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    政大機構典藏 > 商學院 > 會計學系 > 學位論文 >  Item 140.119/60357
    Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/60357


    Title: 家族企業與財務分析師盈餘預測
    Family Firms and Financial Analysts` Earnings Forecasts
    Authors: 楊凱傑
    Contributors: 詹凌菁
    楊凱傑
    Keywords: 家族企業
    分析師盈餘預測
    控制股東
    公司治理
    Family firms
    Analysts’ earnings forecast
    Controlling shareholder
    Corporate governance
    Date: 2010
    Issue Date: 2013-09-05 14:28:26 (UTC+8)
    Abstract: 研究顯示,家族企業之數量與經濟影響力在全球企業環境中迅速成長並占有一席之地,成為具競爭力的存在,本研究以我國2001至2008年的上市(櫃)公司為樣本,探討財務分析師針對家族與非家族企業在預測行為上之差異,本研究之迴歸模型以分析師預測誤差、追蹤意願及預測離散程度三種特性分析財務分析師的預測行為,研究顯示相較於非家族企業,分析師對家族企業之預測意願較低,追蹤數量明顯較少,在預測結果上,家族企業會使分析師的預測產生較大的誤差,且各分析師間預測結果的差異程度也較大,本研究藉此結果推論家族企業中控制股東與其他股東代理問題的存在,及家族成員擔任管理者或董事等重要職位導致董事會喪失監督職能,在資訊揭露的數量與品質上表現較差。
    Prior research shows that family firms have grown rapidly and played an important role in the global corporate environment. This study examines the relation between family firms and financial analysts’ earnings forecast behaviors in Taiwan from year 2001 to 2008. I use several analysts forecast attributes: forecasts error, number of analysts following, and forecast dispersion. The results indicate that family firms generally have less analysts following, greater analysts’ forecast errors and greater forecast dispersion. These findings support the argument that the existence of conflict between majority and minority shareholders and that family members serving as managers or members of the board may weaken the disclosure of the quantity and quality of firm-specific information.
    Reference: 一、 中文部分
    周行一、陳錦村與陳坤宏,1996,家族企業、聯屬持股與公司價值之研究,中國財務學刊,第4卷第1期(7月):115-139。
    金成隆、蘇淑慧與呂倩如,2009,家族公司與盈餘品質關係之研究:所有權、管理權與控制權,臺大管理論叢,第19卷第S2期(9月):35-70。
    林宛瑩與許崇源,2008,台灣集團企業之控股型態及公司治理衡量指標之研究與建議,交大管理學報,第28卷第1期(6月):269-312。
    林明謙,2001,股權結構、董事組成對大股東介入股市行為影響之研究,私立輔仁大學金融研究所碩士論文。
    林美鳳、金成隆與林良楓,2009,股權結構、會計保守性與信用評等關係之研究,臺大管理論叢,第20卷第1期(12月):289-330。
    林嬋娟與張哲嘉,2009,董監事異常變動、家族企業與企業舞弊之關聯性,會計評論,第48期(1月):1-33。
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    葉銀華,1999,家族控股集團、核心企業與報酬互動之研究--台灣與香港證券市場之比較,管理評論,第18卷第2期(5月):59-86。
    廖秀梅、李建然與吳祥華,2006,董事會結構特性與公司績效關係之研究--兼論台灣家族企業因素的影響,東吳經濟商學學報,第54期(9月):117-160。




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    Description: 碩士
    國立政治大學
    會計研究所
    98353039
    99
    Source URI: http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0098353039
    Data Type: thesis
    Appears in Collections:[會計學系] 學位論文

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