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| Title: | 企業法人說明會文本情緒與股票報酬之研究 - 應用深度學習BERT模型
Sentiment in Earnings Call Texts and Stock Abnormal Returns - Application of Deep Learning BERT Model |
| Authors: | 李彥霖
Lee, Yean-Lin |
| Contributors: | 林靖庭
Lin, Ching-Ting
李彥霖
Lee, Yean-Lin |
| Keywords: | 法說會
BERT
投資策略
自然語言處理
法規影響
Earnings call
BERT
Investment strategies
Natural language processing
Regulatory impact |
| Date: | 2024 |
| Issue Date: | 2024-07-01 12:34:32 (UTC+8) |
| Abstract: | 本研究運用BERT模型對台灣上市公司法說會的文本進行深度情緒分析，並根據不同法規期間，將資料分為三個時期研究，旨在探討法說會文本情緒對公司股價的影響以及法說會召開頻率是否能夠減少資訊不對稱的問題。
研究結果顯示，隨著監管要求提高法說會頻率，市場對法說會情緒的反應變得越來越迅速和明確。在提高法說會召開頻率之後，法說會隔天股價出現0.18%的顯著異常報酬，這表明法說會傳遞了額外資訊，且法說會後第二天不再有顯著異常報酬。相較於無強制規範法說會召開頻率時，法說會後第十天才出現顯著-0.22%的異常報酬，資訊不對稱問題得到改善。此外，短期內負面報酬比例顯著下降，市場對法說會情緒的解讀從悲觀轉向樂觀。
本研究不僅證實了法說會情緒對股價有實質影響，也顯示了利用自然語言處理技術對法說會進行情緒分析在投資策略中的實用性和有效性。
This study employs the BERT model to conduct a deep sentiment analysis of earnings call transcripts from publicly traded companies in Taiwan. The data is segmented into three periods based on different regulatory phases, aiming to explore the impact of sentiment in earnings call transcripts on stock prices and whether the frequency of earnings calls can mitigate the issue of information asymmetry.
The results indicate that as regulatory requirements increased the frequency of earnings calls, the market's response to the sentiment expressed in these calls became more rapid and clear. Following the increased frequency of earnings calls, there was a significant abnormal return of 0.18% on the day after the earnings call, indicating that the earnings calls conveyed additional information. Furthermore, no significant abnormal return was observed on the second day after the earnings call. In contrast, during the period without mandatory frequency regulations, a significant abnormal return of -0.22% was only observed on the tenth day after the earnings call, indicating an improvement in information asymmetry. Additionally, the proportion of short-term negative returns significantly decreased, and the market's interpretation of earnings call sentiment shifted from pessimistic to optimistic.
This study not only confirms that the sentiment of earnings calls has a substantial impact on stock prices but also demonstrates the practicality and effectiveness of using natural language processing techniques for sentiment analysis of earnings calls in investment strategies. |
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23. Zhao, L., Li, L., Zheng, X., & Zhang, J. (2021). A BERT based sentiment analysis and key entity detection approach for online financial texts. In 2021 IEEE 24th International conference on computer supported cooperative work in design (CSCWD) (pp. 1233-1238). IEEE. |
| Description: | 碩士
國立政治大學
金融學系
112352018 |
| Source URI: | http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0112352018 |
| Data Type: | thesis |
| Appears in Collections: | [金融學系] 學位論文
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