政大機構典藏-National Chengchi University Institutional Repository(NCCUR):Item 140.119/51644
English  |  正體中文  |  简体中文  |  Post-Print筆數 : 27 |  全文筆數/總筆數 : 113451/144438 (79%)
造訪人次 : 51244565      線上人數 : 934
RC Version 6.0 © Powered By DSPACE, MIT. Enhanced by NTU Library IR team.
搜尋範圍 查詢小技巧：
  • 您可在西文檢索詞彙前後加上"雙引號"，以獲取較精準的檢索結果
  • 若欲以作者姓名搜尋，建議至進階搜尋限定作者欄位，可獲得較完整資料
    •  進階搜尋


    請使用永久網址來引用或連結此文件: https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/51644


    題名: 美元霸權與石油金融化：再思霸權穩定論
    Dollar hegemony and financialization of oil: rethink hegemonic stability theory
    作者: 黃偉倫
    Huang, Wei Lun
    貢獻者: 鄧中堅
    黃偉倫
    Huang, Wei Lun
    關鍵詞: 美元霸權
    石油金融化
    霸權穩定論
    國際貨幣權力
    金融全球化
    Dollar Hegemony
    Financialization of Oil
    Hegemonic Stability Theory
    International Monetary Power
    Financial Globalization
    日期: 2009
    上傳時間: 2011-10-11 17:05:57 (UTC+8)
    摘要: 本論文以「美元霸權」為核心，討論美國做為貨幣霸權對於國際金融體系的影響。首先介紹霸權穩定論之理論內涵與發展，經過重新檢視霸權穩定論的思想內涵後，筆者發現霸權穩定論有許多缺陷並提出修正。其次，討論美元霸權在布列敦森林體系瓦解之後的形成與運作。美元霸權的起源是1971年尼克森將美元與黃金脫鉤，之後，經由1974年「石油-美元計價機制」與金融全球化進一步鞏固美元的霸權地位。最後，以「石油金融化」現象為例，說明美國是如何結合「石油-美元計價機制」與「金融全球化」來鞏固美元霸權地位，最後也導致國際金融體系的不穩定。

    本文認為，美國將石油市場變成了一個大型賭場。石油價格暴漲暴跌將對世界經濟，尤其是發展中國家帶來不利影響。「石油-美元計價機制」是一種「誘捕」，它強化了從屬國家對美元的依賴。憑著不對稱的金融相互依賴，美國穩居霸權地位。然而，一個穩定的國際金融體系不能只靠主導國家權力的使用，一個階層狀態的國際關係，還必須有從屬國家配合的意願。隨著「二次大戰效應」的消失，美國無法再以國內市場的龐大需求滿足發展中國家的出口導向政策，因此，身為主導國家的美國必須運用國際金融發展的不對稱性，提供從屬國家支持美元霸權的誘因，此種不對稱性的互賴關係也是美元霸權的權力來源。此外，霸權權力具有自我毀滅的傾向。在金融全球化的過程中，政府的權威不斷被削弱，導致政治反應能力遠遠落後於經濟力量的發展。若美國不採取行動管理國際金融體系，取得主導國家的正當性，則衰落是不可避免。
    參考文獻: 中文部份
    專書
    弗朗索瓦沙奈（François Chesnais）（2009）等著，齊建華、胡振良譯，《突破金融危機》（La Finance Mondialisée），北京：中央編譯出版。
    白水和憲著（2008）；鄭衍偉譯，《從一滴原油解讀世界》，臺北：世潮出版。
    李少軍（2008），《國際關係學研究方法》，北京：中國社會科學出版社 。
    李登科（2007），<中東國際政治與石油>，林正義主編，《石油與國際安全》，臺北：遠景基金會。
    汪壽陽、余樂安等（2008），《國際油價波動分析與預測》，湖南：湖南大學出版社。
    林小芳（2009），<關於美元霸權的兩個問題>，李慎明主編，《美元霸權與經濟危機》，北京: 社會科學文獻出版社。
    張亞中主編（2007），《國際關係總論》，第二版，台北：揚智文化。
    許志義、洪育民（1992），《國際油價分析與預測》，臺北：中華經濟研究院。
    許禎元（2000），《政治學研究與網路應用》，臺北：東華書局。
    廖子光(Henry C. K. Liu) （2008），林小芳等譯，《金融戰爭：中國如何突破美元霸權》，北京：中央編譯出版社。
    管清友（2010），《石油的邏輯：國際油價波動機制與中國能源安全》，北京：清華大學出版社。
    魯世巍（2006），《美元霸權與國際貨幣格局》，北京：中國經濟出版社。
    研究機構報告
    台灣綜合研究院，「油品避險及避險規範」，專題分析報導，石油市場雙週報，2007年9月26日。
    新聞、報紙資料
    蔡蕙如，「錯了嗎？葛林斯潘出席聽證會受議員質疑」，中央社，2008年10月24日。
    英文部份
    專書
    Andrews, David M., ed. International Monetary Power. Ithaca, N.Y.: Cornell University Press, 2006.
