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    題名: 央行官員薪資設計與第二代匯率制度變革
    作者: 林柏君
    貢獻者: 賴景昌
    林柏君
    關鍵詞: 第二代匯率制度變革
    央行官員
    薪資設計
    日期: 2002
    上傳時間: 2009-09-18 15:53:58 (UTC+8)
    摘要: 摘 要
    本文係以Obstfeld (1996) 所發展的第二代匯率制度模型為基礎，探討央行官員在不同薪資設計之下，提高他們的薪資懲罰，對匯率制度變革有何影響。再者，我們也探討了央行官員對自身薪資的關心程度，在提高薪資懲罰的過程中，扮演著何種角色。
    經由本文的解析，我們可以得到：不論是以通貨膨脹或產出差距做為懲罰央行官員薪資的標準，提高他們的薪資懲罰程度皆可降低經濟體系中複數均衡解存在的可能性；此外，就匯率制度變革的機率而言，我們發現，相較於以通貨膨脹來懲罰央行官員的薪資制度，提高央行官員因產出差距受到的懲罰，能夠較大幅度降低民眾的預期匯率變動率，進而降低匯率制度變革的機率；同時，也大幅提高經濟體系對負面干擾的承受度；最後，央行官員如果愈關心自身的薪資，則提高他們的薪資懲罰所得到的效果將愈大。
    參考文獻: 參 考 文 獻
    曹添旺、張文雅 (1999)，「金融危機的研究及其對台灣的啟示—兼論未來的研究方向」，台灣經濟預測與政策，30，91-102。
    賴景昌 (1994)，國際金融理論：進階篇，台北：茂昌出版社。
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    賴景昌 (2002)，「時序不一致」，上課講義。
    賴景昌 (2002)，「第二代的匯率制度變革」，上課講義。
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    Barro, R. J. and Gordon, D. B. (1983), “A Positive Theory of Monetary Policy in a Natural Rate Model,” Journal of Political Economy, 91, 589-610.
    Buiter, W. H. (1987), “Borrowing to Defend the Exchange Rate and the Timing of and Magnitude of Speculative Attacks,” Journal of International Economics, 23, 221-239.
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    Flood, R. P. and Garber, P. M. (1984), “Collapsing Exchange-Rate-Regimes: Some Linear Examples,” Journal of International Economics, 17, 1-13.
    Flood, R. P. and Marion N. P. (1997), “Policy Implications of “Second Generation” Crises Models,” International Monetary Fund, 44, 383-390.
    Flood, R. P. and Marion N. P. (1998), “Perspectives on the Recent Currency Crises,” NBER Working Paper, No. 6380.
    Garfinkel, M. R. and Oh, S. (1993), “Stategic Discipline in Monetary Policy with Private Information: Optimal Targeting Horizons,” American Economic Review, 83, 99-117.
    Gartner, M. (2000), “Political Macroeconomics: A Survey of Recent Developments,” Journal of Economic Surveys, 14, 527-561.
    Krugman, P. (1979), “A Model of Balance-of-Payments Crises,” Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 11, 311-325.
    Kydland, F. E. and Prescott, E. C. (1977), “Rules Rather Than Discretion: The Inconsistency of Optimal Plans,” Journal of Political Economy, 85, 473-491.
    Lohmann, S. (1992), “Optimal Commitment in Monetary Policy: Credibility versus Flexibility,” American Economic Review, 82, 273-286.
    Meon, P. G. (2001), “A Model of Exchange Rate Crises with Partisan Governments,” Journal of Macroeconomics, 23, 517-535.
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    Rangvid, J. (2001), “Second Generation Models of Currency Crises,” Journal of Economic Surveys, 15, 613-646.
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    Waller, C. J. (1992), “The Choice of a Conservative Central Bank in a Multisector Economy,” American Economic Review, 82, 1006-1012.
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    描述: 碩士
    國立政治大學
    經濟研究所
    90258021
    91
    資料來源: http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0090258021
    資料類型: thesis
    顯示於類別:[經濟學系] 學位論文

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