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    题名: 我國租金補貼政策對租賃住宅租金之影響
    The Impact of Taiwan's Rental Subsidy Policy on Rental Housing Rent
    作者: 范碩光
    Fan, Shuo-Kuang
    贡献者: 林左裕
    Lin, Tso-Yu
    范碩光
    Fan, Shuo-Kuang
    关键词: 租金補貼政策
    租賃住宅市場
    租金
    ARDL共整合分析法
    Rent Subsidy Policy
    Rental Housing Market
    Rent
    ARDL Cointegration Analysis
    日期: 2025
    上传时间: 2025-03-03 15:17:06 (UTC+8)
    摘要: 本文旨在探討我國於2007年起實施之租金補貼政策對全國租賃住宅平均租金的影響，研究期間1986年至2021年，採用ARDL共整合分析法，並分別以政策虛擬變數及租金補貼金額作為補貼政策的代理變數進行分析。研究結果顯示，我國租金補貼政策對全國租賃住宅平均租金具有長期顯著的正向影響，但並未觀察到實質租金顯著上漲的現象，顯示2007年政策實施後對實質租金的影響相當有限。換言之，現階段的租金補貼政策可在維持租賃住宅市場穩定的同時，達成減輕家庭生活負擔的政策目標，並未引發明顯的所得效果。
    This study aims to examine the impact of Taiwan’s rental subsidy policy, implemented since 2007, on the national average rent for rental housing. The research period covers 1986 to 2021, employing the ARDL cointegration analysis. The policy is analyzed using both a policy dummy variable and the rental subsidy amount as proxy variables. The empirical results indicate that Taiwan’s rental subsidy policy has a significant long-term positive effect on the national average rent. However, no substantial increase in real rent has been observed, suggesting that the policy’s influence on real rent remains limited. In other words, the current rental subsidy policy helps stabilize the rental housing market while achieving its goal of alleviating household financial burdens, without triggering a noticeable income effect.
    參考文獻: 中文參考文獻

    一、期刊論文
    1.吳彥葶、張金鶚、江穎慧，2022，「租屋市場之租金與住宅品質知多少？」，『都市與計劃』，49(3)：317-339。
    2.林祖嘉、林素菁，1994，「台灣地區住宅需求價格彈性與所得彈性之估計」，『住宅學報』，(2)：25-48。
    3.陳奕任、李瑞彬，2021，「我國CPI房租指數編製介紹」，『主計月刊』，790期：60-63。
    4.曹志弘，2023，「CPI的事實與想像」，『主計月刊』，806期：66-72。
    5.彭建文、張金鶚，2000，「預期景氣與宣告效果對房地產景氣之影響」，『管理學報』，17(2)：343-368。
    6.彭建文，2004，「台灣出租住宅市場與自有住宅市場價格調整關係之研究」，『都市與計劃』，31(4)：391-412。
    7.曾建穎、張金鶚、花敬群，2005，「不同空間、時間住宅租金與其房價關聯性之研究—台北地區之實證現象分析」，『住宅學報』，14(2)：27-49。
    8.簡嘉嫺、江穎慧，2018「影響住宅租金指數總體性變數之研究」，『土地問題研究季刊』，17(1)：99-110。

    二、博、碩士論文
    1.李祖福，2022，「使用民間大數據租屋資料估算消費者物價指數」，國立臺灣大學經濟學研究所碩士論文：臺北。
    2.呂佳臻，2021，「分析影響租金的總體經濟變數與政府相關政策」，國立中正大學國際經濟學碩士在職專班碩士論文：嘉義。
    3.簡嘉嫺，2018，「住宅租屋市場預警系統之研究」，國立政治大學地政學系研究所碩士論文：臺北。


    英文參考文獻

    一、專書
    1.Pesaran, M.H. and Pesaran, B., 1997, Working with Microfit 4.0: Interactive Econometric Analysis, Oxford: Oxford University Press.

