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Title: | 台股 ETF 成分股調整績效研究– 以市值 100 億以上為例 A Study on the Investment Performance of Taiwan ETF Adjustment |
Authors: | 陳興穎 Chen, Hsing-Ying |
Contributors: | 謝淑貞 Hsieh, Shu-Chen 陳興穎 Chen, Hsing-Ying |
Keywords: | 異常報酬 成分股 績效比較 |
Date: | 2023 |
Issue Date: | 2023-07-06 15:14:55 (UTC+8) |
Abstract: | 本研究根據指數公開說明書時發現指數調整會有三個時段分別為審核基準日、宣告日、生效日。此外,過往國內外學者證實指數於宣告日調整時,其變動成分股會產生異常報酬(Abnormal Return)。因此本研究先去探討成分股調整是否能藉由規則計算,進而整理成分股於審核基準日至宣告日、宣告日至生效日兩種期間的績效。在此我們採取樣本為「元大台灣 50」、「元大高股息」、「國泰台灣 5G+」、「富邦台 50」、「富邦特選高股息 30」、「中信關鍵半導體」、「富邦公司治理」、「元大台灣高息低波」、「元大臺灣 ESG 永續」。最終本研究藉由審核基準日至宣告日期間與宣告日至生效日期間的績效比較,發現納入股在審核基準日至宣告日期間績效更勝於宣告日至生效日期間;剔除股雖審核基準日至宣告日期間績效不如宣告日至生效日期間,但由於報酬率仍為正且勝率維持於一定水平之上,因此本研究認為市場在納入股、剔除股上皆領先反應。本研究建議投資者除了過往學者研究成分股於宣告日後股價反應順勢持有納入股、賣出剔除股之外,更能透過各 ETF 公開說明書上的規則於審核基準日當天計算出當期指數調整的納入股、剔除股有哪些,並且於審核基準日時就買進納入股、賣出剔除股。 Based on the index prospectus, the study finds there are three periods of index adjustment, which are the based date, announce date, effective date. In addition, previous investment indicated that when the index is reconstructing, its constituent stocks produces abnormal return after announce date. Therefore, the study first explores whether investors could calculate which stock is newest constituent stock based on the index prospectus, and then sorts out the performance of constituent stocks during the two periods (From the based date to the announcement date. From the announcement date to the effective date). The study is based on the data obtained from Taiwan 50 Index, Taiwan High Dividend Index, Taiwan 5G plus, Fubon Taiwan 50 ETF, Fubon Corporate Governance 100 ETF, Fubon Taiwan high dividend 30 ETF, Yuanta Taiwan High Dividend Low Volatility ETF, Yuanta Good TIP Taiwan ESG ETF, CTBC Taiwan ESG Leading semiconductor ETF. The study indicates that the performance of addition stocks during the based date to the announcement date is better than the announcement date to the effective date. However, the performance of deletion stocks during the based date to the announcement date isn’t better than the announcement date to the effective date. Although the performance deletion stocks aren’t as expected, its’ rate of return and winning rate are maintained above a certain level. The Study believes that market is ahead of reaction to the addition and deletion stocks. Because investors could calculate newest constituent stocks from index prospectus and the performance results during those two periods, the study suggests investors could buy addition stocks and sell deletion stocks at based date. |
Reference: | 一、 中文文獻
1. 陸姿樺(2007)。成分股調整之股價效應:以摩根台指與台灣50指數作比較。國立政治大學財務管理研究所論文,台北市。 2. 紀嘉瑜(2008)台灣50指數成分股變動之價量效果。國立政治大學國際經營與貿易研究所論文,台北市。 3. 黃友志(2012)指數成分股調整之投資績效研究。國立雲林科技大學/財務金融系碩士班論文,雲林縣。 4. 鍾俊文、林家緯 (2006) 摩臺指與臺灣50指數變動成分股的股價效應-使用報酬指數的實證研究結果。貨幣觀測與信用評等,62,37-46。 5. 潘煇煌(2022)MSCI臺灣指數成分股調整之股價效應。私立淡江大學財務金融學系碩士在職專班論文,台北市。 6. 吳怡儒(2016)。台灣 50 指數成分股調整對價量與法人持股的影響。國立政 治大學財務管理研究所碩士論文,台北市 7. 葉建鑫(2011)。指數成份股改變期間的投資策略分析。國立雲林科技大學財 務金融系碩士班碩士論文,雲林縣。 8. 周煥斌(2006)。臺灣50指數成分股宣告效果分析。國立高雄第一科技大學金融營運所碩士論文,高雄市。 9. 陳思嘉(2022)臺灣公司治理100與櫃買公司治理指數成分股調整之股價效應。私立淡江大學財務金融學系碩士在職專班論文,台北市。 10. 王詠心。臺灣ETF市場發展歷程與未來展望。證交資料期刊,586,14-26。 11. 吳士僮(2020)。ETF 上市對成分股股價報酬之影響分析。德明財經科技大學財務金融系理財與稅務管理碩士班論文,台北市。
二、 英文文獻 1. Dhillon, U., H. Johnson(1991). “Changes in the Standard and Poor’s 500 List.” Journal of Business 64(1): 75-85. 2. Harris, L. and E. Gurel(1986). “Price and Volume Effects Associated with Changes in the S&P 500 List: New Evidence for the Existence of Price Pressures.” Journal of Finance 41(4): 815-829 3. Shankar, S. G. and J. M. Miller(2006), “Market reaction to changes in the S&P SmallCap 600 index,” Financial Review 41: 339-360 |
Description: | 碩士 國立政治大學 國際經營與貿易學系 111351002 |
Source URI: | http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0111351002 |
Data Type: | thesis |
Appears in Collections: | [國際經營與貿易學系 ] 學位論文
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