English  |  正體中文  |  简体中文  |  Post-Print筆數 : 27 |  Items with full text/Total items : 113303/144284 (79%)
Visitors : 50815295      Online Users : 846
RC Version 6.0 © Powered By DSPACE, MIT. Enhanced by NTU Library IR team.
Scope Tips:
  • please add "double quotation mark" for query phrases to get precise results
  • please goto advance search for comprehansive author search
  • Adv. Search
    HomeLoginUploadHelpAboutAdminister Goto mobile version
    Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/140756


    Title: 以小波方法分析台灣股市價量關係及類股輪動變化
    Estimating the Relationship between Price and Trading Volume and Sector Rotation in Taiwan Stock Market by using Wavelet approaches
    Authors: 戴妙珊
    Tai, Miao-Shan
    Contributors: 徐士勛
    戴妙珊
    Tai, Miao-Shan
    Keywords: 價量關係
    類股輪動
    小波相干性
    時頻域因果關係
    Price-volume relationship
    Sector rotation
    Wavelet coherence
    Time-frequency domain causality
    Date: 2022
    Issue Date: 2022-07-01 17:09:43 (UTC+8)
    Abstract: 本研究採用時頻域架構下的小波方法來研究台灣股市的價量關係,並與時域架構下之Granger 因果關係檢定結果比較其異同。另外,本研究更進一步利用小波方法來探討台灣股市中是否存在類股輪動的現象。
    我們選定六個標的進行分析,分別是台灣加權股價指數及五個產業指數。在價量關係上,轉換為定態後,時域架構下的分析皆呈現一致的領先落後關係;但時頻域架構下,小波相干性除放寬序列為定態的假設外,其實證結果顯示同一個標的之價格與成交量的連動性及因果關係會隨不同的時間及頻率而有所改變。而透過各產業指數價格與加權指數價格的領先落後關係分析,我們也發現台灣股市中確實有產業類股輪動的現象。
    This study uses the wavelet approaches in the time-frequency domain to study the price-volume relationship of the Taiwan stock market, and compares the similarities and differences with the results of the Granger causality test in the time-domain. In addition, this study further uses the wavelet approaches to explore whether there is a sector rotation in the Taiwan stock market.
    We select six targets for analysis, namely the Taiwan Capitalization Weighted Stock Index and five industry indices. In terms of price-volume relationship, after converting the series to be time-domain, the analysis shows a consistent lead-lag relationship. However, in the time-frequency domain, in addition to relaxing the assumption that the series are stationary, the empirical results of wavelet coherence show that the co-movement and causality between the price and trading volume of the same target varies with different times and frequencies. Through the analysis of the lead-lag relationship between the prices of various industry indices and the Taiwan Capitalization Weighted Stock Index price, we also found that there is indeed a sector rotation in the Taiwan stock market.
    Reference: 林思如,陳宗仁,王憲斌與魏石勇(2017),「股市規模波動的價量關係—以台灣股票市場為例」,《中華管理評論國際學報》, 20(2)。

    莊家彰與管中閔(2005),「台灣與美國股市價量關係的分量迴歸分析」,《經濟論文》, 33(4), 379-404。

    劉映興與陳家彬(2002),「台灣股票市場交易值、交易量與發行量加權股價指數關係之實證研究—光譜分析之應用」,《農業經濟半年刊》, 72,65-87。

    Aluko, O.A., and P.O. Adeyeye (2020), “Imports and economic growth in Africa: testing for Granger causality in the frequency domain,” The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, 29(7), 850-864.

    Bahmani-Oskooee, M., Chang, T., and Ranjbar, O. (2016),“Asymmetric causality using frequency domain and time-frequency domain (wavelet) approaches,” Economic Modelling, 56, 66-78.

    Bojanic, A.N. (2012), “The impact of financial development and trade on the economic growth of Bolivia,” Journal of Applied Economics, 15(1), 51-70.

    Chen, S.W. (2008), “Untangling the nexus of stock price and trading volume: evidence from the Chinese stock market,” Economics Bulletin, 7(15), 1-16.

    Croes, R., and Rivera, M.A. (2010), “Testing the empirical link between tourism and competitiveness: evidence from Puerto Rico,” Tourism Economics, 16(1), 217-234.

    Croux, C., and Reusens, P. (2013), “Do stock prices contain predictive power for the future economic activity? A Granger causality analysis in the frequency domain,” Journal of Macroeconomics, 35, 93-103.

    Dickey, D.A., and W.A. Fuller (1979), “Distribution of the estimators for autoregressive time series with a unit root,” Journal of the American Statistical Association, 74, 427-431.

    Goffe, W. (1994), “Wavelets in macroeconomics: an introduction,” Computational techniques for econometrics and economic analysis, 137-149.

    Graham, M., and Nikkinen, J. (2011), “Co-movement of the Finnish and international stock markets: a wavelet analysis.,” The European Journal of Finance, 17:5-6, 409-425.

    Granger, C.W.J. (1969), “Investigating causal relations by econometric models and cross-spectral methods,” Econometrica: journal of the Econometric Society, 37, 424-438.

    Grinsted, A., Moore, J.C., and Jevrejeva, S. (2004), “Application of the cross wavelet transform and wavelet coherence to geophysical time series,” Nonlinear Process Geophysics, 11, 561-566.

