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Title: | 壽險業資金運用效率與國外投資額度關係之研究 |
Authors: | 林金樹 |
Contributors: | 張士傑 林金樹 |
Keywords: | 國外投資 有效契約平均預定利率 效率前緣 |
Date: | 2004 |
Issue Date: | 2009-09-18 |
Abstract: | 由於市場利率持續低迷,壽險業利差損問題成為關切焦點,而國內金融市場投資工具仍然有限,壽險業2004年底5兆1,126億元的可運用資金總額中,有6,115億元(占可運用資金12.3%)投資於銀行存款及商業本票等短期投資部位。無論監理機關或壽險業均將解決之道,寄望於提高國外投資上限。本次保險法修正草案中,亦建議提高國外投資上限至資金之50%。 本研究嘗試透過計算壽險業有效契約平均預定利率、分析台灣現行金融環境下壽險業資產配置之困境,據以探討提高國外投資上限至50%,能否解決壽險業所面臨之經營困境,並提出建議做法,期能有助提供相關單位之參考。 本研究發現,壽險業有效契約平均預定利率,雖然隨著新契約預定利率逐漸調降而降低,但各項法定資金運用管道,在現行台灣整體金融環境下,很難達到損益兩平。 由風險性資產效率前緣分析也發現,國外投資上限之提高在避險成本較低時,不失為在台灣金融工具之質與量無法短期提升下,業者可以提高資金運用收益之解決方案。但如果避險成本增加,隨著國外投資上限提高而將資金移往國外,投資效率並不見得會提升,但卻也不會比提高前來得差,此時投資效率,將端視個別公司風險控管及國外金融工具選擇能力而定。 所以提高國外投資上限,僅能視個別公司逐案嚴加審核,甚至超出現行35%上限部分,應比現行審核標準更嚴格,無法通案為之。重要的是,政府要提出改善金融環境及健全保險業發展之整體策略,而不是僅僅著眼於提高國外投資上限。
關鍵字:國外投資、有效契約平均預定利率、效率前緣 Because the environment of low interest rate, Life Insurance company’s loss expanded and raised the concerns of investors. More badly, the domestic high-yield-rate investment tools are less. For example, the total disposable capitals reached NT$ 5,112 billions in the end of 2004. There are 12.3% of these huge bucks, i.e. NT$ 611 billions that put in short term investment including commercial papers and cash. Now, not only the authorities also the life insurers are expecting the augment of foreign investment percentage. Recent amendments on the Law of Insurance suggest raise the ceiling of foreign investment from 35% to 50%. In order to propose total solutions for life insurers and MOF, this paper goes through broad discussions on 「Could the augment of investment ceiling solve the issues of interest loss?」 Hopefully, the life insurers would benefit from them. And these topics are 「the calculation of assumed interest rate of in-force life insurance policies」、「the analysis of Taiwan life insurers’ dilemma for assets management in current financial environment」. This paper advises that break-even normally is very difficult in Taiwan financial environment currently. Although the industrial average assumed interest rate of in-force policies is decreasing due to the lower assumed interest rate of new contracts. The legal investment tools are still far too less. Low yield rate and duration mismatch are the aches deep in the heart of life insurers. Due to the shortage of investment tools, the efficiency frontier analysis suggests that life insurers shall enhance oversea investment as a total solution. And it will create expected returns under the low cost of hedge. Nevertheless, if the hedging cost is uprising, the results of expanding oversea investment won’t create values any more. By the way, it won’t perform worse either if life insurers uphold original investment decision. Actually, the results of investment depend on risk management and the ability to choose better oversea investment tools. To conclude that the augment of oversea investment ceiling could be approved case-by-case not to enact the law. Especially the part exceeding 35% should be audited more toughly. The augment of oversea investment ceiling is not the key issue. More important is that the government shall propose national strategy to improve financial environment and build up sound development settings for insurance industry.
