政大機構典藏-National Chengchi University Institutional Repository(NCCUR):Item 140.119/137742

政大機構典藏-National Chengchi University Institutional Repository(NCCUR):Item 140.119/137742

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政大機構典藏 > 社會科學學院 > 應用經濟與社會發展英語碩士學位學程 (IMES) > 學位論文 > Item 140.119/137742

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题名:	測量與比較艾奎諾與杜特蒂掌政下菲律賓在中美之間的外交抉擇行為 WHO IS MY NEIGHBOR? MEASURING PHILIPPINE ALIGNMENT BEHAVIOR BETWEEN CHINA AND THE UNITED STATES UNDER AQUINO AND DUTERTE
作者:	柯禔瑜 Cua, Teri
贡献者:	王信實 Wang, Shinn-Shyr 柯禔瑜 Cua, Teri
关键词:	菲律賓結盟戰略 Duterte外交政策 Aquino外交政策亞洲區域強國美菲關係中菲關係 Philippine alignment strategy Duterte foreign policy Aquino foreign policy Asian regional power US-Philippine relations China-Philippine relations
日期:	2021
上传时间:	2021-11-01 12:23:26 (UTC+8)
摘要:	在美中兩強的競爭中，亞太地區如菲律賓等小國必須在戰略上與大國結盟。在過去的幾十年裡，不同領導人領導下的菲律賓以各種的形式做到了這一點，本研究則著重於 Benigno Aquino III 和 Rodrigo Roa Duterte 兩位領導人的比較。簡而言之，前者選擇了一種平衡戰略，積極尋求與美國軍事和經濟的連結，並在與中國的領土爭端問題上採取激進的立場。相較之下，後者擱置了菲律賓與華盛頓根深蒂固的關係，轉而支持與鄰近霸權的經濟友好關係，並尋求南海議題的合作與和平解決。本研究透過總統的互訪做為政治因素，市場互動做為經濟指標，以及公眾輿論做為社會傾向，以衡量兩屆政府在這三個面向的異同。研究結果顯示，在所有這三個面向，Aquino政府都傾向於與美國合作，而Duterte政府相對於前任領導人所奉行的外交政策，則表現出對中國漸進的轉向。 Between the rivalry of the United States and China, small countries such as the Philippines must strategically align themselves. Over the past decades, the country under various leaders have done it one way or another. This study focuses on the alignment behavior that resulted from the leadership of Benigno Aquino III and Rodrigo Roa Duterte. The former chose a balancing strategy by actively pursuing military and economic ties with the United States and taking an aggressive stance on the matter of territorial disputes with China. In contrast, the latter sets aside the Philippines’ deeply rooted ties with Washington in favor of economic amities with its neighboring hegemon, and peace and cooperation in the South China Sea. The marked contrast of the two administrations are quantifiably measured in this study through presidential visits as political factors, market interaction as economic indicators, and public opinion as social leaning. The findings show that in all of these fronts, the Aquino administration favors cooperation with the United States, while the Duterte administration exhibits an obtuse pivot towards China relative to the foreign policies pursued by the previous leadership.
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Retrieved from VOA News: https://www.voanews.com/east-asia/china-philippines-stay-friends-despite-boat-collision-disputed-sea Kleinberg, K., & Fordham, B. (2010, October). Trade and Foreign Policy Attitudes. The Journal of Conflict Resolution, 54(5), 687-714. Kuik, C. C. (2016). How Do Weaker States Hedge? Unpacking ASEAN states’ alignment behavior towards China. Journal of Contemporary China , 100, 1-15. McManus, R. (2018). Making it personal: The role of leader-specific signals in extended deterrence. Journal of Politics, 80(3), 982-995. Mercado, N. A. (2019, September 1). After ‘productive talks,’ Duterte arrives in Manila after official visit in China Read more: https://globalnation.inquirer.net/179603/after-productive-talks-duterte-arrives-in-manila-after-official-visit-in-china#ixzz6wntiPtZo Follow us: @inquirerdotnet . Retrieved June 4, 2021, from https://globalnation.inquirer.net/179603/after-productive-talks-duterte-arrives-in-manila-after-official-visit-in-china Merez, A. (2019, April 24). Courting China again: What’s on the line for Duterte in Beijing return. Retrieved June 4, 2021, from https://news.abs-cbn.com/spotlight/04/24/19/courting-china-again-whats-on-the-line-for-duterte-in-beijing-return Mogato, M. (2017, May 19). Duterte says China`s Xi threatened war if Philippines drills for oil. Retrieved from Reuters: https://www.reuters.com/article/us-southchinasea-philippines-china-idUSKCN18F1DJ Nitsch, V. (2005, November). State Visits and International Trade. Obama cancels meeting with Philippines president after Duterte calls US leader ‘son of a b****’. (2016, September 6). Retrieved June 4, 2021, from https://www.cnbc.com/2016/09/05/obama-cancels-meeting-with-philippines-president-after-duterte-calls-us-leader-son-of-a-b.html Parameswaran, Prashanth. (2016, November 1). The Diplomat. Why the Philippines’ Rodrigo Duterte Hates America. 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Retrieved June 1, 2021, from https://pcoo.gov.ph/president-dutertes-state-visits-to-china-and-brunei-enhance-trade-ties-22-oct-2016/ Ranada, P. (2016, October 23). What Duterte accomplished in China. Retrieved from Rappler: https://www.rappler.com/nation/duterte-accomplishments-china-visit Reuters Staff. (2017, November 12). Xi tells Duterte China will work to safeguard South China Sea peace. Retrieved from Reuters: https://www.reuters.com/article/us-asia-summit-china-philippines/xi-tells-duterte-china-will-work-to-safeguard-south-china-sea-peace-idUSKBN1DB0NZ Schnabel, C. (2016, June 17). Beyond the numbers: How Aquino fueled the economy. Retrieved from Rappler: https://www.rappler.com/business/economy/president-aquino-economy-legacy Schweller, R. (1994). Bandwagoning for Profit: Bringing the Revisionist State Back In. In International Security (pp. 72-107). The MIT Press. Suarez, K. (2015, November 17). Obama arrives in Manila for APEC Summit. 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Between a Rock and a Hard Place: How Lesser Powers Respond to Competing Great Powers in the Asia-Pacific Region. Issues & Studies, 56(3). Wen, C.-C. (2020). The Philippines’ Perception and Strategy for China’s Belt and Road Initiative Expansion: Hedging with Balancing. The Chinese Economy. Wolff, A. (2018, February 5). Paradigm lost? US Trade Policy as an Instrument of Foreign Policy. Retrieved July 2021, from World Trade Organization: https://www.wto.org/english/news_e/news18_e/ddgra_09feb18_e.htm Womack, B. (2016). Asymmetry and International Relations. New York: Cambridge University Press. Xi to Duterte: China doesn’t recognize pro-PHL ruling on South China Sea claims. (2019, April 26). Retrieved June 4, 2021, from https://www.gmanetwork.com/news/news/nation/692533/xi-to-duterte-china-doesn-t-recognize-pro-phl-ruling-on-south-china-sea-claims/story/
描述:	碩士國立政治大學應用經濟與社會發展英語碩士學位學程(IMES) 108266011
資料來源:	http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0108266011
数据类型:	thesis
DOI:	10.6814/NCCU202101649
显示于类别:	[應用經濟與社會發展英語碩士學位學程 (IMES)] 學位論文

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