    Arrighi, Giovanni. The Long Twentieth Century : Money, Power, and the Origins of Our Times. London ; New York: Verso, 1994.
    Buzan, Barry, and Richard Little. International Systems in World History : Remaking the Study of International Relations. Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2000.
    Calleo, David, and Susan Strange. "Money and World Politics." In Paths to International Political Economy, edited by Susan Strange, 91-125. London: Allen & Unwin, 1984.
    Cambridge Energy Research Associates, (CERA). Why the Peak Oil Theory Falls Down—Myths, Legends,and the Future of Oil Resources, 2006.
    Clark, William R., and ebrary Inc. Petrodollar Warfare Oil, Iraq and the Future of the Dollar. Gabriola, B.C.: New Society Publishers, 2005.
    Cohen, Benjamin J. "The Revolution in Atlantic Economic Relations: A Bargain Comes Unstuck." In The United States and Western Europe: Political, Economic, and Strategic Perspectives, edited by Wolfram Hanrieder, 106-33. Cambridge, MA: Winthrop Publishers, 1974.
    ———. Organizing the World`s Money: The Political Economy of International Monetary Relations, The Political Economy of International Relations Series. New York: Basic Books, 1977.
    ———. "The Triad and the Unholy Trinity: Problems of International Monetary Cooperation." In Pacific Economic Relations in the 1990s : Cooperation or Conflict?, edited by Richard A. Higgott, Richard Leaver and John Ravenhill, 133-58. North Sydney: Allen & Unwin, 1992.
    ———. The Geography of Money. Ithaca: Cornell University Press, 1998.
    ———. "International Finance." In Hand Book of International Relations, edited by Thomas Risse Walter Carlsnaes, and Beth A. Simmons, 429-47. London: Sage Publications, 2002.
    ———. "The Macrofoundations of Monetary Power." In International Monetary Power, edited by David M. Andrews, 31-50. Ithaca, N.Y.: Cornell University Press, 2006.
    ———. International Political Economy : An Intellectual History. Princeton, N.J.: Princeton University Press, 2008.
    Cooper, Richard N., and Council on Foreign Relations. The Economics of Interdependence: Economic Policy in the Atlantic Community. New York: Published for the Council on Foreign Relations [by] Columbia University Press, 1980.
    Dadkhah, Kamran. "Futures Market for Crude Oil." In The Oil Market in the 1980s : A Decade of Decline, edited by Siamack Shojai and Bernard S. Katz, 210-11. New York: Praeger, 1992.
    Deffeyes, K. S. Beyond Oil: The View from Hubbert`s Peak. New York: Hill and Wang, 2005.
    ———. Hubbert`s Peak: The Impending World Oil Shortage. New Jersey: Princeton University Press, 2005.
