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    題名: 家族企業與財務分析師盈餘預測
    Family Firms and Financial Analysts` Earnings Forecasts
    作者: 楊凱傑
    貢獻者: 詹凌菁
    楊凱傑
    關鍵詞: 家族企業
    分析師盈餘預測
    控制股東
    公司治理
    Family firms
    Analysts’ earnings forecast
    Controlling shareholder
    Corporate governance
    日期: 2010
    上傳時間: 2013-09-05 14:28:26 (UTC+8)
    摘要: 研究顯示，家族企業之數量與經濟影響力在全球企業環境中迅速成長並占有一席之地，成為具競爭力的存在，本研究以我國2001至2008年的上市（櫃）公司為樣本，探討財務分析師針對家族與非家族企業在預測行為上之差異，本研究之迴歸模型以分析師預測誤差、追蹤意願及預測離散程度三種特性分析財務分析師的預測行為，研究顯示相較於非家族企業，分析師對家族企業之預測意願較低，追蹤數量明顯較少，在預測結果上，家族企業會使分析師的預測產生較大的誤差，且各分析師間預測結果的差異程度也較大，本研究藉此結果推論家族企業中控制股東與其他股東代理問題的存在，及家族成員擔任管理者或董事等重要職位導致董事會喪失監督職能，在資訊揭露的數量與品質上表現較差。
    Prior research shows that family firms have grown rapidly and played an important role in the global corporate environment. This study examines the relation between family firms and financial analysts’ earnings forecast behaviors in Taiwan from year 2001 to 2008. I use several analysts forecast attributes: forecasts error, number of analysts following, and forecast dispersion. The results indicate that family firms generally have less analysts following, greater analysts’ forecast errors and greater forecast dispersion. These findings support the argument that the existence of conflict between majority and minority shareholders and that family members serving as managers or members of the board may weaken the disclosure of the quantity and quality of firm-specific information.
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    描述: 碩士
    國立政治大學
    會計研究所
    98353039
    99
    資料來源: http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0098353039
    資料類型: thesis
    顯示於類別:[會計學系] 學位論文

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