Loading...
|
Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item:
https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/142130
|
Title: | 創新的威權擴散:中國數位監控科技輸出對接受國民主自由之影響(2014-2019) The Diffusion of Authoritarian Innovation: An Examination of the Impact of China’s Digital Surveillance Technology Export on the Democracy and Freedom in the Recipient Countries, 2014-2019 |
Authors: | 李昱孝 Lee, Yu-Hsiao |
Contributors: | 李佳怡 Lee, Chia-Yi 李昱孝 Lee, Yu-Hsiao |
Keywords: | 威權擴散 數位威權主義 民主衰退 中國監控科技 中興通訊 祖國卡 華為 智慧城市 Authoritarian diffusion Digital authoritarianism Democracy recession China’s surveillance technology ZTE Fatherland Card Huawei Smart city |
Date: | 2022 |
Issue Date: | 2022-10-05 09:16:25 (UTC+8) |
Abstract: | 根據自由之家最新的報告,2022年已是全球自由度連續下降的第16年,許多學者試圖去探究這個前景不樂觀的現象的背後原因為何。大部分研究指出不只是民主內部正面臨挑戰,民主同時也必須面對威權主義興起帶來的威脅,其中監控科技便是強化威權主義的一種工具,它在提供安全的同時也引發隱私和人權相關的擔憂。以中國為例,中國是世界上最先進的監控科技出口大國,但中國也被指控因為出於政治利益而利用這種科技來監控和脅迫人民。截至目前為止,中國是世界監控科技主要的提供者,而其應用監控科技成功管控國內的模式也成為其他國家仿效的範例。
本文的研究目的之一在於觀察中國將如何透過輸出監控科技影響其他國家。一方面本文採用量化研究方法分析國家輸入中國監控科技與其民主衰退的關係為何。本文發現,當觀察對象為所有科技接受國時,結果顯示與中國在智慧城市中的公共安全事項合作將對其政治權利造成負面影響,若輸入中國的監控設備則會損害其人民的集會自由;當把觀察對象以自由之家定義之「自由國家」和「非自由國家」區分,前者無論是與中國進行何種監控科技的合作,其政治權利或集會自由並不會受到影響,然而非自由國家卻會因為智慧城市合作導致其國內政治權利下降。除此之外,本文亦發現輸入監控設備且加入一帶一路的國家其集會自由受到的不利影響更大。
另一方面本文重新探究傳統的威權合作理論並期許「威權擴散」能為監控科技賦能的威權主義的擴散提供更好的解釋。因此,本文提出「創新的威權擴散」概念、試圖在這個框架下解釋委內瑞拉與塞爾維亞近年大幅的民主衰退是否為一種威權擴散。透過個案研究,本文認為中國中興協助委內瑞拉開發的「祖國卡」應為中國的威權擴散,但在缺乏有力證據以及具體影響的結果下,塞爾維亞的個案則不屬於威權擴散的現象。 The progress of global democratization has shown signs of stagnating since the “third wave of democratization” ended—In fact, this year marked the 16th consecutive year that the freedom of the world still declines, according to the latest Freedom House report. Overwhelmed by both this issue and curiosity, scholars have been delving into searching the roots of this unpromising phenomenon, and most studies suggest that not only is democracy per se encountering challenges but is also forced to face the threat posed by the surge of authoritarianism, which can be empowered by surveillance technology, on which this paper is focusing. While surveillance technology provides safety, it also brings about privacy and human rights concerns if it is used without check and balance, and thus it becomes an instrument for the government showing its proclivity for authoritarianism. Take China for example, it is home to the world’s most advanced surveillance technology and is accused of monitoring and coercing people by such technology for political interest. So far, China has become the main provider of this technology, and its success on domestic control with the technology has made it become a role model for other countries to follow.
One purpose of this research is to examine how China will impact the countries that are importing its surveillance technology. This paper applied quantitative methodology to analyze the correlation between the import of China’s surveillance technology and the recession of democracy with collected data. Surprisingly, the result shows that cooperating with Chinese technology company in public safety within smart city project does have a negative effect in all recipient countries’ political rights. In terms of countries’ assembly freedom, importing China’s surveillance equipment has a negative impact. In addition, the result suggests that China’s smart city project leads to a decrease in non-free countries’ political rights, while the freedom in free countries is unaffected by any of the technology cooperation. Moreover, the membership of “One Belt, One Road Initiative,” serving as one of the authoritarian linkages, turns out to enhance not-free countries’ ability of oppressing the freedom of assembly.
