statements-of-the-former-secretaries-general-of-asean/item/asean-and-india-a-partnership-for-our-time> (accessed on 2013/09/10)
    Severino, Rodolfo. “ASEAN: the Imperative of Regional Integration,” ASEAN Official Website, 6 January 2003, at < http://www.asean.org/resources/2012- 02-10-08-47-56/speeches-statements-of-the-former-secretaries-general-of-asean/item/asean-the-imperative-of-regional-integration > (accessed on 2013/12/03)
    Severino, Rodolfo. “Regionalism: The Stakes of Southeast Asia,” ASEAN Official Website, 24 May 1999, at < http://www.asean.org/resources/2012-02-10-08- 47-56/speeches-statements-of-the-former-secretaries-general-of-asean/item/regionalism-the-stakes-for-southeast-asia > (accessed on 2013/12/01)
    Singh, Manmonhan. “Prime Minister Manmonhan Singh’s Address at the Third SEAN-India Business Summit.” India Prime Minister’s Office Website, 19 Oct. 2004, at < http://pmindia.gov.in/speech-details.php?nodeid=30> (accessed on 2013/08/02)
    Singh, Manmohan. “Driving Global Business: India’s New Priorities, Asia’s New Realities.” India Prime Minister’s Office Website, 18 Mar. 2006, at < http://pmindia. gov.in/speech-details.php?nodeid=287> (accessed on 2013/08/03)
    Sinha, Yashwant. “India and ASEAN: Security Paradigm AD 2000, Speech by the Indian External Affairs Minister, Yashwant Sinha, in Singapore, 2 June 2000,” In Foreign policy annual 2001, edited by Mahendra Gaur ed., pp. 91-96. Delhi : Kalpaz Publications, 2005.
    Sinha, Yashwant. “Remarks by Shri Yashwant Sinha External Affairs Minister of India at the Plenary Session Second India ASEAN Business Summit, New Delhi, 4-6 September 2003.” In Foreign policy annual 2004, edited by Mahendra Gaur, pp.220-222. Delhi : Kalpaz Publications, 2005.
    Sundram, Pushpanathan. “From Regional Integration to Global Partnerships.” ASEAN Official Website, 23 January 2010, at < http://www.asean.org/ news/item/keynote-speech-by-he-pushpanathan-sundram-deputy-secretary-general-of-asean-for-asean-economic-community-at-the-confederation-of-indian-industry-partnership-summit-2010-on-global-partnership-meeting-the-challenges> (accessed on 2013/12/15)
    Vajpayee, Atal Bihar. “Inaugural Address by Prime Minister Atal Bihar Vajpayee at the First India-ASEAN Business Summit.” Press Information Bureau Website, India, 17 Oct. 2002, at < http://pib.nic.in/archieve/lreleng/lyr2002 /roct2002/ 17102002/r171020026.html> (accessed on 2013/07/31)
    Vajpayee, Atal Bihari. “Speech of Prime Minister Atal Bihari Vajpayee at ASEAN Business and Investment Summit.” Press Information Bureau Website, India, 7 Oct. 2003, at < http://pib.nic.in/archieve/lreleng/lyr2003/roct2003/07102003/r0710200 32.html> (accessed on 2013/07/31)
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    四、網路資源

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    “ASEAN-India Dialogue Relations.” ASEAN Official Website, at < http://www.asean. org/asean/external-relations/india/item/asean-india-dialogue-relations> (accessed on 2013/10/12)
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