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    請使用永久網址來引用或連結此文件: https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/138040


    題名: 社會距離與兩岸關係認知：臺灣民衆統獨立場的實證分析
    Social Distance and Cross-Strait Relations: Taiwanese Attitudes toward the Independence/Unification Issue
    作者: 方淇
    Fang, Chi
    吳重禮
    Wu, Chung-li
    貢獻者: 選舉研究
    關鍵詞: 社會距離;社會認同理論;關係認知;兩岸關係;統獨立場 
    social distance;social identity theory;relational model;cross-Strait relations;independence/unification preference
    日期: 2021-05
    上傳時間: 2021-12-06 14:10:41 (UTC+8)
    摘要: 本文旨在檢證臺灣民眾如何看待中國，以及他們的心理認知的社會距離，是否會影響其統獨立場。作者採取社會心理學的分析途徑，以「社會距離」（social distance）與「社會認同理論」（social identity theory）作為研究架構，並輔以「關係模式理論」（relational models theory），建構兩個變數，其分別是：臺灣民眾將中國視為「家人關係」或「夥伴關係」，與臺灣民眾認為中國將臺灣視為「家人關係」或「夥伴關係」，從而瞭解這些民眾的統獨立場。本文採用「2019年中國印象」電話調查資料，將民眾劃分為四種類型，以「關係認知」作為「社會距離」的代理變數，藉由「多項勝算對數模型」（multinomial logit model）探討四種類型與統獨立場的相關性。實證資料顯示，關係認知越近的民眾，越傾向統一 ; 然而，關係認知越遠的民眾，卻不必然會傾向獨立。這印證社會認同理論和諸多實證研究的經驗：當個人認知的社會距離較近，選擇接納其他團體時，傾向將其他團體視為「內團體」（ingroup），並產生互惠的期待與較強烈的意見表達 ; 另一方面，當個人選擇疏遠其他團體時，傾向將其他團體歸類為「外團體」（outgroup），卻不必然會貶低其他團體，而在統獨問題上採取較為模糊的立場。
    This study probes Taiwanese perception of social distance toward China and its impact on their political attitudes toward the issue of independence/unification. Taking advantage of social distance and social identity theories from social psychology, we hypothesize that the Taiwanese people with a smaller perceived social distance toward China would indicate an inclination for China unification ; otherwise, they would prefer Taiwan`s independence. We modify the relational models theory to construct two variables to approximate social distance: we ask respondents first whether they regard China as a family member or a partner, and second, whether China views Taiwan as a family member or a partner. To examine our arguments, we utilize the ＂2019 Survey of the Image of China＂ to investigate the association between different types of relational cognitions and their impacts on cross-Strait relations. The findings by and large confirm the validity of the relational models theory, revealing that the Taiwanese electorate is prone to support unification when it perceives a closer social distance toward China. The results also demonstrate that those who are willing to accept China as an in-group tend to expect reciprocity from China. In contrast, those perceiving a greater social distance toward China exhibit ambivalent independence/unification preferences ; they express less intimate attitudes but also do not exhibit great hostility toward China.
    關聯: 選舉研究, 28(1), 103-148
    資料類型: article
    DOI 連結: https://doi.org/10.6612/tjes.202105_28(1).0003
    DOI: 10.6612/tjes.202105_28(1).0003
    顯示於類別:[選舉研究 TSSCI] 期刊論文

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