English  |  正體中文  |  简体中文  |  Post-Print筆數 : 27 |  Items with full text/Total items : 113311/144292 (79%)
Visitors : 50934817      Online Users : 1009
RC Version 6.0 © Powered By DSPACE, MIT. Enhanced by NTU Library IR team.
Scope Tips:
  • please add "double quotation mark" for query phrases to get precise results
  • please goto advance search for comprehansive author search
    •  Adv. Search
    Home ‧ Login ‧ Upload ‧ Help ‧ About ‧ Administer Goto mobile version


    Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/53924


    Title: 保險公司轉嫁長壽風險最適負債管理策略探討
    Other Titles: Optimal Liability Allocation to Hedge Longevity Risk for Life Insurance Companies
    Authors: 王儷玲
    Contributors: 國立政治大學風險管理與保險學系
    行政院國家科學委員會
    Keywords: 長壽風險;自然避險;負債管理;參數風險;條件風險值
    Longevity Risk;Nature Hedging Strategy;Liability Management;Parameter Risk;Conditional VaR
    Date: 2009
    Issue Date: 2012-10-22 15:45:27 (UTC+8)
    Abstract: 人類高齡化的趨勢增加了保險公司承擔年金與退休金商品負債面的長壽風險。長壽風險對保險公司而言，是具系統性的，並且無法透過大數法則來分散。本研究依據年金與壽險具有自然避險(natural hedging)的效果，提出一個最低條件風險值模型(minimize Conditional Value at Risk, CVaR)之最適負債配置策略，能夠提供保險公司有效的長壽風險避險策略。 本研究參考Cox et al. (2007)所提出的自然避險策略與Cairns, Blake and Dowd (2006b) 的二因子死亡率隨機模型建構自然避險的最適負債配置比率，模型中也加入Milevsky et al. (2006)建議的夏普指數定價模型來計算系統性長壽風險的風險溢酬率用率。不同於過去文獻，本研究考慮死亡率隨機模型中的參數風險，並進一步修正過去研究文獻必須假設死亡率必須平行移動的缺點，此外，本模型也可以應用到三種以上之多角化商品組合。本研究之模擬分析結果可以檢證最低條件風險值模型是否提供較佳的避險結果?因此，本研究所提出的模型將提供學術界與實務界對於保險公司長壽風險避險策略有更完備與正確的了解。
    By incorporating the mortality nature hedging strategy of Cox and Lin (2007) and the two-factor stochastic mortality model of Cairns et al. (2006b), this research proposes a minimize Conditional Value at Risk (CVaR) model to calculate an optimal liability strategy that insurance companies may use to hedge against the systematic mortality risk under parameter uncertainty. We further integrate the risk premium loadings of systematic risk into the proposed model with the Sharpe ratio pricing principle, as suggested by Milevsky et al. (2006), to re‡ect the importance of risk-adjusted pricing. In a multiple liabilities framework, the results can confirm whether the minimize CVaR model can lead to an optimal liability structure that has smaller quantiles liability distribution under the required loading return. In addition, we also examine whether the minimize CVaR method has a better distribution risk reduction effect for hedging longevity risk when the mortality shifts are non-parallel and the mortality process of parameters uncertainty is included.
    Relation: 基礎研究
    學術補助
    研究期間:9808~ 9907
    研究經費:579仟元
    Data Type: report
    Appears in Collections:[風險管理與保險學系] 國科會研究計畫

    Files in This Item:

    File SizeFormat
    982410H004.pdf471KbAdobe PDF21112View/Open


    All items in 政大典藏 are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved.


    社群 sharing

    著作權政策宣告 Copyright Announcement
    1.本網站之數位內容為國立政治大學所收錄之機構典藏，無償提供學術研究與公眾教育等公益性使用，惟仍請適度，合理使用本網站之內容，以尊重著作權人之權益。商業上之利用，則請先取得著作權人之授權。
    The digital content of this website is part of National Chengchi University Institutional Repository. It provides free access to academic research and public education for non-commercial use. Please utilize it in a proper and reasonable manner and respect the rights of copyright owners. For commercial use, please obtain authorization from the copyright owner in advance.

    2.本網站之製作，已盡力防止侵害著作權人之權益，如仍發現本網站之數位內容有侵害著作權人權益情事者，請權利人通知本網站維護人員(nccur@nccu.edu.tw)，維護人員將立即採取移除該數位著作等補救措施。
    NCCU Institutional Repository is made to protect the interests of copyright owners. If you believe that any material on the website infringes copyright, please contact our staff(nccur@nccu.edu.tw). We will remove the work from the repository and investigate your claim.
    DSpace Software Copyright © 2002-2004  MIT &  Hewlett-Packard  /   Enhanced by   NTU Library IR team Copyright ©   - Feedback