The other purpose of this paper is to revisit traditional theories of autocracy cooperation and replace it with “authoritarian diffusion” for better explanation of the diffusion of authoritarianism achieved by surveillance technology. This paper thus proposes the concept of “the diffusion of authoritarian innovation” and explains the case of Venezuela’s and Serbia’s democracy decline using this framework. Through case studies, this paper concludes that the “Fatherland Card” project should be considered as China’s authoritarian diffusion in Venezuela, but the case in Serbia can’t be proved as the effort of China’s authoritarian diffusion due to the lack of evidence and specific consequence of Chinese surveillance technology. |
Reference: | 一、中文部分
羅世宏,「第二屆『世界互聯網』概況」,大陸與兩岸情勢簡報,2015年12月。
蔡英文,「極權主義與現代民主」,政治科學論叢,第19期,頁57-84,2003年12月。
莫大華,「理性主義與建構主義的辯論:國際關係理論的另一次大辯論?」,政治科學論叢,第19期,頁113-138,2003年12月。
二、外文部分
Åberg,. J. & Denk, T., “Diffusion and the choice of democratic government system at the time of democratization,” Zeitschrift für Vergleichende Politikwissenschaft, Vol.14, 2020, pp.75-98.
Agnew, J., “The United States and American Hegemony,” in The Political Geography of the Twentieth-Century (Belhaven Press, ed. P. J. Taylor, 1996), pp.207-238.
Ambrosio. T & Tolstrup. J., “How do we tell authoritarian diffusion from illusion? Exploring methodological issues of qualitative research on authoritarian diffusion,” Quality & Quantity, Vol.53, 2019, pp.2741-2763.
Ambrosio, T., “Constructing a Framework of Authoritarian Diffusion: Concepts, Dynamics, and Future Research,” International Studies Perspectives, Vol.11, 2010, pp.375-392.
Bader, J. & Kästner, A., “External autocracy promotion? The autocratic potential of Russian and Chinese foreign policies,” Comparing autocracies in the early Twenty- first Century Vol.2, 2015, pp.206.
Bank, A., “The study of authoritarian diffusion and cooperation: comparative. lessons on interests versus ideology, nowadays and in history,” Vol.24, No.7, 2017, pp.1345-1357.
Blanton, S. L., “The Transfer of Arms and the Diffusion of Democracy: Do Arms Promote or Undermine the ‘Third Wave’? ” The Social Science Journal, 1999, pp.413-429.
Brinks, D. & Coppedge, M., “Diffusion Is No Illusion: Neighbor Emulation in the Third Wave of Democracy,” Comparative Political Studies, Vol.39, No.4, 2006, pp. 463-489.
Brownlee, J., Democracy prevention: The politics of the US-Egyptian alliance (Cambridge University Press, 2012)
Buzogány, A., “Illiberal democracy in Hungary: authoritarian diffusion or. domestic causation?” Democratization, Vol.24, 2017, pp.1307-1325.
Burnell, P., “Is there a new autocracy promotion?” Fride working paper, 2010.
Cameron, D. & Orenstein, M. “Post-Soviet Authoritarianism: The Influence of Russia in Its ‘Near Abroad’,” Post-Soviet Affairs, Vol.28, 2012, pp.1-44.
Carothers, T., “The end of the transition paradigm,” Vol.13, No.1, Journal of Democracy, 2002, pp.6-21.
Cau, Enrico., “Geopolitical Implications of the Belt and Road Initiative: The Backbone for a New World Order?” Contemporary Chinese Political Economy and Strategic Relations, Vol.4, No.1, 2018, pp.39-105.
Cave, D., et al., “Mapping China’s Technology Giants,” ASPI Issues Paper, Report No.15, 2019.
Cederman, L-E. & Gleditsch, K., “Conquest and regime change: an evolutionary model of the spread of democracy and peace,” International Studies Quarterly, Vol. 48, pp. 603-629.