Key Words:Oversea Investment、Assumed Interest Rate of In-force Policies、Efficiency Frontier |
Reference: | 一、法令規章 01.保險法,民國九十三年二月四日,總統令修正。 02.保險業辦理國外投資範圍及內容準則,民國九十三年六月三十日,財政部台財保字第0930751245號令。 03.保險業資金專案運用及公共投資審核辦法,民國九十三年三月二日,財政部台財保字第0930750473號令。 04.保險業申請提高國外投資額度規定,民國九十四年六月九日,行政院金融監督管理委員會,金管保一字第09402501361號令。 05.修正「新契約責任準備金利率採自動調整精算公式」,民國九十三年十一月二十五日,金管保一字第09302050780號函。 06. 「國外投資作業手冊」範本,民國九十三年六月一日,財政部台財保字第0930705293號函准予備查。 07.「壽險業應分配保單紅利計算公式暨其年利率調整方式」,民國八十年十二月三十一日,財政部台財保字第800484251號函說明(三)。 08.「人身保險業辦理保單貸款、保費自動墊繳及解約金逾期償付之最高年利率由各公司依保險契約約定,自行訂定」,民國九十年六月二十二日,財政部台財保字第0900703884號函。 二、中文部分 01.湯谷昇羊著,劉慶庭譯,2001,壽險業危機的真相,保險事業發展中心 02.竹內悟著「生命保險會社破綻處理」,2003,P26 03.蔡政憲、吳佳哲,89,保險法中之投資限制對保險業投資績效影響之實證研究,風險管理學報,2卷2期 04.王詔麗,85,壽險公司的投資組合策略與其法定上限適當性之研究,逢甲大學保險研究所碩士論文 05.張正義,2001,日本協榮生命破產的醒思,壽險季刊119期 三、英文部分 01.Georges de Menil,2004,Why should the portfolios of mandatory,private pension funds be captive ? (The foreign investment question),Journal of Banking & Finance 29(2005)123-141 02.Blair, R.D. and A.A. Heggestad,1978,Bank Portfolio Regulation and the Probability of Bank Failure,Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking, 10, 1, 88-93. 03.Eichhorn, D., F. Gupta, and E. Stubbs,1998,Using Constrains to Improve the Robustness of Asset Allocation,Journal of Portfolio Management, 24, 3, 41-48. 04.Timothy F. Harris and Albert E. Easton,1999,Actuarial Aspects of Individual Life Insurance and Annuity Contracts 05.David Atkinson and James Dallas,2000,Life Insurance Products and Finance,Chapter 10,Profit Testing 06.BIS Quarterly Review, September,2004,Domestic Debt Securities by residence of issuer,IMF 四、網站部分 01.日本法令資訊提供系統,http://law.e-gov.go.jp/cgi-bin/idxsearch.cgi 02.中華民國人壽保險同業公會,http://www.lia-roc.org.tw/ 03.全國博碩士論文資訊網,http://datas.ncl.edu.tw/ 04.財團法人保險事業發展中心,http://www.iiroc.org.tw/ 05.行政院金融監督管理委員會,http://www.fscey.gov.tw/mp.asp 06.高力國際物業顧問公司,http://www.colliers.com/Markets/Taiwan/ 07.中央銀行,http://www.cbc.gov.tw/ 08. Federal Reserve Bank of New York,http://www.newyorkfed.org/markets/statistics/dlyrates/fedrate.html/ 09. 美國保險協會(ACLI),http://www.acli.com 10. Monetary Authority of Singapore(MAS),http://www.mas.gov.sg/masmcm/bin/pt1Subsidiary_Legislation_Administered_by_Mas_ID.htm 11. 日本生命保險協會,http://www.seiho.or.jp/toukei/xls/toukei2004.4-3.xls 12. 財政部中央信託局,http://www.ctoc.com.tw/ 13. 臺灣銀行,http://www.bot.com.tw/default.htm 14. 第一銀行,http://www.firstbank.com.tw/eportal/fcbweb/index.jsp 15. 合作金庫銀行,http://www.tcb-bank.com.tw/wps/portal 16. 中華票券金融公司,http://www.cbf.com.tw/ 17. 高力國際物業顧問公司,http://www.colliers.com/Markets/Taiwan/MarketReports/ 18. Manetary Aurthority of Singapore,https://secure.mas.gov.sg/masmcm/bin/pt1Assets_n_Liabilities_2003.htm 19. 鉅亨網,http://www.cnyes.com/ 20. Bureau of the Public Debt,http://wwws.publicdebt.treas.gov/AI/OFBills 21.FindLaw,http://caselaw.lp.findlaw.com/nycodes/c52/a9.html/ |
Description: | 碩士 國立政治大學 風險管理與保險研究所 91932804 93 |
Source URI: | http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0091932804 |
Data Type: | thesis |
Appears in Collections: | [風險管理與保險學系] 學位論文
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