    Gronwald, M. (2009), “Reconsidering the macroeconomics of the oil price in Germany: testing for causality in the frequency domain,” Empirical Economics, 36, 441-453.

    Gupta, S., Das, D., Hasim, H., and Tiwari, A.K. (2018), “The dynamic relationship between stock returns and trading volume revisited: a MODWTVAR approach,” Finance Research Letters, 27, 91-98.

    Hudgins, L., Friehe, C., and Mayer, M. (1993), “Wavelet transforms and atmospheric turbulence,” Physical Review Letters, 71, 3279–3282.

    Hui, E.C.M., and Yue S. (2006), “Housing price bubbles in Hong Kong, Beijing and Shanghai: a comparative study,” Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, 33, 299-327.

    Jain, P.C., and Joh, G.-H. (1988), “The dependence between hourly prices and trading volume,” The Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 23(3), 269-283.

    Jumbe, C.B.L. (2004), “Cointegration and causality between electricity consumption and GDP: empirical evidence from Malawi,” Energy Economics, 26, 61-68.

    Kirikkaleli, D., and Güngör, H. (2021), “Comovement of commodity price indexes and energy price index: a wavelet coherence approach,” Financial Innovation, 7:15.

    Lee, B.-S., and Rui, O.M. (2002), “The dynamic relationship between stock returns and trading volume: domestic and cross-country evidence,” Journal of Banking & Finance, 26, 51-78.

    Li, X.L., Chang, T., Miller, S., Balcilar, M., and Gupta, R. (2015), “The comovement and causality between the U.S. housing and stock markets in the time and frequency domains,” International Review of Economics and Finance, 38, 220-233.

    Loh, L. (2013), “Co-movement of Asia-Pacific with European and US stock market returns: a cross-time-frequency analysis,” Research in International Business and Finance, 29, 1-13.

    Pal, D., and Mitra, S.K. (2017), “Time-frequency contained co-movement of crude oil and world food prices: a wavelet-based analysis,” Energy Economics, 62, 230-239.

    Pinzón, K. (2018), “Dynamics between energy consumption and economic growth in Ecuador: a granger causality analysis,” Economic Analysis and Policy, 57, 88-101.

    Rahman, M.M., and Kashem, M.A. (2017), “Carbon emissions, energy consumption and industrial growth in Bangladesh: empirical evidence from ARDL cointegration and Granger causality analysis,” Energy Policy, 110, 600-608.

    Ramsey, J.B., and Zhang, Z. (1996), “The analysis of foreign exchange data using waveform dictionaries,” Journal of Empirical Finance, 4, 341-372.

    Reboredo, J.C., and Rivera-Castro, M.A. (2014), “Wavelet based evidence of the impact of oil prices on stock returns,” International Review of Economics & Finance, 29, 145-176.

    Rua, A., and Nunes, L.C. (2009), “International comovement of stock market returns: a wavelet analysis,” Journal of Empirical Finance, 12, 632-639.

    Said E., and Dickey, D.A. (1984), “Testing for unit roots in autoregressive moving average models of unknown order,” Biometrika, 71, 599-607.

    Tiwari, A. K., M. I. Mutascu, C. T. Albulescu, and P. Kyophilavong (2015), “Frequency domain causality analysis of stock market and economic activity in India,” International Review of Economics and Finance, 39, 224-238.

    Toda, H. Y., and T. Yamamoto (1995), “Statistical inference in vector autoregressions with possibly integrated process,” Journal of Econometrics, 66(1-2), 225-250.

    Yilanci, V., Ozgur, O., and Gorus, M.S. (2021), “Stock prices and economic activity nexus in OECD countries: new evidence from an asymmetric panel Granger causality test in the frequency domain,” Financial Innovation, 7:11.
    Description: 碩士
    國立政治大學
    經濟學系
    109258010
    Source URI: http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0109258010
    Data Type: thesis
    DOI: 10.6814/NCCU202200561
    Appears in Collections:[經濟學系] 學位論文

    Files in This Item:

    File Description SizeFormat
    801001.pdf9612KbAdobe PDF20View/Open


    All items in 政大典藏 are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved.


    社群 sharing

    著作權政策宣告 Copyright Announcement
    1.本網站之數位內容為國立政治大學所收錄之機構典藏,無償提供學術研究與公眾教育等公益性使用,惟仍請適度,合理使用本網站之內容,以尊重著作權人之權益。商業上之利用,則請先取得著作權人之授權。
    The digital content of this website is part of National Chengchi University Institutional Repository. It provides free access to academic research and public education for non-commercial use. Please utilize it in a proper and reasonable manner and respect the rights of copyright owners. For commercial use, please obtain authorization from the copyright owner in advance.

    2.本網站之製作,已盡力防止侵害著作權人之權益,如仍發現本網站之數位內容有侵害著作權人權益情事者,請權利人通知本網站維護人員(nccur@nccu.edu.tw),維護人員將立即採取移除該數位著作等補救措施。
    NCCU Institutional Repository is made to protect the interests of copyright owners. If you believe that any material on the website infringes copyright, please contact our staff(nccur@nccu.edu.tw). We will remove the work from the repository and investigate your claim.
    DSpace Software Copyright © 2002-2004  MIT &  Hewlett-Packard  /   Enhanced by   NTU Library IR team Copyright ©   - Feedback