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    题名: 電動車至家庭 (V2H) 之成本有效性分析 : 車主觀點vs全社會觀點
    Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Vehicle-to-Home (V2H): EV Owner Perspective vs. Societal Perspective
    作者: 鄭特緯
    贡献者: 許志義
    吳學良

    鄭特緯
    关键词: 電動車
    電動車至家庭
    成本有效性
    敏感度分析
    淨現值
    益本比
    Electric Vehicle
    Vehicle-to-Home(V2H)
    Cost-Effectiveness
    Sensitivity Analysis
    Net Present Value(NPV)
    Benefit-Cost Ratio(BCR)
    日期: 2025
    上传时间: 2025-08-04 12:52:10 (UTC+8)
    摘要: 本研究旨在從電動車車主觀點與全社會觀點出發,探討「電動車至家庭」(Vehicle-to-Home, V2H)模式在不同電價結構下的經濟可行性。透過設定三種模式(分別對應累進電價、二段式時間電價與三段式時間電價)與六種情境,分析電動車在執行V2H過程中之固定成本、變動成本與潛在效益,並運用淨現值法與益本比法之決策項與燃油車競品進行成本有效性分析以及針對電價結構的敏感度分析。
    研究結果指出,對於夏月用電超過1,400度、非夏月用電超過1,300度之高用電家庭,採用結合電動車充換電設施電價與累進電價之模式一,在車主觀點與全社會觀點下皆具較佳成本有效性,主要原因為高用電量家庭於累進電價下節省電費效益顯著,同時可藉電動車充換電設施離峰特別優惠電價降低充電成本;相較之下,兩種時間電價雖具尖離峰價差優勢,惟實際節省電費支出的效果,對於此類高用電家庭來說,仍不及累進電價架構。
    此外,敏感度分析顯示:電價結構變動擴大尖離峰價差倍數,亦有助提升V2H模式的成本有效性。
    This study aims to evaluate the economic feasibility of the Vehicle-to-Home (V2H) model from both the perspective of electric vehicle (EV) owners and that of society as a whole under different electricity pricing structures. By designing three application models—corresponding to progressive pricing, two-tier time-of-use pricing, and three-tier time-of-use pricing—and simulating six scenarios, this study analyzes the fixed costs, variable costs, and potential benefits involved in the implementation of V2H. The cost-effectiveness is assessed through Net Present Value (NPV) and Benefit-Cost Ratio (BCR) methods, in comparison with conventional internal combustion engine vehicles, along with a sensitivity analysis on the electricity rate structures. The data used in this study is primarily derived from real-world settings and market prices, simulating the impact of V2H in high electricity consumption households during summer and non-summer months.
    The research findings indicate that for high-consumption households—defined as those with monthly electricity usage exceeding 1,400 kWh in summer months and 1,300 kWh in non-summer months—the adoption of Mode 1, which integrates EV charging tariffs with progressive electricity pricing, demonstrates superior cost-effectiveness from both the vehicle owner's and the societal perspectives. This is primarily attributable to the significant electricity bill savings under the progressive tariff structure for high-consumption households, as well as the ability to leverage off-peak discounted EV charging rates to reduce charging costs. In contrast, although time-of-use pricing schemes offer peak and off-peak price differentials, the actual cost-saving effect for such high-consumption households remains less pronounced than that under the progressive tariff regime.
    In addition, sensitivity analyses reveal that enlarging the price ratio between peak and off-peak periods under time-of-use pricing structures can further enhance the cost-effectiveness of the V2H model.
    參考文獻: 一、 中文文獻
    1. 交通部統計處(2022)。111年自用小客車使用狀況調查報告。中華民國交通部。
    2. 行政院國家發展委員會(2025)。臺灣總體減碳行動計畫。臺灣行政院國家發展委員會。
    3. 林宏濬(2023)。智慧微電網成本有效性之實證研究。國立政治大學經濟學系未出版之碩士論文。
    4. 張國廷 (2006)。 都市旅次外部成本之研究。國立臺灣大學土木工程學系未出版之碩士論文。
    5. 許志義、黃國暐 (2010)。「臺灣能源需求面管理成本效益分析之應用」。能源經濟學術研討會。
    6. 許志義 (2012)。「看南韓 用電多課奢侈捐」。聯合報。
    7. 許志義、賴慶明、陳宗薊 (2022)。「電動車V2G市場的價值與展望(上)」。《原子能核研所—能源簡析平台》,2022年7月。
    8. 許志義、賴慶明、陳宗薊 (2022)。「電動車V2G市場的價值與展望(下)」。《原子能核研所—能源簡析平台》,2022年7月。
    9. 陳聖岳、許志義 (2023)。「聚合商電動巴士到電網(B2G)商業模式分析」。《台灣能源期刊》,10(3),367-385。
    10. 黃仁俊 (2023)。電動巴士儲能對電網售電營運模式之成本有效性分析。國立政治大學經濟學系未出版之碩士論文。
    11. 楊豐碩、陳士麟、許志義、林師模、陳詩豪、歐陽利姝、盧豐彰、何玉麗、林章平、許世哲、施雅慧、林啟明、洪育民、陳隆武 (2011)。「缺電成本之調查研究」。《台電工程月刊》,754,55-75。
    12. 劉庭瑋 (2017)。台灣社會折現率之實證研究。國立臺北大學自然資源與環境管理研究所未出版之碩士論文。
    13. 蔡志祥、許志義、葉法明 (2021)。「電動汽車儲能對電網售電營運模式之成本有效性分析」。《台灣能源期刊》,8(1),55–77。
    14. 蕭代基、鄭蕙燕、吳珮瑛、錢玉蘭、溫麗琪 (2002)。《環境保護之成本效益分析—理論、方法與應用》。俊傑圖書公司。

