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    題名: 川普時期美中在西太平洋權力移轉之研究
    Transition of Power between U.S.A. and P.R.C. within Trump’s Presidency in Western Pacific
    作者: 謝英傑
    Hsieh, Ying-Chie
    貢獻者: 盧業中
    Lu, Yeh-Chung
    謝英傑
    Hsieh, Ying-Chie
    關鍵詞: 權力移轉
    川普
    印太戰略
    日期: 2021
    上傳時間: 2021-03-02 14:50:18 (UTC+8)
    摘要: 2017年川政府提倡開放與自由的印太區域,執政4年期間於印太區域作為積極,由2017年起的國家戰略報告,國防戰略報告到專屬印太區域的印太戰略報告,均充分顯示延續過去對西太平洋地區的重視,並在川普時期將範圍涵蓋到印度洋與太平洋兩洋海域。然而川普並非首任美國元首展現對西太平洋區域的重視,自歐巴馬政府以已展現對亞太區域的重視,重返亞太與亞太再平衡政策均展現出美國對中共歷經戰略機遇期後逐步成長的綜合國力表示關切,並持續透過政策圍堵與防範中共的崛起影響美國自二戰以來建立的霸權地位。
    中共身為區域崛起強權,自二戰以來受惠於美國身為世界霸權維護全球公域,與國際規範使全球貿易再世界經濟發展上逐步成長,中共在此過程中為重要的受益一方。同時中共透過推展帶路倡議,企圖將歐亞非三大版塊經濟體分透過海上與陸上絲綢之路達到此一戰略目標。面對逐步增加的海外邊境利益,以軍事力量的投射保護利益邊境為中共建軍重要方向。面對解放軍透過遠海常航、軍事現代化,聯合國維和任務與反海盜支隊的執行下,解放軍海軍與空軍能力逐步增加,除具備保護利益邊境之能力,該能力輔以飛彈與太空軍事支援能量可轉用於維護島鏈內主權爭議部分。
    本研究意圖在藉由權力移轉理論為研究途徑,進一步探討中美兩國在西太平洋地區的軍事實力,檢視經由川普執政期間「印太戰略」政策與中共「近海防禦,遠海護衛」方針,於區域間政策互動情形;同時藉由區域經濟整合面向檢視印太戰略經濟合作框架與中共帶路倡議的政策互動與成效,檢證區域間國家戰略選擇傾向。除上述軍事與經濟考量外,本研界將中共主權核心利益牽涉底線思維的模式實施分析。綜合上述列舉因素分析,探討中美之間發生權力移轉的可能性與發生的形式為何,作為中美兩國與區域國家戰略情勢評估之參考。
    參考文獻: 參考資料
    一、 中文資料與文獻
    (一) 官方文件資料
    「中國軍事戰略」,中華人民共和國國防部,http://www.mod.gov.cn/big5/regulatory/2015-05/26/content_4617812_5.htm(2015年5月26日)。

    「《中國的和平發展》白皮書(全文)」,中華人民共和國國防部,http://www.mod.gov.cn/big5/affair/2011-09/06/content_4295874_5.htm (2020年12月)。

    「《新時代的中國國防》白皮書全文」,中華人民共和國國防部,http://www.mod.gov.cn/big5/regulatory/2019-07/24/content_4846424_10.htm (2020年12月)。

    (二) 專書及專書篇章
    大衛 拉普金( David P. Rapkin),威廉 湯普森( William R. Thompson),二十一世紀的美國與中共權力轉移想定(Transition Scenarios: China and United States in the Twenty-First Century),(臺北市:國防部政務辦公室,2016)。

    向駿,二○五○中國第一?權力轉移理論下的美台中關係迷思,(新北市:博楊文化事業有限公司,2006)。

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    唐米樂(Tom Miller),中國的亞洲夢:一帶一路全面解讀,對台灣、全球將帶來什麼威脅和挑戰(China’s Asian Dream: Empire Building Along the New Silk Road),(林添貴譯)。(臺北市:時報文化,2017)。

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    曾復生,「美國「亞太再平衡」戰略發展前景研析」,國家政策研究基金會https://www.npf.org.tw/2/12643 (2013年8月29日)。

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    鞠海龍,中國海權戰略,(北京市:時事出版社2010)。

    (三) 網路資料與文獻
    黃恩浩,「澳洲參與「馬拉巴爾 2020」海軍聯合演習 之觀察」,國防安全雙週報,https://indsr.org.tw/Content/Upload/files/8_%E6%BE%B3%E6%B4%B2%E5%8F%83%E8%88%872020%E9%A6%AC%E6%8B%89%E5%B7%B4%E7%88%BE%E6%B5%B7%E8%BB%8D%E8%81%AF%E6%BC%94%E4%B9%8B%E8%A7%80%E5%AF%9F.pdf (2020年11月17日)。