Chatzky, A. & McBride, J., “China’s Massive Belt and Road Initiative,” Council on Foreign Relations, https://www.cfr.org/backgrounder/chinas-massive-belt-and-road-initiative (2020)
Cohen, J. & Fontaine, R., “Uniting the techno-democracies: How to build digital cooperation,” Foreign Affairs, https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/united- states/2020-10-13/uniting-techno-democracies (2020)
Collier, D., “Understanding Process Tracing,” Political Science and Politics, Vol.44, No.4, 2011, pp.823-830.
Conley, H., et al., “The Second Wave: Digital Infrastructure,” CSIS Report, 2020.
Crawford, K., et al., “AI Now Report,” 2018.
Dave, P., “China exports its restrictive internet policies to dozens of countries: report,” Reuters, https://www.reuters.com/article/us-global-internet-surveillance/china-exports-its-restrictive-internet-policies-to-dozens-of-countries-report-idUSKCN1N63KE (2018)
Diamond, L., “A fourth wave or false start,” Foreign Affairs, https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/middle-east/2011-05-22/fourth-wave-or-false- start (2011)
Diamond, L.,“Facing up to the democratic recession” Vol.26, No.1, Journal of Democracy, 2015, pp.141-155.
Diamond, L., “The Democratic Rollback: The resurgence of the predatory state,” Foreign Affairs, https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/2008-03-02/democratic-rollback (2008)
DiMaggio, P. & Powell, W., “The Iron Cage Revisited: Institutional Isomorphism and Collective Rationality in Organizational Fields.” American Sociological Review, Vol. 48, No.2, 1983, pp. 147-160.
Economy, E. C., “Yes, Virginia, China Is Exporting Its Model,” Council on. Foreign Relations, https://www.cfr.org/blog/yes-virginia-china-exporting-its-model (2019)
Ellis, R. E., “The Strategic Dimension of Chinese Activities in the Latin American Telecommunications Sector,” Revista Científica General José María Córdova, Vol.11, No.11, 2003.
Elkink, J. A., “The International Diffusion of Democracy,” Comparative Political Studies, Vol.44, 2011.
Elkins, Z. & Simmons, B., “On Waves, Clusters, and Diffusion: A Conceptual Framework,” The Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science, Vol.598, 2005, pp. 33-51.
Erdmann, G., “Transition from democracy,. Loss of quality, hybridization and breakdown of democracy,” 2011.
Eurasia Group, “The Digital Silk Road: Expanding China’s Digital Footprint,” 2020.
European Parliament, “Surveillance and censorship: The impact of technologies on human rights,” 2015.
Feldstein, S. (a), “How artificial intelligence systems could threatens. democracy,” The Conversation, https://theconversation.com/how-artificial-intelligence-systems- could-threaten-democracy-109698 (2019)
Feldstein, S. (b), “The Road to Digital Unfreedom: How Artificial Intelligence is Reshaping Repression,”Journal of Democracy, Vol.30, No.1, 2019, pp.40-51.
Feldstein, S. (c), “The Global Expansion of AI Surveillance,” Carnegie Endowment. for International Peace Working Paper, 2019.
Feldstein, S., “When it comes to digital authoritarianism, China is a challenge-but not the only challenge,” War on The Rocks, https://warontherocks.com/2020/02/when-it-comes-to-digital-authoritarianism-china-is-a-challenge-but-not-the-only-challenge/ (2020)
Frantz, E., Kendall-Taylor, A., and Wright, J., “Digital repression in autocracies,” V-Dem Institute, 2020.
Friedrich, C. J., & Brzezinski Zbigniew K., Totalitarian Dictatorship and Autocracy (Harvard University Press, 1956)
Fukuyama, F., et al., “Global populism and their challenges,” Stanford Freeman Spoil Institute for International Studies, 2020.
Fukuyama, F., “Why is democracy performing so poorly?” Vol.26, No.1, Journal of Democracy, 2015, pp.11-20.
Gel’man, V., & Lankina, T., “Authoritarian Versus Democratic Diffusions: Explaining Institutional Choices in Russia’s Local Government,” Post-Soviet Affairs, Vol.24, 2008, pp. 40-62.