    二、 英文文獻
    1. Australian Government. Department of Climate Change, Energy, the Environment and Water. (2023). National electric vehicle strategy.
    2. Bajolle, H., Lagadic, M., & Louvet, N. (2022). The future of lithium-ion batteries: Exploring expert conceptions, market trends, and price scenarios. Energy Research & Social Science, 93, 102850.
    3. Bessa, R. J., & Matos, M. A. (2012). Economic and technical management of an aggregation agent for electric vehicles: A literature survey. European Transactions on Electrical Power, 22(3), 334–350.
    4. Belrzaeg, M., Abou Sif, M., Almabsout, E., & Benisheikh, U. A. (2023). A comprehensive review on Vehicle-to-Home integration based on home and industrial perspective.
    5. BloombergNEF. (2020). New energy outlook 2020. Bloomberg Finance L.P.
    6. Burnham, A., Gohlke, D., Rush, L., Stephens, T., Zhou, Y., Delucchi, M. A., ... & Boloor, M. (2021). Comprehensive total cost of ownership quantification for vehicles with different size classes and powertrains (No. ANL/ESD-21/4). Argonne National Lab.(ANL), Argonne, IL (United States).
    7. Edison International.(2024). SCE’s Vehicle–Grid–Integration roadmap and industry overview [Presentation]. 43rd Annual Utility Energy Forum. Retrieved May 25, 2025.
    8. enX.(2025). National roadmap for bidirectional EV charging. Australian Renewable Energy Agency (ARENA) & RACE for 2030.
    9. Kempton, W., & Letendre, S. E. (1997). Electric vehicles as a new power source for electric utilities. Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment, 2(3), 157–175.
    10. Kudoh, Y., Motose, R., Tahara, K., & Genchi, Y.(2013). A potential CO2 reduction of vehicle to home system from life cycle perspective. In 2013 World Electric Vehicle Symposium and Exhibition (EVS27) (pp. 1-10). IEEE.
    11. Liu, K., et al. (2021). Lithium-ion battery degradation: what you need to know. Joule, 5(7), 1561–1573.
    12. Lutsey, N., & Nicholas, M. (2019). Update on electric vehicle costs in the United States through 2030. Int. Counc. Clean Transp, 12, 1-12.
    13. National Renewable Energy Laboratory.(2022). Commercial Energy Storage Systems: Performance and Cost Analysis. NREL.
    14. Pacific Northwest National Laboratory.(2020). Cost and Performance Characteristics of Storage Technologies. PNNL.
    15. Rangaraju, S., De Vroey, L., Messagie, M., Mertens, J., & Van Mierlo, J. (2015). Impacts of electricity mix, charging profile, and driving behavior on the emissions performance of battery electric vehicles: A Belgian case study. Applied Energy, 148, 496-505.
    16. U.S. Department of Transportation.(2024). Saving lives with connectivity. U.S. Department of Transportation.
    17. Vadi, S., Bayindir, R., Colak, A. M., & Hossain, E.(2019). A Review on Communication Standards and Charging Topologies of V2G and V2H Operation Strategies. Energies, 12(19), 3748.
    18. U.S. Energy Information Administration.(2023). Distributed Generation, Storage, and Combined Heat and Power (CHP) Systems in Commercial Buildings. EIA.
    19. Wolbertus, R., Kroesen, M., van den Hoed, R., & Chorus, C. G.(2018). Policy effects on charging behaviour of electric vehicle owners and on purchase intentions of prospective owners: Natural and stated choice experiments. Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment, 62, 283-297.

    三、 網路資源
    1. 台電公司(2025)。電價表。
    https://www.taipower.com.tw/2289/2290/46940/46945/normalPost
    2. Nuvve Holding Corp.(2023). SDG&E and Cajon Valley Union School District flip the switch on region’s first vehicle-to-grid project.
    https://nuvve.com/sdge-and-cajon-valley-union-school-district-flip-the-switch-on-regions-first-vehicle-to-grid-project-featuring-local-electric-school-busescapable-of-sending-power-to-the-grid
    3. Schmidt, B.(2025). Bidirectional EV chargers explained: V2G, V2H & V2L in Australia (2025 guide). The Driven.
    https://www.solarchoice.net.au/ev/charging/bidirectional-v2g-V2H-v2l
    4. Sempra.(2023). SDG&E and General Motors explore vehicle-grid and vehicle-home technology.
    https://www.sempra.com/newsroom/press-releases/sdge-general-motors-explore-vehicle-grid-and-vehicle-home-technology
    5. Smart Energy Council.(2025). Vehicle-to-grid: tried, tested and network ready.
    https://smartenergy.org.au/vehicle-to-grid-tried-tested-and-network-ready/
    6. Southern California Edison.(2023). Accelerating vehicle-to-grid research.
    https://energized.edison.com/stories/accelerating-vehicle-to-grid-research
    7. Toyota.(2012). TMC develops mutual power supply system for electric vehicles and homes: Tests to start in Toyota City at end of 2012.
    https://global.toyota/en/detail/153521?utm_
    8. U.S. Congress(2021): Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act.
    https://www.congress.gov/bill/117th-congress/house-bill/3684
    9. U.S. Department of Transportation. (2024). USDOT releases national deployment plan for Vehicle-to-Everything (V2X) technologies to reduce deaths and serious injuries on America’s roadways. Federal Highway Administration.
    https://highways.dot.gov/newsroom/usdot-releases-national-deployment-plan-vehicle-everything-v2x-technologies-reduce-death
    描述: 碩士
    國立政治大學
    經濟學系
    112258030
    資料來源: http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0112258030
    数据类型: thesis
    显示于类别:[經濟學系] 學位論文

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