    Duncan, Richard. The Dollar Crisis: Causes, Consequences, Cures. Singapore ; Hoboken, N.J.: John Wiley & Sons, 2003.
    Eichengreen, Barry J. Globalizing Capital: A History of the International Monetary System. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 1996.
    Emminger, Otmar, and Princeton University. Department of Economics and Sociology. International Finance Section. The D-Mark in the Conflict between Internal and External Equilibrium, 1948-75, Essays in International Finance No.122. Princeton,, 1977.
    Epstein, Gerald ed. Financialization and the World Economy. Edward Elgar: Aldershot, 2005.
    Frankel, Benjamin. Realism: Restatements and Renewal, Cass Series on Security Studies. London ; Portland, Or: Frank Cass, 1996.
    Gilpin, Robert. "The Politics of Transnational Economic Relations." In Transnational Relations and World Politics, edited by Robert O. Keohane and Joseph S. Nye. Cambridge, MA. ; London: Harvard University Press, 1972.
    ———. U.S. Power and the Multinational Corporation : The Political Economy of Foreign Direct Investment, The Political Economy of International Relations Series. New York: Basic Books, 1975.
    ———. War and Change in World Politics. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1981.
    ———. The Political Economy of International Relations. Princeton, N.J.: Princeton University Press, 1987.
    Gilpin, Robert, and Jean M. Gilpin. Global Political Economy: Understanding the International Economic Order. Princeton, N.J.: Princeton University Press, 2001.
    ———. The Challenge of Global Capitalism : The World Economy in the 21st Century. Princeton Oxford: Princeton University Press, 2002.
    Guzzini, Stefano. Realism in International Relations and International Political Economy: The Continuing Story of a Death Foretold, The New International Relations. London: Routledge, 1998.
    ———. "Strange`s Oscillating Realsim: Opposing the Ideal-and the Apparent." In Strange Power : Shaping the Parameters of International Relations and International Political Economy, edited by James N. Rosenau, Amy Verdun and Thomas C. Lawton, 215-28. Burlington, VT: Ashgate, 2000.
    Haggard, S., and S. Maxfield. "The Political Economy of Financialization in the Developing World " In Internationalization and Domestic Politics, edited by Robert O. Keohane and Helen V. Milner. Cambridge ; New York: Cambridge University Press, 1996.
    Held, David, Anthony McGrew, David Goldblatt, and Jonathan Perraton. Global Transformations : Politics, Economics and Culture. Cambridge, UK: Polity Press, 1999.
    Helleiner, Eric. "Below the State: Micro-Level Monetary Power." In International Monetary Power, edited by David M. Andrews, 72-90. Ithaca, N.Y.: Cornell University Press, 2006.
    Hudson, Michael. Super Imperialism: The Origin and Fundamentals of U.S. World Dominance. 2nd ed. London: Pluto Press, 2003.
    Huntington, Samuel P. The Clash of Civilizations and the Remaking of World Order. New York: Simon & Schuster, 1996.
    International Energy Agency, (IEA). Key World Energy Statistics, 2009.
    Keohane, Robert O. "The Theory of Hegemonic Stability and Changes in International Economic Regimes, 1967-1977." In Change in the International System, edited by Ole R. Holsti, Randolph M. Siverson and Alexander L. George, 131-62. Boulder, Colo.: Westview Press, 1980.
    ———. After Hegemony: Cooperation and Discord in the World Political Economy. Princeton, N.J.: Princeton University Press, 1984.
    Kindleberger, Charles P. The World in Depression, 1929-1939, History of the World Economy in the Twentieth Century. Berkeley: University of California Press, 1973.
    Kirshner, Jonathan. Currency and Coercion: The Political Economy of International Monetary Power. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 1995.
    Krasner, Stephen D. Structural Conflict : The Third World against Global Liberalism, Studies in International Political Economy. Berkeley: University of California Press, 1985.
    Lake, David A. Hierarchy in International Relations, Cornell Studies in Political Economy. Ithaca, N.Y.: Cornell University Press, 2009.