German Marshall Fund, “Linking values and strategy,” 2020.
Gleditsch, K. & Ward, M., “Diffusion and the International Context of Democratization.” International Organization Vol.60, No.4, 2006, pp. 911-933.
Goldring, E. & Greitens S., “Rethinking Democratic Diffusion: Bringing Regime Type Back in,” Comparative Political Studies, Vol.53, No.2, 2020, pp.319-353.
Graham, E., Shipan C., and Volden, C., “The Diffusion of Diffusion Policy Research,” American Political Science Association annual conference, 2008.
Greitens, S., “Dealing with demand for China’s global surveillance exports,” Brookings Institution report, 2020.
Guillermo, A. O’Donnell., “In partial defense if an evanescent ‘paradigm’,” Vol.13, No.3, Journal of Democracy, 2002, pp.6-12.
Hall, S. & Ambrosion, T., “Authoritarian learning: a conceptual overview,” East European Politics, Vol.33, 2017, pp. 143-161.
Hannah Arendt, The Origins of Totalitarianism (Schocken Books, 1951), pp.456.
Hemmings, J., “The Hidden Dangers of China’s Digital Silk Road,” The National Interest, https://nationalinterest.org/feature/hidden-dangers-chinas-digital-silk-road-131887 (2020)
Houle, C., et al., “Diffusion or Confusion? Clustered Shocks and the Conditional Diffusion of Democracy,” International Organization, Vol.70, 2016, pp.687-726.
Hufbauer, G., Schott, J., and Elliott, K. Economic Sanctions Reconsidered: History and Current Policy, 2nd edition (Institute for International Economics, 1990)
Huntington, S. P., The third wave: democratization in the late twentieth century (University of Oklahoma Press, 1991), pp.100-106.
Introna, L., & Wood, D., “Picturing algorithmic surveillance: the politics of facial recognition systems,” Surveillance & Society, Vol.2, pp.177-198.
Jackson, N., “The role of external factors in advancing non-liberal democratic forms of political rule: a case study of Russia’s influence on Central Asian regimes,” Contemporary Politics, Vol.16, No.1, 2010, pp.101-118.
Joshua Cooper Ramo, “The Beijing Consensus,” The Foreign Policy Centre, 2004, pp.3-4.
Kendall-Taylor, A., et al., “The Digital Dictators: How Technology Strengthens. Autocracy”, Foreign Affairs, https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/china/2020-02-06/digital-dictators (2020)
Kennedy, S., “The myth of the Beijing Consensus,” Journal of Contemporary China, pp.461-477.
Khalil, L., “Digital authoritarianism, China and COVID-19,” Low Institute, 2020.
Kopstein, J. & Reilly, D., “Geographic diffusion and the transformation of the postcommunist world,” World Politics, Vol.53, No.1, 2000, pp.1-37.
Kurlantzick, J., “China’s Digital Silk Road Initiative: A Boon for Developing Countries or a Danger to Freedom?” The Diplomat, https://thediplomat.com/2020/12/chinas-digital-silk-road-initiative-a-boon-for-developing-countries-or-a-danger-to-freedom/ (2020)
Lehr, A. K., “Responding to the Xinjiang Surveillance State—and Its Likely Progeny,” CSIS, https://www.csis.org/analysis/responding-xinjiang-surveillance- state-and-its-likely-progeny (2018)
Levinthal, D., & March, J., “The Myopia of Learning,” Strategic Management Journal, Vol 14., Issue S2., 1993, pp.95-112.
Levitsky, S. & Way, L., “The myth of democratic recession,” Vol.13, Issue.1, Journal of Democracy, 2015, pp.45-58.
Levitsky, S. & Way, L., Competitive Authoritarianism: Hybrid Regimes After the Cold War (Cambridge University Press, 2010)
McAdams, A. J., “Internet Surveillance after September 11: Is the United States Becoming Great Britain?” Comparative Politics, Vol.37, No.4, 2005, pp.479-498.
Mckune S. & Ahmed, S., “The contestation and shaping of cyber norms through China’s Internet sovereignty agenda,” International Journal of Communication, 2018, pp.3835-3855.
Melnykovska, I., et al., “Do Russia and China Promote Autocracy in Central. Asia? ”Asia Europe Journal, Vol.10, 2012, pp.75-89.
