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Title:	大學時期表現及選秀順位對於職業生涯績效預測能力-以NBA為例 The prospectus ability from college stats and draft position to professional career performance - using NBA as an example.
Authors:	魏子安
Contributors:	林良楓魏子安
Keywords:	NBA 籃球運動員績效衡量選秀順位 EFF值 PER值
Date:	2011
Issue Date:	2012-10-30 13:58:30 (UTC+8)
Abstract:	本研究嘗試探討美國大學籃球選手使用NBA官方效率衡量方法，計算並比較美國大學選手兩個時期其中之關聯，並期望找出最能預測NCAA籃球選手進入NBA之關鍵成功因素，以及探討選手大學表現與其預職業生涯表現之關聯性。本研究使用1996-2000年期間，208位參與選秀進入NBA的球員當作觀察對象，並以其進入NBA後10年之表現，作為評估其職業生涯之表現。研究結果發現球員大學表現以NBA官方效率公式所計算之效率值越高，選秀順位就越前面，尤其選手的得分與阻攻影響選秀順序最大，得分越高與阻攻次數越多，選秀順位就越前面。其次，大學時期的表現與進入職業以後的表現不論用NBA的效率值，或Hollinger 的效率值都有顯著正相關。就整體而言，大學時期的養成表現，確實可預測球員職業生涯的績效。
Reference:	一、中文文獻王浚宇，2006，NBA外籍球員薪資與績效衡量之關聯性研究，國立政治大學會計研究所碩士論文。陳光宏，2009，台灣職業棒球員參與國際賽前後績效之比較分析，國立台北大學會計研究所碩士論文。林良楓、夏雯俐，2010，職業運動員重簽薪資與績效之關聯性－以美國MLB為例，第二屆海峽兩岸會計學術研討會。林良楓、謝嘉峰，2010，職業運動員出走年績效評估，兩岸會計及管理研討會，首都經貿大學。邱咏平，2011，球員在合約年及非合約年績效-以NBA為例，國立政治大學會計研究所碩士論文。翁銘駿，2003，職棒球員薪資決定因素之研究—以中華職棒為例，國立台北大學會計學系碩士論文。廖振宏，2006，解析職棒球員在出走年的表現－以美國職棒大聯盟為例，國立清華大學經濟學系碩士論文。二、英文文獻 Berri, D. J. 2005. Economics and the national basketball association: surveying the literature at the tip-off. In: J. Fizel (Ed.) The handbook of sports economics research. Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Inc, London, 21–48 Berri, D. J. 2008. A simple measure of worker productivity in the national basketball association. In: B. Humphreys, D. Howard (Ed.) The Business of sport, 3. Praeger, Westport, 1–40 Berri, D. J. 2010. Measuring performance in the national basketball association. Working paper Berri, D. J., and M. B. Schmidt. 2010. Stumbling on wins: Two economists explore the pitfalls on the road to victory in professional sports. Financial Times Press, Princeton Berri, D. J., and R. Simmons. 2009. Catching a draft: On the process of selecting quarterbacks in the national football league amateur draft. Journal of Productivity Analysis. doi:10.1007/s11123-009-0154-6 Berri, D. J., S. Brook, A. Fenn, B. Frick, and R. M. Vicente. 2005. The short supply of tall people: Explaining competitive imbalance in the national basketball association. Journal of Economic Issues 39(4):1029–1041 Berri, D. J., M. B. Schmidt, and S. L. Brook 2006. The wages of wins: Taking measure of the many myths in modern sport. Stanford University Press, USA Berri, D. J., S. L. Brook, and M. B. Schmidt. 2007. Does one simply need to score to score? International Journal of Sport Finance 2(4):190–205 Berri, D. J., S. L. Brook, and A. Fenn. 2011. From college to the pros: Predicting the NBA amateur player draft. Journal of Productivity Analysis 35:25–35 doi: 10.1007/s11123-010-0187-x Hollinger, J. 2003. Pro basketball prospectus: 2003-04. Brassey’s Inc, Washington, DC Kahn, L. M., P. D. Sherer. 1988. Racial differences in professional basketball players’ compensation. Journal of Labor Economics 6(1):40–61 Spurr, S. J. 2000. The baseball draft: A study of the ability to find talent. Journal of Sports Economics 1(1):66–85 Stiroh, K. J. 2002. Playing for keeps: Pay and performance in the NBA. Walking 2.4 series.
Description:	碩士國立政治大學會計研究所 99353041 100
Source URI:	http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0099353041
Data Type:	thesis
Appears in Collections:	[Department of Accounting] Theses

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