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Title: | 全球化及區域和平化對日本及南韓武器進口之影響 The Effects of Globalization and Regional Peace on Japan and South Korea’s Arm Imports |
Authors: | 黃炤傑 Huang, Chao-Chieh |
Contributors: | 翁永和 Weng, Yung-Ho 黃炤傑 Huang, Chao-Chieh |
Keywords: | 武器貿易 全球化 和平 日本 南韓 Arms trade Globalization Peace Japan South Korea |
Date: | 2023 |
Issue Date: | 2024-02-01 11:22:44 (UTC+8) |
Abstract: | 本研究係以日本及南韓為研究樣本,援引貿易引力模型為基礎(包含武器進、出口國之GDP、人均GDP及兩國間的地理距離),加以探討全球化及區域和平化對日韓兩國武器進口的影響,並納入國防支出、政體差異及聯盟關係等其它可能的影響因素進行討論,藉蒐整樣本國家2012至2022年間的現況資料及數據,據以區分兩部份建立實證模型,並以最小平方法(OLS)進行實證分析。根據實證結果顯示,「全球化」具有顯著的正向關聯,「區域和平化」則無顯著影響,此外,武器出口國的「GDP」及「人均GDP」亦對日本及南韓的武器進口具有顯著的正向影響,而在考量「聯盟關係」的影響後,「聯盟關係」將具有更為顯著的正向解釋力,並同時降低「武器出口國GDP」的顯著性,另外使得「武器出口國人均GDP」變得不再顯著,由此可見「聯盟關係」對日韓的武器進口具有決定性的作用。 This study utilizes Japan and South Korea as research samples, employing the trade gravity model as a foundation (including weapon imports, the GDP of exporting and importing countries, per capita GDP, and the geographical distance between the two countries). The study explores the impact of globalization and regional peace on weapon imports in Japan and South Korea. Additionally, other potential influencing factors such as defense expenditure, differences in democratization levels, and alliance relationships are considered for discussion. By collecting and organizing current data and statistics from the sample countries between 2012 and 2022, the study establishes empirical models in two parts. These models are then subjected to empirical analysis using the Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) method. According to the empirical results, "globalization" exhibits a significant positive correlation, while "regional peace" shows no significant impact. Furthermore, the GDP and per capita GDP of the weapon-exporting country also have a significant positive influence on weapon imports in Japan and South Korea. Considering the impact of "alliance relationships," it is found that these relationships have a more significant positive explanatory power and simultaneously reduce the significance of "weapon-exporting country GDP." This, in turn, makes "weapon-exporting country per capita GDP" no longer significant. Therefore, it is evident that "alliance relationships" play a decisive role in the weapon imports of Japan and South Korea. |
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Description: | 碩士 國立政治大學 行政管理碩士學程 111921320 |
Source URI: | http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0111921320 |
Data Type: | thesis |
Appears in Collections: | [行政管理碩士學程(MEPA)] 學位論文
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