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Title: | 高速鐵路特定區產業發展之比較分析 A Comparative Analysis of the Impact of High-Speed Rail on Industrial Development in Specific Regions |
Authors: | 郭以潔 Kuo, I-Chieh |
Contributors: | 白仁德 Pai, Jen-Te 郭以潔 Kuo, I-Chieh |
Keywords: | 高鐵特定區 產業結構 產業多樣性 多尺度地理加權迴歸 判別分析 THSR-Designated Zones Industrial Structure Industrial Diversity Multiscale Geographically Weighted Regression Discriminant Analysis |
Date: | 2025 |
Issue Date: | 2025-09-01 14:35:18 (UTC+8) |
Abstract: | 臺灣高鐵車站大多位於原先土地開發程度較低且發展較緩慢之地區,與國外高鐵系統發展先天條件不一,需要相關研究探討臺灣高鐵特定區發展情形,同時評估與衡量高鐵特定區劃設對臺灣歷年產業發展產生的影響,根據以上動機,將研究目的設定為系統性比較分析高鐵系統對於特定區產業結構造成之衝擊與效益。 本研究以2001至 2021年工業及服務業普查資料與高鐵特定區域社會經濟、區位條件及建成環境發展數據為研究基礎資料,透過敘述統計及熵指標比較高鐵系統對於歷年特定區產業就業人數及產業多樣性的變化,以最小平方法及多尺度地理加權迴歸分析影響不同層面產業發展主因,以K-means集群分析法區分9個縣市高鐵特定區歷年產業發展強度,並執行判別分析解釋影響整體產業發展關鍵。 實證分析顯示,主要城市高鐵特定區的產業結構率先轉型、產業多樣性程度較高且產業整體發展強度較佳,凸顯高鐵特定區產業活動受到所在縣市發展影響;高鐵營運初期特定區產業多樣性受高鐵影響產生正面效益,但後期高鐵影響力內化為產業發展的背景條件,增加勞動力供給方可維持產業永續發展;高鐵特定區土地使用分區規劃對整體產業發展造成衝擊,建議未來特定區計畫之檢討與規劃可適當增加公園綠地及產業專用區的劃設以提升當地產業發展強度與效率。 Most Taiwan High-Speed Rail (THSR) stations are located in areas that were originally less developed and exhibited slower growth. This differs from the inherent conditions under which high-speed rail systems were developed in other countries. Therefore, research is needed to examine the development patterns of THSR station areas in Taiwan and to assess and evaluate the impact of THSR station zoning on Taiwan's industrial development over the years. Based on this motivation, the objective of this study is to conduct a systematic comparative analysis of the impacts and benefits of the THSR system on the industrial structure within designated station areas. This study uses data from the 2001 to 2021 Industry and Service Census, as well as socio-economic, locational, and built environment development data of areas designated for THSR station zones. Through descriptive statistics and entropy indexes, the study compares changes in industrial employment and diversity over time in these designated areas influenced by the THSR system. Using Ordinary Least Squares and Multiscale Geographically Weighted Regression, the study analyzes the key drivers behind various aspects of industrial development. K-means clustering is used to classify the development intensity of THSR station areas in nine cities over the years, and discriminant analysis is employed to explain the critical factors influencing overall industrial development. Empirical results indicate that THSR-designated areas in major cities experienced earlier industrial structural transformation, exhibited greater industrial diversity, and had stronger overall industrial development. This underscores the influence of local municipal development on industrial activity in THSR zones. In the early stages of THSR operation, industrial diversity in designated areas benefited positively from the presence of the high-speed rail. However, in later stages, the influence of the THSR became internalized as a background condition for industrial development. Sustained industrial growth increasingly depends on the supply of labor. Land use zoning in THSR station areas significantly impacts overall industrial development. Therefore, future reviews and planning of these designated zones should consider appropriately increasing the allocation of green spaces and areas designated for industrial use to enhance the intensity and efficiency of local industrial development. |
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Description: | 碩士 國立政治大學 地政學系 112257020 |
Source URI: | http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0112257020 |
Data Type: | thesis |
Appears in Collections: | [地政學系] 學位論文
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