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    题名: 俄羅斯對兩岸經濟關係
    其它题名: The Russia`s Economic-trade Relations with Both Sides of Taiwan Strait
    作者: 王承宗
    关键词: 俄羅斯;兩岸;經貿關係
    日期: 2002-02
    上传时间: 2010-12-07 22:41:27 (UTC+8)
    摘要: 比較俄羅斯與海峽兩岸的經貿關係顯然是不對稱的，俄國與中國不但有官方之間的各種經貿、科技合作協議和往來，而且也有企業之間的經貿聯繫，以及邊境地區貿易關係；俄國和臺灣之間缺乏官方的支持，全憑企業之自主努力。因此，俄中的貿易若扣除政府間年度協議貿易額、軍售部份和因大型合作項目產生的進出口數額，俄中實際貿易額與俄臺貿易額的差距就大為減少，亦即兩岸與俄國的經貿關係水平大致相當。兩岸對俄都呈現巨額貿易逆差，主要原因是都從俄國進口原材料，中國方面還大量進口軍事裝備和技術；相對的，對俄國的出口十分有限，中國方面主要出口糧食產品與民生消費品，臺灣出口主要電子資訊商品。由於俄國的經濟狀況欠佳、消費能力薄弱，加上俄國民眾偏好歐美商品、其他國家產品的競爭，兩岸無法提升對俄出口能量，這種貿易逆差的趨勢短時間難以改善。俄國與中國之間具有地利之便、經濟的互補性高、政府間政治關係良好等優勢因素；但雙方經貿潛力未能發揮，一方面受限於俄國本身環境限制（包括投資、消費問題），另方面俄中之間仍存在著非經濟因素的考慮與疑忌，阻礙雙方經貿、科技合作更進一步發展。臺俄之間由於缺乏官方的鼓勵和支持，雙方經貿發展起步又晚，成果自然有限。一般而言，兩岸對俄經貿存在相同的困難或問題，但是臺灣與俄國之間倒是不存在歷史、政治恩怨的阻礙。不過俄羅斯如果想要參與亞太經濟活動，應該提出具體企劃，透過雙方政府或亞太地區國家共同合作，推動與鼓勵區域內企業合作參與西伯利亞與俄屬遠東開發，可能較具實質作用。
    To compare the Russia-PRC economic-trade relations with the Russia-Taiwan `s obvious was not so symmetry. The former not only has the official various economic-trade, science-technical cooperative agreements and deals, but has the cooperative contacts among their enterprises and the border trade. The latter was lack of the official supports, their enterprises had to do all by self-endeavor. Therefore, if it deducts the Russia-PRC governmental yearly trade contract, arms sale, and the big official cooperative projects, in which were produced some export-import deal, from the total bilateral trade; the Russia-PRC trade would be reduced largely. In that conditions, the Russian economic-trade level with both sides of China maybe keep in a reasonable gap or symmetrical weight.The both sides of China had a huge trade deficit with Russia, because they were imported from Russia large of the primary material, besides, the PRC was imported other goods- the military equipment and technology. Comparatively, their export to Russia were very limited, the Chinese continent was sold the foods, light industrial products; the Taiwan was sold the electronic-informational goods. The deficit or the unbalance trade was the resulted of the Russian worse situation in economy, the lower shopping capacity, the Russian people prefer to choose European & American products, and the competition from the other countries. Under the above conditions, both sides of China will hard to cover trade deficit in the future years.Both Russia and PRC have the dominant position of the geographical benefit, mutual replenishment in economy, good governmental relations；but the mutual economic-trade potential can not to develop as much as theirs political achievements. The crux was lying of the worse Russian environment (include investment, shopping level), and the non-economical factors / suspicious problems; which became the barriers on the road to accelerate economic-technical cooperation. Taiwan built its economic-trade ties with Russia (former Soviet Union) since the late 1980`s, without any support or encouragement from government, also could not to earn much achievements. Generally, both sides of China existed the same problems or difficulties with the Russia in their economic-trade aspects, but Taiwan had not historical entanglement or different ideology to Russia. If Russia wants to join in the economic activity in the Asia-Pacific area, she ought to take initiative with concrete projects for those countries and enterprises, to seek for their government`s support and cooperation, to promote them to take part in Siberia and Russian Fareast area joint venture or development.
    關聯: 俄羅斯學報 2,267-289
    数据类型: article
    显示于类别:[國際關係研究中心] 期刊論文

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