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Title:	俄烏戰爭背景下東協與俄羅斯關係之研究 A Study on ASEAN-Russia Relations in the Context of Russia-Ukraine War
Authors:	鄧詠中 Tang, Wing-Chung Ivy
Contributors:	林永芳 Lin, Yung-Fang 鄧詠中 Tang, Wing-Chung Ivy
Keywords:	俄羅斯俄烏戰爭東協東協-俄羅斯避險 Russia Russia-Ukraine war ASEAN ASEAN-Russia hedging
Date:	2023
Issue Date:	2023-09-01 16:14:23 (UTC+8)
Abstract:	俄烏戰爭反映俄羅斯與東協成員不同戰略願景。此研究探討俄烏戰爭背景下，東協與俄羅斯關係，東協國家外交、經濟及軍事避險級別分為高、中及低三級。俄烏戰爭仍持續，此研究集中探討俄烏戰爭開始至2023年6月期間，東協與俄羅斯關係。新加坡及緬甸避險程度為低，預料新加坡將維持其強硬立場及制裁俄羅斯；緬甸則繼續與俄羅斯保持密切關係。預料柬埔寨將繼續提供排雷訓練予烏克蘭，並與俄羅斯探討軍事合作。越南與俄羅斯的經濟連繫，或受中國船隻進入越俄合資天然氣區塊事件影響。預料越南、菲律賓及馬來西亞將分散武器來源；汶萊將與俄羅斯發展更緊密軍事合作；寮國、泰國及印尼將與俄羅斯發展更緊密經濟關係。 The Russia-Ukraine war illustrates the different strategic visions of Russia and ASEAN members. This research studies ASEAN-Russia relations in the context of the Russia-Ukraine war, the hedging levels of ASEAN states in diplomatic, economic and military aspects are divided into three categories: high, medium and low. While the Russia-Ukraine war is still on going, this study focuses on ASEAN-Russia relations since the outbreak of war till June 2023. The hedging levels of Singapore and Myanmar were low, it is predicted that Singapore will continue its strong stand and sanctions towards Russia; Myanmar will remain close to Russia. Cambodia will continue to support Ukraine through deminer training and discuss military cooperation with Russia. Vietnam’s economic ties with Russia may be hindered, due to China’s incursions into Russian-operated gas fields jointly operated with Vietnam. Vietnam, Philippines and Malaysia will diversify the sources of weapons; Brunei will develop closer military cooperation with Russia; whereas Laos, Thailand, Indonesia will develop closer economic relations with Russia.
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Description:	碩士國立政治大學國際研究英語碩士學位學程(IMPIS) 110862008
Source URI:	http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0110862008
Data Type:	thesis
Appears in Collections:	[International Master`s Program in International Studies] Theses

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