政大機構典藏-National Chengchi University Institutional Repository(NCCUR):Item 140.119/60336

政大機構典藏-National Chengchi University Institutional Repository(NCCUR):Item 140.119/60336

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Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/60336

Title:	民主會影響經濟成長嗎?追蹤資料分量迴歸的應用 Does democracy affect economic growth? a panel quantile analysis
Authors:	蕭宇翔
Contributors:	林馨怡蕭宇翔
Keywords:	民主經濟成長經濟波動分量迴歸追蹤資料
Date:	2010
Issue Date:	2013-09-05 14:20:53 (UTC+8)
Abstract:	本論文以分量迴歸估計方法探討民主與經濟發展的關係, 在政治民主對經濟成長的影響上,使用全世界78國1960-2008年的年資料並以追蹤資料分量迴歸方法進行分析, 實證結果發現民主對經濟成長的影響具非線性的關係, 且在經濟成長率高時呈正U型的影響,而在低經濟成長時兩者呈倒U型關係。此結果顯示在經濟繁榮時民主透過競租行為影響經濟較為嚴重, 反之經濟蕭條時,再分配政策產生的負面效果較為明顯。另一方面,本文以動態追蹤資料分量迴歸分法分析民主政治對經濟波動的影響, 分析全世界82國在1960-2008年的追蹤資料,發現民主在經濟波動越劇烈時,穩定經濟的效果愈強且顯著, 而在經濟穩定時,則為不顯著的正向影響。實證結果支持Rodrik (1999a,2000b)的理論,在經濟波動越劇烈的國家, 民主政治越能透過政治和解來穩定經濟波動。
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Description:	碩士國立政治大學經濟學系 98258025 99
Source URI:	http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0098258025
Data Type:	thesis
Appears in Collections:	[Department of Economics] Theses

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