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政大機構典藏 > 學術期刊 > Issues & Studies > 期刊論文 > Item 140.119/139692

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題名:	The Impact of Pre-Election Protests in Electoral Autocracies: The Case of Hong Kong`s Anti-ELAB Movement
作者:	黃鶴回 Wong, Stan Hok-Wui 陳雋文 Chan, Kelvin Chun-Man
貢獻者:	Issues & Studies
關鍵詞:	Hong Kong elections ; pre-election protest ; electoral autocracy ; public opinions ; Anti-ELAB Movement
日期:	2021-09
上傳時間:	2022-04-11 09:11:06 (UTC+8)
摘要:	Scholars of electoral autocracies accord far more attention to post-election protests than pre-election ones, as the former have the potential to trigger a regime transition. We argue that pre-election protests can have a significant effect on election outcomes. In particular, they are likely to deepen social cleavages along two dimensions: age and immigrant status. The 2019 social unrest in Hong Kong provides a unique opportunity to evaluate the electoral impact of pre-election protests. Comparing public opinion data related to the 2019 and 2015 District Council elections, we find strong empirical support for our argument, as immigrant status and age are strong predictors of voting choices and voter turnout. Our findings imply that exposure to democratic protests may not help in bridging the gap in political attitudes between immigrants and natives.
關聯:	Issues & Studies, 57(3), 215009(1-21)
資料類型:	article
DOI 連結:	https://doi.org/10.1142/S1013251121500107
DOI:	10.1142/S1013251121500107
顯示於類別:	[Issues & Studies] 期刊論文

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