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Title:	暴力犯罪與警察毒品查緝能量之關聯性研究 Violent Crimes and Police Narcotics Enforcement Capacity: A Correlational Study
Authors:	洪予姮 Hung, Yu-Heng
Contributors:	陳鎮洲洪予姮 Hung, Yu-Heng
Keywords:	暴力犯罪毒品毒品查緝暴力行為 Panel Data Violent crimes Narcotics Enforcement Narcotics Violent Panel Data
Date:	2021
Issue Date:	2021-08-04 16:10:34 (UTC+8)
Abstract:	毒品具有成癮性、濫用性及社會危害性，對人體及社會之影響甚劇。根據相關新聞報導及統計數據顯示，許多暴力犯罪犯嫌具有毒品前科，可能因幫派利益糾紛、缺錢買毒、為躲避刑期籌備跑路金等各種因素，而犯下殺人、擄人勒贖、強盜、搶奪等暴力犯罪，顯見毒品與暴力犯罪時常相互牽連，故本研究旨在探討警察查緝毒品之能量是否充足，若能預防在前頭，加強查緝毒品犯嫌到案，能否減少其未來犯下暴力犯罪之可能，進而降低暴力犯罪率。本研究以臺灣共計二十個縣市、2010年至2019年共計10年之資料形成Panel Data，運用最小平方法、固定效果模型及隨機效果模型進行分析，並以Hausman檢定選擇適合之固定效果模型對估計結果進行較精確之解釋，研究結果顯示毒品查獲件數與暴力犯罪率呈顯著正相關，雖然與本研究假設之預期方向不一致，但意味著警察查獲眾多毒品案件中之毒品犯嫌因濫用毒品發生精神藥理性暴力、經濟強迫性暴力及系統性暴力之可能性高，隨著新興毒品種類增加，毒品散播與傳遞快速，毒品人口數亦不斷在上升，而繼續犯下暴力犯罪之可能性亦會升高。另研究結果亦顯示，暴力犯罪率與暴力犯罪破獲率、菸酒稅實徵淨額、粗離婚率、失業率、大專畢業占15歲以上人口比率均呈現顯著相關。透過實證結果可推論，警察查獲毒品件數縱使增加，但若未有效控制毒品人口減少，暴力犯罪之發生件數仍會同步成長。鑑此，應有效提升毒品戒治成效，除建立多元戒癮成效指標外，應善用系統性之評估工具，確實測量毒品犯之再犯風險與適合之醫療需求，俾利法官、檢察官作出適當之司法處分。另為防止毒品人口毒癮再犯，應結合司法、矯治、醫療、教育等機構啟動毒品犯之關懷輔導措施。在警察查緝毒品方面，更應向上追查販賣或製造毒品之來源，抓出販毒集團背後首腦，瓦解毒品供應網絡，減少毒品新生人口，以防止其衍生出更多暴力犯罪。 Narcotics are addictive, abusive, and a social endangerment that causes significant harm to the human body and society. Journalistic reports and statistical data indicate that many violent crime offenders have narcotics-related criminal records. They may commit murder, kidnapping and extortion, robbery, unlawful control, and other violent crimes due to conflicts of interest, lack of funds to procure narcotics, or hoarding cash in anticipation of criminal sentencing. There is a consistent overlap between narcotics and violent crimes. This study aims to discuss whether police capacity to tackle narcotics-related crimes is sufficient. Prevention and enhanced efforts to arrest narcotics crime offenders can likely reduce future criminal offenses and lower violent crime rates. This study accumulated a ten-year Panel Data (2010 to 2019) pooled together from twenty counties in Taiwan. Analytical methods adopted include the least-squares method, fixed-effect model, and random-effect model. The Hausman test was used to select the appropriate fixed-effect model to carry out a relatively more accurate interpretation of the projected outcomes. The research results show that there is a positive correlation between resolved narcotics cases and violent crime rates. Although this result differed from the initial hypothesis of this research, it nevertheless suggested a high and increasing probability for narcotics offenders apprehended in the numerous drug-related cases to engage in Psychopharmacological Violence, Economic Compulsive Violence, and Systemic Violence. With the ever-increasing new types of narcotics undergoing a quickening pace of transmission, the number of narcotic users accumulates, and so is the possibility for them to commit violent crimes. Research results also show that the violent crime rate and violent crime apprehension rate, net tobacco and alcohol tax revenues, crude divorce rate, unemployment rate, and college graduates among 15-year-olds or above demographics ratio show considerable relevance. Empirical results indicate that even when the number of narcotics crimes related arrests increases, ineffective control of narcotics users would still lead to a synchronized increase in violent crime occurrence. Therefore, improving narcotics prevention and addiction treatment is all the more necessary. In addition to establishing multifaceted addiction treatment efficacy indicators, it is also essential to engage in the appropriate use of systematic assessment tools to provide reliable assessments of relapse risks for narcotics crime offenders and appropriate treatment plans that target specific medical needs. Judges and prosecutors could only then make the appropriate judiciary recommendations. Also, preventing criminal relapse among narcotics addicts would require a concerted effort between justice, treatment, medical care, and educational organizations to launch a care and counseling service for narcotics crime offenders. As for narcotics crime apprehension, law enforcement authorities should trace sellers or producers, arrest principals of drug trafficking rings and bring down the narcotics supply network, thereby reduce new narcotics users and prevent them from committing additional violent crimes.
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Description:	碩士國立政治大學行政管理碩士學程 108921029
Source URI:	http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0108921029
Data Type:	thesis
DOI:	10.6814/NCCU202100692
Appears in Collections:	[Master for Eminent Public Administrators] Theses

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