    二、期刊論文
    2.Breusch, T. S., and Pagan, A. R., 1979, “A Simple Test for Heteroscedasticity and Random Coefficient Variation”, Econometrica, 1287-1294.
    3.Brewer, M., Browne, J., Emmerson, C., Hood, A., and Joyce, R., 2019, “The Curious Incidence of Rent Subsidies: Evidence of Heterogeneity from Administrative Data”, Journal of Urban Economics, 114: 103198.
    4.Dickey, D. A., and Fuller, W. A., 1979, “Distribution of the Estimators for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root”, Journal of the American Statistical Association, 74(366a): 427-431.
    5.Dickey, D. A., and Fuller, W. A., 1981, “Likelihood Ratio Statistics for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root”, Econometrica, 49(4): 1057–1072.
    6.Engle, R.F. and C.W.J. Granger, 1987, “Co-Integration and Error Correction: Representation, Estimation and Testing”, Econometrica, 55: 251-276.
    7.Eriksen, M. D., and Ross, A., 2015, “Housing Vouchers and the Price of Rental Housing”, American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, 7(3): 154-176.
    8.Fack, G., 2006, “Are Housing Benefit an Effective Way to Redistribute Income? Evidence from a Natural Experiment in France”, Labour Economics, 13(6): 747-771.
    9.Gibbons, S., and Manning, A., 2006, “The Incidence of UK Housing Benefit: Evidence from the 1990s Reforms”, Journal of Public Economics, 90(4-5): 799-822.
    10.Granger, C. W., and Newbold, P., 1974, “Spurious Regressions in Econometrics”, Journal of Econometrics, 2(2): 111-120.
    11.Hyslop, D. R., and Rea, D., 2019, “Do Housing Allowances Increase rents? Evidence from a Discrete Policy Change”, Journal of Housing Economics, 46: 101657.
    12.Johansen, S., and Juselius, K., 1990, ”Maximum Likelihood Estimation and Inference on Cointegration—with Applications to the Demand for Money”, Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 52(2): 169-210.
    13.Kangasharju, A., 2010, “Housing Allowance and the Rent of Low‐Income Households”, Scandinavian Journal of Economics, 112(3): 595-617.
    14.Laferrère, A., and Le Blanc, D., 2004, “How Do housing Allowances Affect Rents? An Empirical Analysis of the French Case”, Journal of Housing Economics, 13(1): 36-67.
    15.Nkoro, E., and Uko, A. K., 2016, “Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) Cointegration Technique: Application and Interpretation”, Journal of Statistical and Econometric methods, 5(4): 63-91.
    16.Potepan, M. J., 1996, “Explaining Intermetropolitan Variation in Housing Prices, Rents and Land Prices”, Real Estate Economics, 24(2): 219-245.
    17.Pesaran, M. H., and Shin, Y., 1995, “An Autoregressive Distributed Lag Modelling Approach to Cointegration Analysis”, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge, 9514: 371-413.
    18.Pesaran, M. H., Shin, Y., and Smith, R. J., 2001, “Bounds Testing Approaches to the Analysis of Level Relationships”, Journal of Applied Econometrics, 16(3): 289-326.
    19.Phillips, P.C.B., and Perron, P., 1988, “Testing for a Unit Root in Time Series Regression”, Biometrika, 75(2): 335–346,
    20.Rydell, C. P., 1980, “Supply Response to the Housing Allowance Program”, International Regional Science Review, 5(2): 119-138.
    21.Shida, J., 2022, “The Macroeconomic Determinants of House Prices and Rents”, Jahrbücher für Nationalökonomie und Statistik, 242(1): 39-86.
    22.Susin, S., 2002, “Rent Vouchers and the Price of Low-Income Housing”, Journal of Public Economics, 83(1): 109-152.
    23.Viren, M., 2013, “Is the Housing Allowance Shifted to Rental Prices?”, Empirical Economics, 44: 1497-1518.
    24.White, H., 1980, “A Heteroskedasticity-Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimator and a Direct Test for Heteroskedasticity”, Econometrica, 48: 817-838.

    三、工作論文
    1.Eerola, E., and Lyytikäinen, T., 2017, “Housing Allowance and Rents: Evidence from a Stepwise Subsidy Scheme”, VATT Institute for Economic Research, Working Papers 88.
    2.Eerola, E., Lyytikäinen, T., Saarimaa, T., and Vanhapelto, T., 2022, “The Incidence of Housing Allowances: Quasi-Experimental Evidence”, VATT Institute for Economic Research, Working Papers 149.

    四、博、碩士論文
    1.Glad, K., 2019, Does Housing Allowances Raise Rents? - A Literature Review from Finnish Rental Market, Department of Economics, Aalto University School of Business, Espoo, Finland.
    描述: 碩士
    國立政治大學
    地政學系碩士在職專班
    109923015
    資料來源: http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0109923015
    数据类型: thesis
    显示于类别:[地政學系] 學位論文

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