    Mileva, Elitza , and Nikolaus Siefried. Oil Market Structure, Network Effects and the Choice of Currency for Oil Invoicing, Occasional Paper Series: European Central Bank, 2007.
    Minsky, Hyman P. Stabilizing an Unstable Economy. New Haven: Yale University Press, 1986.
    Nye, Joseph S. Bound to Lead : The Changing Nature of American Power. New York: Basic Books, 1990.
    Oatley, Thomas. International Political Economy: Interests and Institutions in the Global Economy. 3rd ed. New York: Pearson/Longman, 2008.
    Olson, Mancur. The Logic of Collective Action : Public Goods and the Theory of Groups, Harvard Economic Studies Vol.124: Harvard U.P.; Oxford U.P, 1965.
    Oweiss, Ibrahim M. "Petro-Money: Problems and Prospects." In Inflation & Monetary Crisis, edited by G. C. Wiegand, 84-90. Washington, D.C.: Public Affairs Press, 1975.
    Padoa-Schioppa, Tommaso, and Fabrizio Saccomanni. "Managing a Market-Led Global Financial System." In Managing the World Economy : Fifty Years after Bretton Woods, edited by Peter B. Kenen. Washington, D.C.: Institute for International Economics, 1994.
    Pelletiere, S. C. America’s Oil Wars. Westport, CT: Praeger Publishers, 2004.
    Petroleum, British. Bp Statistical Review of World Energy, 2008.
    Phillips, Kevin. Bad Money : Reckless Finance, Failed Politics, and the Global Crisis of American Capitalism. New York: Viking, 2008.
    Phillips, Kevin P. American Theocracy : The Peril and Politics of Radical Religion, Oil, and Borrowed Money in the 21st Century. New York: Viking, 2006.
    Rostow, W. W. The World Economy: History & Prospect. London: Macmillan, 1978.
    Scammell, W. M. The International Economy since 1945. 2nd ed. London: Macmillan, 1983.
    ———. The International Economy since 1945. 2nd ed. New York: St. Martin`s Press, 1984.
    Spiro, David E. The Hidden Hand of American Hegemony : Petrodollar Recycling and International Markets, Cornell Studies in Political Economy. Ithaca: Cornell University Press, 1999.
    Stephan, Katherine "Oil Companies and the International Oil Market." In Covering Oil : A Reporter`s Guide to Energy and Development, edited by Svetlana Tsalik and Anya Schiffrin. New York: Open Society Institute, 2005.
    Strange, Susan. Casino Capitalism. Oxford: Basil Blackwell, 1986.
    ———. States and Markets. 2nd ed. London ; New York New York, NY: Pinter Publishers; Distributed in the USA and Canada by St. Martin`s Press, 1994.
    ———. Mad Money. Manchester: Manchester University Press, 1998.
    Triffin, Robert. Gold and the Dollar Crisis : The Future of Convertibility. New Haven: Yale University Press, 1960.
    Wallerstein, Immanuel Maurice. Historical Capitalism. London: Verso, 1983.
    Walter, Andrew. World Power and World Money: The Role of Hegemony and International Monetary Order. Rev. pbk ed. New York ; London: Harvester Wheatsheaf, 1993.
    ———. "Domestic Sources of International Monetary Leadership." In International Monetary Power, edited by David M. Andrews, 72-90. Ithaca, N.Y.: Cornell University Press, 2006.
    Walter, Andrew "Understanding Financial Globalization in International Political Economy." In Globalizing Political Economy, edited by Nicola Philips, 110-41. Basingstoke, UK: Palgrave Macmillan, 2005.
    Waltz, Kenneth N. Theory of International Politics. Reading, Mass.: Addison-Wesley, 1979.
    Watson, Adam. The Evolution of International Society : A Comparative Historical Analysis. London ; New York: Routledge, 1992.
