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    Title: 以系統動力學觀點分析疫情對半導體產業供應鏈的衝擊
    A System Dynamics View of the Impact of the Pandemic on the Semiconductor Supply Chain
    Authors: 邱晨瑄
    Khoo, Chern-Shiuan
    Contributors: 鄭至甫
    Jeng, Jyh-Fu
    邱晨瑄
    Khoo, Chern-Shiuan
    Keywords: 供應鏈管理
    長鞭效應
    系統動力學
    Supply Chain Management
    Bullwhip Effect
    System Dynamics
    Date: 2024
    Issue Date: 2024-08-06 14:14:09 (UTC+8)
    Abstract: 新冠疫情為近年全球最具代表性的黑天鵝事件,除了對民生帶來嚴重影響外,也對科技產業造成了嚴重衝擊。其影響甚深,即便已時過半載,許多科技公司仍然未完全走出陰霾,也因此迫使各大廠商開始 重新檢視了自身供應鏈的運作效率,其中受到最嚴重衝擊的莫過於車用半導體產業。由於半導體為汽車製造的關鍵原料,在疫情期間,因為車用半導體的短缺,使得許多汽車公司以及系統廠面臨被迫停工的 窘境,導致了交車交期不斷延後。
    對於疫情的衝擊,過去的研究主要集中在整體產業的供應鏈中斷,往往忽略了公司內部的反應機制以及策略。本論文針對該學術缺口,結合系統動力學的方法,研究了半導體行業內部供應鏈管理。除了文獻回顧外,本文也透過訪談的方式,取得半導體公司的供應鏈運作模 式以及對本次長鞭效應的應對方法,以描繪整體產業的運作面貌。
    本研究發現,本次疫情的影響使得半導體產業在經濟層面受益,但也揭露出了內部許多資訊流的斷點,因此本論文也提出了幾項減緩供應鏈衝擊的方法,像是建立供應鏈控制塔,提升對於供應鏈資訊的掌 握度,又或是採納更多維度的資訊,以獲得下游狀況的真實面貌,減少供應鏈在資訊不對稱下造成的經濟損失。
    The COVID-19 pandemic has had a profound impact on the tech industry, emphasizing the importance of robust supply chain management. As a major global event, the pandemic disrupted supply chains worldwide, causing significant delays and shortages, especially in the automotive semiconductor industry. This has forced companies to re-evaluate and reassess their supply chain strategies to ensure resilience and flexibility in the face of such disruptions. The critical role of semiconductors in various high-tech applications further highlights the necessity for efficient supply chain management to maintain industry competitiveness and meet market demand.
    Previous research on supply chain disruptions primarily focused on external industry conditions, often neglecting the internal response mechanisms within companies. This thesis addresses this gap by investigating the internal dynamics of supply chain management in the automotive semiconductor industry using system dynamics methodology. By conducting a comprehensive case study on a automotive semiconductor company, the research examines internal supply chain management practices and the dynamic relationships within the company's supply chain. The study utilizes system dynamics diagrams to illustrate the impact of the pandemic on the company's supply chain and the recovery of automotive chip demand.
    The findings of this research reveal several strategies to mitigate the bullwhip effect and enhance supply chain resilience. Implementing flowcasting, establishing supply chain control towers, and incorporating customer order behavior as a reference indicator for order forecasting are key recommendations. These strategies aim to improve demand forecasting accuracy, optimize inventory management, and enhance supply chain coordination and transparency. By adopting these measures, the semiconductor industry can better manage future disruptions, ensuring stability and sustainability in its supply chain operations.
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    Description: 碩士
    國立政治大學
    科技管理與智慧財產研究所
    111364128
    Source URI: http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0111364128
    Data Type: thesis
    Appears in Collections:[科技管理與智慧財產研究所] 學位論文

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