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    Title: 從國內消費面估算臺灣二氧化碳排放量
    Estimating CO2 Emissions from the Perspective of Domestic Consumption in Taiwan with a Multi-objective Programming Model
    Authors: 張智堯
    Chang,Chih Yao
    Contributors: 許志義
    Hsu,George J.Y
    張智堯
    Chang,Chih Yao
    Keywords: 二氧化碳排放量
    多目標規劃
    京都議定書
    減量政策
    產業發展
    CO2 Emissions
    Multi-objective Programming
    the Kyoto Protocol
    Reduction Policy
    Industrial Development
    Date: 2006
    Issue Date: 2009-09-18 15:58:59 (UTC+8)
    Abstract: 本文主旨在於透過國內消費重新估算臺灣二氧化碳排放量。蓋全球各區域二氧化碳排放量的變動,透過貿易分工而移轉,若只用一國國內生產面估算二氧化碳的排放量,將忽略了各國實際消費的二氧化碳排放量,並使《京都議定書》防止全球暖化的原意大打折扣。因為已開發國家為了達到氣體減量政策的目標,可將二氧化碳排放密集的產業遷移至低度開發國家,溫室氣體的排放只是由締約國轉移到非締約國而已。反之,若以消費面二氧化碳排放量作為二氧化碳減量之依據,則能更有效地提供減量誘因,促進減量技術之發展或誘導節約用能與需求消費。爰此,本文先以透過產業關聯模型調整消費面的臺灣二氧化碳排放量估算值,並以排放減量的觀點分析產業部門之進出口來源國,最後透過多目標規劃模型,進行二氧化碳減量之政策分析,並提出產業發展建議。
    This paper aims at estimating the CO2 emissions of Taiwan from the perspective of domestic consumption side. Since the developed countries would achieve the emission reduction goal by transferring their emission-intensive industries form their lands to the developing countries, we would neglect the true CO2 emissions of nations if we only estimate their CO2 emissions from the perspective of domestic production side, therefore reduce the significance of the Kyoto Protocol, which aims at reducing emissions. On the contrary, If we estimate the CO2 emissions of nations through the consumption side, we can provide the incentives for emission reduction more effectively, prompting the development of the technology of emission reduction or inducing consumers to conserve the use of energy. Consequently, this paper first estimates the CO2 emissions of Taiwan from the perspective of domestic consumption side through an input-output model, then estimates the import and export emissions of industry sectors, finally it analyzes the policies for CO2 emission reduction by a multi-objective programming model and provides suggestions for the development of industries.
    Reference: 一、中文部分
    1. 林建甫、周麗芳、何金巡(2005),「油價、景氣與政府財政的總體經濟計量分析」,《生產力與效率國際研討會》,高雄。
    2. 林師模、黃宗煌(2006),《資源利用模型跟更新維護與政策模擬分析》,行政院經濟建設委員會委託計畫,台北。
    3. 李高朝(2005),《實用產業關聯分析》,行政院經濟建設委員會,台北。
    4. 許志義、王京明、郭婷瑋(1990),《臺灣二氧化碳減量政策之模擬分析》,經濟專論199,台北:中華經濟研究院。
    5. 許志義(2003),《多目標決策》,台北:五南圖書出版公司。
    6. 許志義、陳澤義、周鳳瑛(2000),《溫室效應與永續發展》,台北:俊傑書局股份有限公司。
    7. 陳明健主編(2003),《自然資源與環境經濟學:理論基礎與本土案例分析》,台北:雙葉書廊有限公司。
    8. 陳茂湧(1996),「臺灣二氧化碳減量之研究:多目標分式規劃法」,政治大學經濟學研究所未出版之碩士論文。
    10. 清華大學永續發展研究室(2005),《我國二氧化碳排放基線及其歸推估方法》,行政院經濟建設委員會委託計畫成果發表會,台北。
    11. 行政院主計處(1996),臺灣地區產業關聯表。
    12. 行政院主計處(1999),臺灣地區產業關聯表。
    13. 行政院主計處(2001),臺灣地區產業關聯表。
    14. 行政院主計處(2004),臺灣地區產業關聯表。
    15. 行政院國貿局(2005),中華民國進出口貿易統計。
    16. 行政院經濟部能源委員會(2005),能源政策白皮書。
    17. 行政院經濟部能源委員會(2005),臺灣能源統計年報。
    18. 行政院經濟部能源委員會(2006),臺灣能源平衡表。
    19. 行政院環保署(2002),「聯合國氣候變化綱要公約:國家通訊」。
    20. 行政院國家永續發展委員會(2004),「國家永續發展年報」。
    21. 全國能源會議(1998)。
    22. 全國能源會議(2005)。
    二、英文部分
    1. Ahmad, N. and A. Wyckoff (2003), “Carbon Dioxide Emissions Embodied in International Trade of Goods“, working paper, Economics Co-operation and Development Publications.
    2. Chedid, R. , T. Mezher and C. Jarrouche (1999),“A Fuzzy Programming Approach to Energy Resource Allocation“, International Journal of Energy Research,23(4) , pp. 303 -317
    3. Giovani M. , S. Roberto and W.Ernst (2001), “Energy and Carbon Embodied in the International Trade of Brazil: an Input–Output Approach”, Ecological Economics, 39(3) , pp. 409-424
    4. Hsu, G. J. Y. and F. Y. Chou (2000), “Integrated Planning for Mitigating CO2 Emissions in Taiwan: A Multi-objective Programming Approach”, Energy Policy, 28(8) , pp. 519-523
    5. Hsu, G. J. Y. and H. M. Hsu (2000), “Impact of Mitigating CO2 Emission on Taiwan: A Fuzzy Multi-objective Programming Approach,” Environmental Economics and Policy Studies, 3 , pp.335-345.
    6. Hsu, G. J. Y. and T. Y. Chen (2005), “Mitigation CO2 Emissions by Adjusting the Power Generation Mix in Taiwan” Int. J. Global Energy Issues, 23(4), pp.360-373.
    7. Sánchez-Chóliz, J. and R. Duarte (2004), “ CO2 Emissions Embodied in International Trade: Evidence for Spain,” Energy Policy , 32(18) , pp. 1999-2005
    8. Mavrotas, G.. , D. Diakoulaki and L. Papayannakis (1999),“An Energy Planning Approach Based on Mixed 0–1 Multiple Objective Linear Programming”, International Transactions in Operational Research, 6(2), pp. 231-244
    9. Muradian, R. and M. O’Connor (2001), “Inter-Country Environmental Load Displacement and Adjusted National Sustainability Indicators: Concepts and their Policy Applications.” International Journal of Sustainable Development “, 4(3), pp. 321–347
    10. Muradian, R. , M. O’Connor and J. Martinez-Alier (2002), “Embodied Pollution in Trade: Estimating the “Environmental Local Displacement” of Industrialized Countries “ , Ecological Economics, 41(1), pp. 51–67
    Description: 碩士
    國立政治大學
    經濟研究所
    94258014
    95
    Source URI: http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0094258014
    Data Type: thesis
    Appears in Collections:[經濟學系] 學位論文

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