    期刊論文
    Bichler, S., and J. Nitzan. "Dominant Capital and the New Wars." Journal of World-Systems Research 10, no. 2 (2004): 255-327.
    Campbell, C.J. , and J.H. Laherrère. "The End of Cheap Oil." Scientific American 278, no. 3 (1998): 78-83.
    Gowa, J. "Bipolarity, Multipolarity, and Free-Trade." American Political Science Review 83, no. 4 (1989): 1245-56.
    Guzzini, Stefano. "Structural Power: The Limits of Neorealist Power Analysis." International Organization 47, no. 3 (1993): 443-78.
    Hirsch, R. L. "Peaking of World Oil Production: Recent Forecasts." World Oil Magazine 228, no. 4 (2007).
    Irvine, Mark "Long Shot: The Prospects for a Conversion to Euro Pricing in Oil Markets." Elements 1, no. 1 (2005): 63-68.
    Keohane, Robert O. "The Old IPE and the New." Review of International Political Economy 16, no. 1 (2009): 34-46.
    Kindleberger, Charles P. "Germany and the Economic Recovery of Europe." Proceedings of the Academy of Political Science 23, no. 3 (1949): 288-301.
    ———. "Dominance and Leadership in the International Economy: Exploitation, Public Goods and Free Riders." International Studies Quarterly 25, no. 2 (1981): 242-54.
    ———. "International Public Goods without International Government." American Economic Review 76, no. 1 (1986): 1-13.
    Kindleberger, Charles P. , and Alvin H. Hansen. "The Economic Tasks of the Postwar World." Foreign World 20 (1942): 466-76.
    Krasner, Stephen D. "State Power and Structure of International Trade." World Politics 28, no. 3 (1976): 317-47.
    Krippner, Greta "The Financialization of the American Economy." Socio-Economic Review 3 (2005): 173-208.
    Labban, M. . "Oil in Parallax: Scarcity, Markets, and the Financialization of Accumulation." Geoforum (2010).
    Lake, David A. "Leadership, Hegemony, and the International Economy - Naked Emperor or Tattered Monarch with Potential." International Studies Quarterly 37, no. 4 (1993): 459-89.
    Matutinovic, I. "Oil and the Political Economy of Energy." Energy Policy 37, no. 11 (2009): 4251-58.
    Maugeri, L. "Two Cheers for Expensive Oil." Foreign Affairs 85, no. 2 (2006): 149-61.
    Mckeown, T. J. "Hegemonic Stability Theory and 19th-Century Tariff Levels in Europe." International Organization 37, no. 1 (1983): 73-91.
    Momani, B. "Gulf Cooperation Council Oil Exporters and the Future of the Dollar." New Political Economy 13, no. 3 (2008): 293-314.
    Momani, Bessma. "Reacting to Global Forces: Economic and Political Integration of the Gcc." Journal of the Gulf and Arabian Peninsula Studies 38, no. 128 (2008): 46-66.
    Morse, Edward "A New Political Economy of Oil." Journal of International Affairs 53, no. 1 (1999): 1-29.
    Noreng, Oystein. "The Euro and the Oil Market: New Challenges to the Industry." Journal of Energy Finance and Development 4, no. 1 (1999): 29-68.
    Rose, E. A. "Opec`s Dominance of the Global Oil Market: The Rise of the World`s Dependency on Oil." Middle East Journal 58, no. 3 (2004): 424-43.
    Russett, B. "The Mysterious Case of Vanishing Hegemony - or, Is Twain,Mark Really Dead." International Organization 39, no. 2 (1985): 207-31.
    Snidal, D. "The Limits of Hegemonic Stability Theory." International Organization 39, no. 4 (1985): 579-614.
    Strange, Susan. "The Persistent Myth of Lost Hegemony." International Organization 41, no. 4 (1987): 551-74.
    Webb, Michael C., and Stephen D. Krasner. "Hegemonic Stability Theory: An Empirical Assessment." Review of International Studies 15 (1989): 183-98
    Yergin, D. "Ensuring Energy Security." Foreign Affairs 85, no. 2 (2006): 69-82.
