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Title:	氣候變遷對離婚率之影響-以臺灣地區為例 Impact of Climate Change on Divorce Rate—Evidence from Taiwan
Authors:	何世翔 Ho, Shi-Xiang
Contributors:	黃智聰 Huang, Jr-Tsung 何世翔 Ho, Shi-Xiang
Keywords:	氣候變遷離婚率空間計量分析空間相依臺灣 Climate change Divorce rate Spatial measurement analysis Spatial dependence Taiwan
Date:	2020
Issue Date:	2020-08-03 18:21:26 (UTC+8)
Abstract:	氣候變遷是當前人類面臨，而且正在發生的事實，根據大量理論顯示，氣候影響人的行為特性；另一方面，婚姻是人口再替換必要的社會關係，維繫著社會的安定和諧，而離婚的空間特徵是社會地理學關注的重要問題，本文以2011-2018年間臺灣地區（縣、市）離婚率變化為資料來源，結合傳統數理分析和空間計量分析方法探究其空間依賴性與空間異質性特徵。結果表明：1. 氣候變遷顯著影響臺灣地區各縣市離婚率表現，氣溫增加對離婚具有正向影響；2. 2011-2018年間地區間離婚率空間分佈呈現出都市高鄉村低的分異態勢；3. 地區間離婚現象的高低分異與產業比例有關；4. 家庭收入的增加對離婚具有顯著的正向影響；5. 離婚率在空間相依上具有顯著的正向影響。 Climate change is a fact that human beings are currently facing and is happening. According to a large number of theories，climate affects the behavioral characteristics of people；on the other hand，marriage is the necessary social relationship for the population to replace the social stability and harmony，and the space for divorce Characteristic is an important issue of social geography. This paper takes the change of divorce rate in Taiwan (county and city) from 2011 to 2018 as the data source，and combines traditional mathematical analysis and spatial econometric analysis methods to explore its spatial dependence and spatial heterogeneity. The results show that: 1. Climate change significantly affects the performance of divorce rates in various counties and cities in Taiwan, and the increase in temperature has a positive effect on divorce; 2. The spatial distribution of divorce rates between regions from 2011 to 2018 shows a trend of high urban and rural low differentiation; 3. The difference in divorce between regions is related to the proportion of industries; 4. An increase in family income has a significant positive effect on divorce; 5. The divorce rate has a significant positive effect on spatial dependence.
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Description:	碩士國立政治大學行政管理碩士學程 107921211
Source URI:	http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0107921211
Data Type:	thesis
DOI:	10.6814/NCCU202001019
Appears in Collections:	[Master for Eminent Public Administrators] Theses

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