政大機構典藏-National Chengchi University Institutional Repository(NCCUR):Item 140.119/150839
English  |  正體中文  |  简体中文  |  Post-Print筆數 : 27 |  Items with full text/Total items : 113648/144635 (79%)
Visitors : 51579494      Online Users : 1004
RC Version 6.0 © Powered By DSPACE, MIT. Enhanced by NTU Library IR team.
Scope Tips:
  • please add "double quotation mark" for query phrases to get precise results
  • please goto advance search for comprehansive author search
    •  Adv. Search
    Home ‧ Login ‧ Upload ‧ Help ‧ About ‧ Administer Goto mobile version


    Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/150839


    Title: 恐懼在現實主義的角色--以2022年中共「環臺軍演」為例
    The Role of Fear in Realism: The Case of PRC's Military Drills around Taiwan in 2022
    Authors: 于廣
    Yu, Kuang
    Contributors: 國際關係學報
    Keywords: 恐懼;現實主義;攻勢現實主義;嚇阻;中共對臺軍
    fear;realism;offensive realism;deterrence;PRC's military drills against Taiwan
    Date: 2022-12
    Issue Date: 2024-04-12 14:47:01 (UTC+8)
    Abstract: 恐懼（fear）雖然是現實主義的重要概念，但長期受無政府狀態框架的制約，淪為國際結構附屬產物，鮮少用來解釋國家對外行為；謝林（Thomas Schelling）從國家戰略的角度出發，認為恐懼有助國家推動嚇阻戰略，米爾斯海默（John Mearsheimer）則連結恐懼與意圖（intention），主張國家必須對他國意圖做最壞打算，從而賦予國家藉由塑造恐懼影響國際情勢、從而追求權力最大化的空間。本文嘗試結合兩者，主張嚇阻戰略也可以藉由主動對外塑造恐懼，增加國際情勢的不確定性，迫使對手自我克制，從而達成壓迫對手的目的。例如，中共於2022年在時任美國眾議院議長裴洛西（Nancy Pelosi）訪臺後，對臺進行高強度「環臺軍演」，提高臺海情勢的不確定性，增加臺灣及美國對戰爭的恐懼，迫使臺灣及美國在一定期間內避免刺激中共，暫時調整原本與中共對抗行為。
    Although fear is an important concept of realism, it has long been studied under anarchy system, and has become a subsidiary product of the international structure. Fear has rarely been used to explain a state's behavior. From the perspective of national strategy, Thomas Schelling argues that fear helps states promote deterrence strategy. John Mearsheimer, on the other hand, connects fear with state's intention. He argues that states should always prepare for the worst about other's intention, thus states can leverage fear to influence international relations in order to pursue power maximization. Therefore, this study argues that the purpose of the deterrence strategy can also be to actively create fear externally. A state can restrain and oppress its opponents by increasing the uncertainty of the international situation or regional stability. For example, the Chinese military conducted live-fire military drills around Taiwan after U.S House Speaker Nancy Pelosi's Taiwan visit in August 2022. The PRC escalated tensions and fueled uncertainty in the Taiwan Strait in order to warn the U.S. and Taiwan to avoid provocation and confrontation with the PRC.
    Relation: 國際關係學報, 54, 57-86
    Data Type: article
    DOI link: https://doi.org/10.30413/TJIR.202212_(54).0003
    DOI: 10.30413/TJIR.202212_(54).0003
    Appears in Collections:[Journal of international relations] Journal Articles

    Files in This Item:

    File Description SizeFormat
    index.html0KbHTML95View/Open


    All items in 政大典藏 are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved.


    社群 sharing

    著作權政策宣告 Copyright Announcement
    1.本網站之數位內容為國立政治大學所收錄之機構典藏，無償提供學術研究與公眾教育等公益性使用，惟仍請適度，合理使用本網站之內容，以尊重著作權人之權益。商業上之利用，則請先取得著作權人之授權。
    The digital content of this website is part of National Chengchi University Institutional Repository. It provides free access to academic research and public education for non-commercial use. Please utilize it in a proper and reasonable manner and respect the rights of copyright owners. For commercial use, please obtain authorization from the copyright owner in advance.

    2.本網站之製作，已盡力防止侵害著作權人之權益，如仍發現本網站之數位內容有侵害著作權人權益情事者，請權利人通知本網站維護人員(nccur@nccu.edu.tw)，維護人員將立即採取移除該數位著作等補救措施。
    NCCU Institutional Repository is made to protect the interests of copyright owners. If you believe that any material on the website infringes copyright, please contact our staff(nccur@nccu.edu.tw). We will remove the work from the repository and investigate your claim.
    DSpace Software Copyright © 2002-2004  MIT &  Hewlett-Packard  /   Enhanced by   NTU Library IR team Copyright ©   - Feedback