Nathan, A., “China’s challenge,” Vol.26, No.1, Journal of Democracy, 2015, pp. 156-170.
Nieto, M., et al., “Public and Private Applications of Video Surveillance and. Biometric Technologies,” California Research Bureau, 2002.
Norris, C., et al., “The Growth of CCTC: a global perspective on the international. diffusion of video surveillance in publicly accessible space,” Surveillance & Society, 2004, pp.110-135.
O’Loughlin, J., et al., “The Diffusion of Democracy, 1946-1994,” Annals of the Association of American Geographers, Vol.88, No.4, 1998, pp.545-574.
O’Loughlin, J. & Herman van der Wusten, The New Political Geography of Eastern Europe (Belhaven Press, 1993).
Orenstein, M. A., “Post-Soviet Authoritarianism: The Influence of Russia in Its. ‘Near Abroad’,” Post-Soviet Affairs, 2013.
Pevehouse, J., “Democracy from the Outside-In? International Organizations and Democratization,” International Organization, Vol. 56, No.3, 2002, pp. 515-549.
Plattner, M. F., “Is democracy in decline?” Vol.26, No.1, Journal of Democracy, 2015, pp.5-10.
Polyakova, A. & Meserole, C., “Exporting digital authoritarianism,” Brookings Institution report, 2019.
Power-Riggs. A, “Covid-19Covid-19 is Proving a Boon for Digital Authoritarianism,” CSIS, https://www.csis.org/blogs/new-perspectives-asia/covid-19Covid-19-19- proving-boon-digital-authoritarianism (2020)
Privacy International, “The Global Surveillance Industry”, 2016, pp.4-10.
Przeworski, A., et al., Democracy and Development: Political Institutions and Well- being in the World, 1950-1990 (Cambridge University Press, 2000)
Przeworski, A. & Limongi, F., “Modernization: Theories and facts,” World Politics, Vol.49, 1997, pp.155-183.
Putz, C., “2020 Eddition: Which Countries Are For or Against China’s Xinjiang Policies?” The Diplomat, https://thediplomat.com/2020/10/2020-edition-which- countries-are-for-or-against-chinas-xinjiang-policies (2020)
Richardson, S., “China’s Influence on the Global Human Rights Council,” The Brookings Institution (2020)
Rogers, E. & Kincaid D., Communication Networks: Toward a New Paradigm for Research (Free Press, 1980)
Ross, M. L., “Does Oil Hinder Democracy?” World Politics, Vol.53, No.3, 2001, pp.325-361.
Rush Doshi, “The Coronavirus Could Reshape Global Order”, Foreign Affairs, https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/china/2020-03-18/coronavirus-could-reshape- global-order (2021)
Russell, M., “Serbia at risk of authoritarianism?” European Parliament Research Service, 2019.
Schulz, M., “Logic of Consequences and Logic of Appropriateness,” The Palgrave Encyclopedia of Strategic Management (Palgrave Macmillan, 2014)
Shipan, C. R. & Voldan, C., “The Mechanisms of Policy Diffusion,” American Journal of Political Science, Vol.52, No.4, 2008, pp.840-857.
Shopov, V., “Mapping China’s Rise in the Western Balkans,” European Council on Foreign Relations, https://ecfr.eu/special/china-balkans/ (2022)
Simmons, B. & Elkins, Z., “The Globalization of Liberalization: Policy Diffusion in the International Political Economy,” American Political Science Review, Vol.98, No.1, 2004, pp. 171-189.
Stanicek, B. & Tarpova S., “China’s strategic interests in the Western Balkans,” European Parliament report, 2022.
Strang, D., “Adding Social Structure to Diffusion Models: An Event History Framework,”
Starr, H. & Lindborg, C., “Democratic Dominoes Revisited: The hazard of governmental transitions, 1974-1996,” The Journal of Conflict Resolution, Vol.47, No.4, 2003, pp.490-519.
Starr, H., “Democratic Dominoes: Diffusion Approaches to the Spread of Democracy in the International System,” Journal of Conflict Resolution, Vol.35, No.2, 1991, pp.356-381.
