| Abstract: | 在國科會人文處、政治學門與社科中心的鼎力支持下，「台灣選舉與民主化調查」（Taiwan’s Election and Democratization Study, TEDS）在過去八年順利運作，並釋出資料供國內外學術界使用，創造極有價值之公共研究資源。為促使大型面訪整合機制得以順利延續，同時建立我國政治學門可長可久的研究基礎，TEDS委員會規劃在未來四年之選舉週期，預計將執行四項大型民調計畫，其分別為： 1.「2009年縣市長選舉民調計畫」（2009年8月至2010年7月） 2.「2010年直轄市選舉民調計畫」（2010年8月至2011年7月） 3.「2012年立法委員選舉民調計畫」（2011年8月至2012年7月） 4.「2012年總統選舉民調計畫」（2011年11月至2012年10月）惟第四項之「2012年總統選舉民調計畫」因總統選舉時程（2012年3月）與第八屆立委選舉（2012年1月）極為接近，與第三年執行時段部分重疊，勢必需另行規劃，責成分工團隊於2011年5月另提一年期計畫申請書。基於此一考量，TEDS團隊先針對前三項重要選舉提出本「選舉與民主化調查」三年期研究計畫，研究期限從2009年8月至2012年7月。本三年期的「台灣選舉與民主化調查」整體規劃，將至少具有三項優點。一、多年期規劃有利於執行流程之一貫與標準化，資料品質更為提高、更有累積性。同時自本三年期計畫起，TEDS除了個體民調資料之外，也將建立整體資料模組，彙整與制度、事件等環境脈絡相關之整體資料檔（TEDS macro report）供學界參考，使微觀個體分析能緊密結合宏觀之整體脈絡。二、 任何制度的建立必須歷經時間的檢驗，「台灣選舉與民主化調查」建構國內政治學界大型面訪整合的機制，透過本多年期的整體研究籌畫，相信更將鞏固此運作機制，並在政治學界建立跨校合作的長久模式。三、我國各項不同選舉之間隔時間參差，若逐年規劃大型面訪民調，常耗費過多人力、時間於短期規劃案之撰寫及申請，且無法預作資源之配置；在多年期計畫之下，對於人力及經費預算的配置更能節約與有效，內容也更周延。未來TEDS計畫之執行仍將繼續秉持「過程公開、結果共享」之原則，在核心問卷之外，亦向學界公開徵求加掛問卷題目；並於調查結束、完成資料檢誤之後，立即釋出原始數據檔、編碼簿及與該次選舉相關之整體資訊供學界使用。
Under the solid supports from both the National Science Council and Social Science Research Center in the past eight years, Taiwan’s Election and Democratization Study (TEDS) project has worked well and provided scholars important data for academic research, which produces valuable public goods for the social sciences community. In order to maintain the integration mechanism of opinion survey and to provide the research source of political science in Taiwan, we present this three-year research project of “Taiwan’s Election and Democratization Study, 2009M-2012L.” During the next four-year period, four opinion surveys will be held, including: 1.“the Survey of County Magistrate/City Mayoral Elections in 2009” (TEDS2009M, from August 2009 to July 2010), 2.“the Survey of Taipei’s and Kaohsiung’s Mayoral Elections in 2010” (TEDS2010C, from August 2010 to July 2011), 3.“the Survey of Legislative Yuan Election in 2012” (TEDS2012L, from August 2011 to July 2012), 4. “the Survey of Presidential Election in 2012” (TEDS2012P, from November 2011 to October 2012). However, due to the nine-month overlapping research period of the 4th survey with the 3rd one, the TEDS Committee decides to focus on the first three elections in this proposed three-year project, i.e., TEDS2009M-2012L, and leave the 2012 presidential election to a separate on-year project. There are at least three advantages of this three-year TEDS research project. First of all, this new project will include a macro report module for each major survey to inform data users of the contextual information related to that particular election. This new macro data archive will further facilitate multilevel modeling, that is, the integration of micro-level analysis with meso- and macro-level contextual information. Second, it goes without saying that all kinds of institutions must be tested by time. The longer it functions and practices, the more institutionalized it will be. Viewed in this light, the TEDS undoubtedly will be much more institutionalized by this research project. Third, the control over research budget can be more effective. The project still upholds the principle of “open process, and common sharing.” In addition to core questionnaires, the TEDS committee also welcomes the application for extra question items from the academic community. Once each subproject is completed, the raw data set, the codebook, as well as the macro report will be released to the public immediately. |