    官方文件
    Government Accounting Office, GAO. "The Us–Saudi Arabian Joint Commission on Economic Cooperation." GAO, 22 March, 1979.
    研究機構報告
    Elitza, Mileva and Nikolaus Siefried, "Oil Market Structure, Network Effects and the Choice of Currency for Oil Invoicing," Occasional Paper Series, (European Central Bank, 2007).
    Energy Information Administration, February 2009 Monthly Energy Review, Washington, DC, 2009.
    Guriev, S., A. Kolotilin and K. Sonin. "Determinants of Expropriation in the Oil Sector: A Theory and Evidence from Panel Data." In CEPR Discussion Paper 6755: Centre for Economic Policy Research, 2008.
    International Energy Agency, (IEA). "World Energy Outlook 2008." http://www.iea.org.
    Porter, Edward D.. "Are We Running out of Oil?" In Discussion Paper #081: American Petroleum Institute Policy Analysis and Strategic Planning Department, 1995.
    Looney, Robert. "A Euro-Denominated Oil Bourse in Iran: Potential Major Force In International System?," Gulf Research Centre, Dubai, 2006.
    Rubin, J., and P. Buchanan. "Cheap Gasoline in Producing Countries Will Have the Rest of the World Paying More" in StrategEcon, 4-7: CIBC World Markets, 2007.
    Stanislaw, J. A. "Power Play: Resource Nationalism, the Global Scramble for Energy,and the Need for Mutual Interdependence." Deloitte Development LLC, 2008.
    新聞、報紙資料
    "Argentina Curbs Gas Exports to Avert Energy Crisis." Financial Times, March 26 2004.
    Liu, Henry C.K.. "China Vs. The Almighty Dollar." Asia Times, July 23 2002.
    ———. "The Us-China Trade Imbalance." Asia Times, April 1 2006.
    ———. "America’s Untested Management Team." Asia Times, June 17 2006.
    Schaefer, Standard "Duck, Duck, Goose: Financing the War, Financing the World - Interview with Michael Hudson, Author of Super Imperialism." CounterPunch, April 23 2003.
    網路資料
    Paul Krugman, The Energy Crisis Revisited. http://web.mit.edu/krugman/www/opec.html 2000.
    描述: 碩士
    國立政治大學
    外交研究所
    97253023
    98
    資料來源: http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0097253023
    資料類型: thesis
    顯示於類別:[外交學系] 學位論文

    文件中的檔案:

    檔案 大小格式瀏覽次數
    302301.pdf9786KbAdobe PDF24285檢視/開啟


    在政大典藏中所有的資料項目都受到原著作權保護.


    社群 sharing

    著作權政策宣告 Copyright Announcement
    1.本網站之數位內容為國立政治大學所收錄之機構典藏，無償提供學術研究與公眾教育等公益性使用，惟仍請適度，合理使用本網站之內容，以尊重著作權人之權益。商業上之利用，則請先取得著作權人之授權。
    The digital content of this website is part of National Chengchi University Institutional Repository. It provides free access to academic research and public education for non-commercial use. Please utilize it in a proper and reasonable manner and respect the rights of copyright owners. For commercial use, please obtain authorization from the copyright owner in advance.

    2.本網站之製作，已盡力防止侵害著作權人之權益，如仍發現本網站之數位內容有侵害著作權人權益情事者，請權利人通知本網站維護人員(nccur@nccu.edu.tw)，維護人員將立即採取移除該數位著作等補救措施。
    NCCU Institutional Repository is made to protect the interests of copyright owners. If you believe that any material on the website infringes copyright, please contact our staff(nccur@nccu.edu.tw). We will remove the work from the repository and investigate your claim.
    DSpace Software Copyright © 2002-2004  MIT &  Hewlett-Packard  /   Enhanced by   NTU Library IR team Copyright ©   - 回饋