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    Title: 新冠疫情期間台灣生技醫療指數探討
    The impact on Biotechnology Index in Taiwan stock market during the pandemic
    Authors: 徐瑞彣
    Shyu, Catherine
    Contributors: 謝淑貞
    Shieh, Shwu-Jane
    徐瑞彣
    Shyu, Catherine
    Keywords: 生技指數
    逐步迴歸
    COVID-19
    Biotechnology Index
    Stepwise regression
    COVID-19
    Date: 2021
    Issue Date: 2021-09-02 15:35:40 (UTC+8)
    Abstract: 在COVID-19的衝擊下,經濟、社會受到嚴重的影響。在疫情的不確定下,生技醫療類股再度受到眾人的關注,期待疫苗、新藥的研發,同時隨著隔離、減少人員流動的情形下,人類生活也快速地轉向數位化。因此,本研究分別探討上市以及上櫃生技醫療指數報酬率與多項指數之相關影響,透過逐步迴歸選取變數,以及多元迴歸分析,來探討生技醫療指數與加權指數、電子指數等相關變數的關聯性。
    本研究採用的三個時段分別為2007年7月2日至2021年3月31日的全期間,2007年7月2日至2020年1月17日的疫情發生前,以及2020年1月30日至2021年3月31日的疫情發生後。研究結果顯示,上市生技醫療指數報酬率在三個時段中,皆受到上市電子指數報酬率、上市加權指數報酬率、上市加權指數成交量變動率、上市生技醫療指數成交值變動率的影響。而上櫃生技醫療指數報酬率在三個時段中,受上櫃生技醫療指數成交量變動率、上櫃電子指數報酬率、上櫃加權指數報酬率、上櫃加權指數成交量變動率、上櫃電子指數成交量變動率的影響。
    Under the pandemic, the economy and society have been severely affected. The public focus on Biotechnology and Medical Care Industry, and expect good news of vaccines as well as new medicine. Simultaneously, with the isolation and reduction of the migration of people, human life is digitalized rapidly. Consequently, this research hopes to explore the relationship between the Biotechnology and Medical Care Index and the independent variables before and after the pandemic through multiple regression analysis using the stepwise approach.
    The sampling data of this research are the daily data from July 2007 to March 2021. These data are organized into three groups by different time periods and analyzed respectively for comparison. The three time periods in this study are (1) the whole period from July 2, 2007 to March 31, 2021, (2) before the outbreak of the epidemic - from July 2, 2007 to January 17, 2020, and (3) after the outbreak - from January 30, 2020 to March 31, 2021. Within each of these three intervals, the return rate of the Biotechnology and Medical Care Index in Taiwan Stock Exchange Corporation (TWSE) and Taipei Exchange Market (TPEx) are dependent variables.
    The results indicate that the return rate of Biotechnology and Medical Care Index in Taiwan Stock Exchange Corporation was affected by the return rate of Electronic Index, the return rate and the rate of change in the trading volume of Exchange Capitalization Weighted Stock Index, and the rate of change in the trading value of Biotechnology and Medical Care Index during the three time periods. Moreover, in the Taipei Exchange Market, the return rate of Biotechnology and Medical Care Index was affected by the rate of change in the trading volume of Biotechnology and Medical Care Industry Index, the return rate of the Electronic Index and Exchange Capitalization Weighted Stock Index, and the rate of change in the trading volume of the Electronic Index and Exchange Capitalization Weighted Stock Index during the three time periods.
    Reference: 中文論文
    王慧菱(2005)。SARS疾病災難事件對股票市場之影響-以台灣生技醫療產業為例。國立陽明大學醫務管理研究所碩士論文。
    朱乘緯(2021)。COVID-19 對生技醫療產業股價之影響-以大中華為例。臺北醫學大學管理學院生物科技高階管理碩士在職專班碩士論文。
    吳美真(2002)。美國與台灣生物技術產業股價連動性暨泡沫性研究。國立成功大學企業管理學系碩博士班碩士論文。
    林思如、陳宗仁、王憲斌、魏石勇(2017)。股市規模波動的價量關係-以台灣股票市場為例。中華管理評論國際學報,20(2)
    林郁琦(2014)。傳染性疾病事件對台灣生技醫療類股報酬的影響。國立高雄應用科技大學國際企業系碩士在職專班碩士論文。
    林肅梅(2015)。中、港、台生技製藥股與美國NBI指數關係之研究。國立中山大學財務管理學系研究所碩士論文。
    林煜博(2015)。NASDAQ生技指數及台灣上市生技醫療類股指數 相關性之探討。國立雲林科技大學財務金融系碩士論文。
    侯鴻基(2012)。台灣股票市場價量關係之實證研究。中國科技大學企業管理研究所碩士論文。
    洪雅雯(2008)。台灣上市化學生技醫療類股價指數預測之研究。國立成功大學統計學系碩博士班碩士論文。
    張孟軒(2010)。自然災害事件對股票市場異常報酬率影響的研究。國立成功大學會計學系碩博士班碩士論文。
    張孟軒(2010)。自然災害事件對股票市場異常報酬率影響的研究。國立成功大學會計學系碩博士班碩士論文。
    莊家彰、管中閔(2005)。台灣與美國股市價量關係的分量迴歸分析。經濟論文,33(4),379-404。
    詹銛穎(2020)。台灣上市生技醫療公司在新型冠狀病毒 肺炎期間市場風險之變化—CAPM之應用。嶺東科技大學高階主管企管碩士在職專班碩士論文。
    書籍
    陳正昌、林曉芳(2020)。R統計軟體與多變量分析。臺北市: 五南圖書出版股份有限公司

    網路資源
    經濟部生技醫藥產業發展推動小組(2020)。2020生技產業白皮書。經濟部工業局。取自: https://www.biopharm.org.tw/images/2020/Biotechnology-Industry-in-Taiwan-2020.pdf
    COVID-19全球疫情地圖(2021)。取自:https://covid-19.nchc.org.tw/index.php,查閱時間:2021年5月
    NASDAQ(2021)。NASDAQ官網。取自: https://www.nasdaq.com/

    英文
    DeFrancesco, L. (2021). Financing breaks all records in 2020. Nature Biotechnology, 39(2), 133-134. doi:10.1038/s41587-021-00817-7
    Fahlenbrach, R., Rageth, K., & Stulz, R. M. (2020). How valuable is financial flexibility when revenue stops? Evidence from the COVID-19 crisis (No. w27106). National Bureau of Economic Research. https://www.nber.org/papers/w27106
    Description: 碩士
    國立政治大學
    國際經營與貿易學系
    109351012
    Source URI: http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0109351012
    Data Type: thesis
    DOI: 10.6814/NCCU202101201
    Appears in Collections:[Department of International Business] Theses

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