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    Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/152707


    Title: 國際貿易能否促進永續發展？世界貿易數據的網路分析
    Can international trade facilitate sustainable development? A network analysis of world trade data
    Authors: 廖其興
    Liao, Chi-Hsing
    Contributors: 何靜嫺
    廖其興
    Liao, Chi-Hsing
    Keywords: 全球貿易網絡
    中心性
    外溢效果
    環境保護
    Global trade network
    Centrality
    Spillover
    Environmental Protection
    Date: 2024
    Issue Date: 2024-08-05 13:38:07 (UTC+8)
    Abstract: 本文利用聯合國貿易數據庫的進出口實際數據，構建1996年至2022年間涵蓋144個國家的27個全球貿易網絡。研究方法包括採用閾值法建立網絡，利用網絡中心性(度中心性、緊密中心性、介數中心性)與網絡指標（網絡密度、同配性和模組度）分析全球貿易網絡的演變。並進一步探討環境保護的程度是否能透過國際貿易在國家之間產生溢出效應，並研究這種溢出效應的規模如何受網絡結構影響。此外，我們還分析了需求拉動和供給推動兩種溢出效應的具體表現。本研究發現，主要進口國和出口國能透過貿易網絡對其他國家的環境保護程度有顯著影響。依研究結果顯示，全球貿易網絡結構的變化會影響國家的環境保護水平。此外，本文進一步發現，主要出口大國對於貿易聯繫較少的國家存在顯著的供給推動外溢效果，而主要進口大國並無顯著的需求拉動外溢效應存在。這些發現對於政策制定者在推動環保政策和國際貿易政策時提供了寶貴的實證依據。未來的研究可以納入更多指標，如碳排放、空氣質量和水資源利用，以提供更全面的分析。同時，擴展數據範圍，收集和分析更多國家和更長時期的數據，將有助於提高研究結果的普遍性和穩健性。
    Our paper constructs 27 global trade networks covering 144 countries from 1996 to 2022. The research methods include using the threshold method to establish networks and analyzing the evolution of global trade networks through network centrality and other indicators. Furthermore, it explores whether environmental protection can generate spillover effects between countries through international trade and how network structures influence these spillover effects. The paper also analyzes the specific manifestations of demand-pull and supply-push spillover effects. The research indicates that major importing and exporting countries can significantly influence environmental protection in other countries through trade networks. Additionally, notable spillover effects from major exporting countries are observed in countries with fewer trade connections. These findings provide valuable empirical evidence for policymakers in promoting environmental protection and international trade policies. Future research could incorporate more indicators such as carbon emissions, air quality, and water resource utilization to provide a more comprehensive analysis. Expanding the data scope to include more countries and longer periods will also help enhance the generalizability and robustness of the research results.
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    Description: 碩士
    國立政治大學
    經濟學系
    111258031
    Source URI: http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0111258031
    Data Type: thesis
    Appears in Collections:[經濟學系] 學位論文

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