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    題名: 工資調整指數、最適貨幣政策與績效契約談判
    Wage Indexation, Optimal Monetary Policy and Performance Contract Bargainging
    作者: 鄭惠如
    貢獻者: 賴景昌
    鄭惠如
    關鍵詞: 工資調整指數
    績效契約
    談判
    中央銀行
    最適貨幣政策
    Wage Indexation
    Performance Contract
    Bargaining
    Central Bank
    Optimal Mometary Policy
    日期: 2008
    上傳時間: 2009-09-18 16:01:16 (UTC+8)
    摘要: 本文是以Candel-Sánchez and Campoy-Miñarro (2004)的績效契約制訂為基礎
    ，開放單獨由政府制訂契約的假設，賦予央行與政府部門雙方皆具有談判力，並利用Nash談判解(Nash bargaining solution)做出最適績效契約。此外，我們也討論政府央行的談判力、對薪資的偏好和央行官員保守度在不同工資調整指數下與最適績效契約之間的關係，並分析能影響產出及通貨膨脹穩定性的因素。
    經本文的研究分析，我們可以發現:政府的談判力愈大績效誘因基數愈大，此時能有效抑制通膨產生，但是同時也會使產出下降。當工資調整指數趨於零時，政府的談判力將不會對產出造成影響只會降低通貨膨脹率。
    央行官員若是愈保守愈重視通貨膨脹帶來的效用損失，會使績效誘因基數下降。其中，本文的分析與Rogoff (1985)的有相同的結果，增加央行官員的保守性雖有利抑制通膨且增加通膨穩定性，另一方面卻打擊產出水準同時會使產出易受外來衝擊的影響。當工資調整指數愈低時，央行官員的保守性也會對績效誘因基數的變動愈大。
    央行官員愈關心薪資收入多寡，績效誘因基數就愈低，但是對通貨膨脹與產出的影響則須視談判央行對薪資的偏好程度與最適誘因基數大小而定。政府愈在意營運成本，談判出的最適績效誘因基數會愈低，而且會同時造成通貨膨脹率與產出的上升。
    在討論經濟穩定性時，我們發現僅有央行官員保守程度、工資調整指數與隨機干擾衝擊的變異數會對產出及通貨膨脹率的穩定性造成影響;但納入談判協商得到的績效誘因基數，並不會造成經濟體系的波動。我們也發現本文與Rogoff (1985)的結論相同之處在於央行官員極度保守時會完全消除通貨膨脹率，但是會使產出完全反映隨機干擾項的衝擊。
    參考文獻: 陳昭南、賴景昌和張文雅 (1985)，「貶值、工資調整指數與經濟政策－Fleming命題的重新評估」，中央研究院經濟研究所《經濟論文》，第十三卷第二期，頁131-141。
    賴景昌和張俊仁 (2003) ，「工會談判理論」，上課講義。
    賴景昌 (2007) ，「時序不一致」，上課講義。
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    Aizenman, J. and Frenkel, J. (1985), “Optimal Wage Indexation, Foreign Exchange Intervention, and Monetary Policy, ”American Economic Review 75: 402-423.
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    Grilli, V., Masciandaro, D. and Tabellini, G. (1991),“Political and Monetary Institutions and Public Finance Policies in the Industrial Countries,”Economic Policy 6: 341-392.
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    Kydland, F. E. and Prescott, E. C. (1977),“Rules rather than Discretion: The Inconsistency of Optimal Plans,”Journal of Political Economy 85: 473-491.
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    Svensson, L. E. O. (1997), “Optimal Inflation Targets, Conservative Central Banks, and Linear Inflation Contracts,”American Economic Review, 87: 98-114.
    Turnovsky, S. J. (1983), “Wage Indexation and Exchange Market Intervention in a Small Open Economy,”Canadian Journal of Economics, 16: 574-592.
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    描述: 碩士
    國立政治大學
    經濟研究所
    95258029
    97
    資料來源: http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0095258029
    資料類型: thesis
    顯示於類別:[經濟學系] 學位論文

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