Suisheng Zhao, “The China Model: can it replace the Western model of modernization?” Journal of Contemporary China, pp.419-436.
Tansey, O., et al., “Ties to the Rest: Autocratic Linkages and Regime Survival,” Comparative Political Studies, 2016, pp.1-34.
Tansey, O., “The problem with autocracy promotion,” Democratization, Vol.23, No.1, 2016, pp.141-163.
Tiezzi, S., “Which Countries Support China on Hong Kong’s National Security Law?” The Diplomat, https://thediplomat.com/2020/10/which-countries-support-china-on-hong-kongs-national-security-law (2020)
Tiezzi, S., “Can China Change the Definition of Human Rights?” The Diplomat, https://thediplomat.com/2021/02/can-china-change-the-definition-of-human-rights (2021)
Vanderhill, R., Promoting Authoritarianism Abroad(Lynne Riener Publisher 2013), p.9.
Vincent F. Hendricks & Mads Vetsergaard, Reality Lost: Markets of Attention, Misinformation and Manipulation (Springer, 2018), pp.119-137.
Vladisavljev, S., “Surveying China’s Digital Silk Road in the Western Balkans,” War on the Rocks, https://warontherocks.com/2021/08/surveying-chinas-digital-silk-road- in-the-western-balkans/ (2021)
Vuksanovic, V., “With All Eyes on Russia, Serbia Nourishes Ties With China,” The Diplomat, https://thediplomat.com/2022/03/with-all-eyes-on-russia-serbia-nourishes-ties-with-china/ (2022)
Wang, M., “Authoritarianism has gone global: Washington need to offer an alternative,” Foreign Affairs, https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/china/2021-04-08/chinas-techno-authoritarianism-has-gone-global (2021)
Welsh, W., “Inter-nation interaction and political diffusion: Notes toward a conceptual framework,” paper presented at the anual meeting of the International Studies Association, 1984.
Wejnert, B., “Integrating Models of Diffusion of Innovations: A Conceptual Framework,” Annual Review of Sociology, Vol.28, No.1, 2002, pp.297-326.
Wejnert, B., “Diffusion, Development, and Democracy, 1800-1999,” American Sociological Review, Vol.70, No.1, 2005, pp.53-81.
Weyland, K., “Autocratic diffusion and cooperation: the impact of interest vs. ideology,” Democratization, Vol.24, No.7, 2017, pp.1235-1252.
Whitehead, L., “International Aspects of Democratization,” Transitions to Democracy, Vol.3, 1996.
Williamson, J., “Is the ‘Beijing Consensus’ noe dominant?” No.13, Asia Policy, 2012, pp.1-16.
Winner, L., “Do Artifacts Have Politics?” Daedalus, Vol.109, No.1, 1980, pp.121- 136.
Wright, N., “Coronavirus and the Future of Surveillance: Democracies Must. Offer an Alternative to Authoritarian Solutions,”Foreign Affairs, https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/2020-04-06/coronavirus-and-future- surveillance (2020)
Xiao Qiang, “The Road to Digital Unfreedom: President Xi’s Surveillance State,” Journal of Democracy, Vol.30, No.1, 2019, pp.53-67.
Yakouchyk, K., “The good, the bad, and the ambitious: democracy and. autocracy promoters competing in Belarus,” European Political Science Review, Vol.8, No.2, 2016, pp.195-224.
Yakouchyk, K., “Beyond Autocracy Promotion: A Review,” Political Studies Review, 2018, pp.1-14.
Yuen Yuen Ang, “The real China model: It’s not what you think it is,” Foreign Affairs, https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/asia/2018-06-29/real-china-model (2018)
Yuval Noah Harari, “Why Technology Favors Tyranny,” The Atlantic,https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2018/10/yuval-noah-harari- technology-tyranny/568330/ (2018) |
Description: | 碩士 國立政治大學 外交學系 107253008 |
Source URI: | http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0107253008 |
Data Type: | thesis |
DOI: | 10.6814/NCCU202201518 |
Appears in Collections: | [外交學系] 學位論文
|
Files in This Item:
File |
Description |
Size | Format | |
300801.pdf | | 3266Kb | Adobe PDF2 | 145 | View/Open |
|
All items in 政大典藏 are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved.
|