    楊昭彥,「北約慶70周年 軍費爭議俄國威脅續糾纏」,中央廣播電臺,https://www.rti.org.tw/news/view/id/2016691 (2020年12月)。

    葉長城,「美國印太戰略的形成、發展及其對臺灣經貿之意涵」,中華經濟研究院 ,https://web.wtocenter.org.tw/mobile/page.aspx?pid=328192&nid=126,(2020年10月11日)。

    黎堡,「美中空中相遇規則軍方履行受質疑」,美國之音,https://www.google.com.tw/amp/s/www.voacantonese.com/amp/us-china-air-conduct-20150929/2985351.html(2015年9月30日)。

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    「美國3航母打擊群同時集結印太被視為警告中國」,美國之音,https://www.voacantonese.com/a/us-naval-buildup-in-indo-pacific-seen-as-warning-to-china-20200614/5462185.html (2020年6月14日)。

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    英文資料與文獻
    (一) 官方文件資料
    “National Security Strategy of the United States 2017,"The White House, https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/NSS-Final-12-18-2017-0905.pdf (December 2017).

    “National Defense Strategy of the United States 2018,"US Department of Defense, https://www.defense.gov/Explore/News/Article/Article/1419045/dod-official-national-defense-strategy-will-enhance-deterrence/ (January 2018).

    “FY2020 NDAA SUMMARY,"armed-services senate,
    https://www.armedservices.senate.gov/imo/media/doc/FY20%20NDAA%20Conference%20Summary%20_%20FINAL.pdf, (December 2019).

    “Summary of the 2018 National Defense strategy of the United States of America: Sharpening the American Military’s Competitive Edge,” Department of Defense,
    https://dod.defense.gov/Portals/1/Documents/pubs/2018-National-Defense-Strategy-Summary.pdf(Dec 2020)

    “Indo-Pacific Strategy Report;Preparedness, Partnerships, and Promoting a Networked Regio,” THE DEPARMENT OF DEFENSE, https://media.defense.gov/2019/Jul/01/2002152311/-1/-1/1/DEPARTMENT-OF-DEFENSE-INDO-PACIFIC-STRATEGY-REPORT-2019.PDF, (Dec.2020 ).

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    “Defining Our Relationship with India for the Next Century: An Address by U.S. Secretary of State Rex Tillerson,” Center for Strategic and International Studies,
    https://csis-website-prod.s3.amazonaws.com/s3fs-public/event/171018_An_Address_by_U.S._Secretary_of_State_Rex_Tillerson.pdf?O0nMCCRjXZiUa5V2cF8_NDiZ14LYRX3m (27th Sep. 2020).

    “Remarks by Vice President Pence on the Administration’s Policy Toward China,” The White House,
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    (二) 專書及專書篇章
    Pillsbury, Michael, 2016. The Hundred-Year Marathon : China’s Secret Strategy to Replace America as the Global Superpower. New York, N.Y;Henry Holt and Company, LLC.,pp.135.

    (三) 網路資料與文獻
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    Kristian, Bonnie, “Esper’s dark vision for US-China conflict makes war more likely,"Defense News, https://www.defensenews.com/opinion/commentary/2020/03/19/espers-dark-vision-for-us-china-conflict-makes-war-more-likely/ (19 March 2020).

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    Santos, Eimor, “Duterte gov’t may reconsider ban on joining South China Sea drills,"CNN,https://cnnphilippines.com/news/2020/11/4/duterte-may-reconsider-ban-south-china-sea-drills.html, (4th Nov. 2020).

    Seth, Robson, “Navy secretary pitches 1st Fleet revival in Western Pacific, possibly based in Singapore,"STARS AND STRIPES, https://www.stripes.com/news/pacific/navy-secretary-pitches-1st-fleet-revival-in-western-pacific-possibly-based-in-singapore-1.652617 (18th Nov. 2020).

    Shubhajit, Roy, “Explained: BECA, and the importance of 3 foundational pacts of India-US defence cooperation,"The Indian Express, https://indianexpress.com/article/explained/beca-india-us-trade-agreements-rajnath-singh-mike-pompeo-6906637/ (6th Feb. 2020).

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    描述: 碩士
    國立政治大學
    外交學系戰略與國際事務碩士在職專班
    108922004
    資料來源: http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0108922004
    資料類型: thesis
    DOI: 10.6814/NCCU202100244
    顯示於類別:[戰略與國際事務碩士在職專班] 學位論文

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