政大機構典藏-National Chengchi University Institutional Repository(NCCUR):Item 140.119/130673

政大機構典藏-National Chengchi University Institutional Repository(NCCUR):Item 140.119/130673

English | 正體中文 | 简体中文 | Post-Print筆數 : 27 | 全文笔数/总笔数 : 113313/144292 (79%)
造访人次 : 50946000 在线人数 : 860

RC Version 6.0 © Powered By DSPACE, MIT. Enhanced by NTU Library IR team.

搜寻范围

查询小技巧：

您可在西文检索词汇前后加上"双引号"，以获取较精准的检索结果

若欲以作者姓名搜寻，建议至进阶搜寻限定作者字段，可获得较完整数据

进阶搜寻

主页 ‧ 登入 ‧ 上传 ‧ 说明 ‧ 关于政大典藏 ‧ 管理

到手机版

政大機構典藏 > 社會科學學院 > 應用經濟與社會發展英語碩士學位學程 (IMES) > 學位論文 > Item 140.119/130673

请使用永久网址来引用或连结此文件: https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/130673

题名:	利用合成控制法估計加入歐盟對經濟成長的影響：來自中歐四國的證據 Estimating the Impact of Joining the European Union on the Economic Growth Using Synthetic Control Method: Evidence from the Visegrad Group Countries
作者:	彭怡愷 Pomykalova, Lenka
贡献者:	楊子霆 Yang, Tzu-Ting 彭怡愷 Pomykalova, Lenka
关键词:	歐盟合成控制法捷克斯洛伐克波蘭匈牙利 European Union Visegrad Group Synthetic Control Method GDP Czech Republic Slovak Republic Poland Hungary
日期:	2020
上传时间:	2020-07-01 14:07:25 (UTC+8)
摘要:	The main aim of the thesis is to estimate the effect of joining the European Union on the Visegrad group countries. The growth effects were estimated for the GDP per capita and the GDP components of the Visegrad group countries by using the synthetic control method. The results of the analysis show that the membership in the European Union had a positive effect on the GDP per capita of three countries, Czech Republic, Slovakia and for the last treated years, Poland. The results revealed negative effect of the membership on the GDP per capita in Hungary. The analysis also showed that the net export per capita was the main driving force of the GDP per capita growth in the Visegrad Group countries, gained by the increased trade with the European Union members and the single market accession. The results for the rest of the GDP components were inconclusive and mostly statistically insignificant.
參考文獻:	Abadie, A. (2019). Using synthetic controls: Feasibility, data requirements, and methodological aspects. Journal of Economic Literature. Retrieved May 14, 2020 from https://economics.mit.edu/files/17847 Abadie, A., & Gardeazabal, J. (2003). The economic costs of conflict: A case study of the Basque Country. American economic review, 93(1), 113-132. doi: 10.1257/000282803321455188 Abadie, A., Diamond, A., & Hainmueller, J. (2015). Comparative politics and the synthetic control method. American Journal of Political Science, 59(2), 495-510. doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/ajps.12116 Archick, K. (2005). European Union Enlargement. Library of Congress Washington DC Congressional Research Service. Retrieved April 16, 2020 from https://apps.dtic.mil/docs/citations/ADA464686 Arpaia, A., & Turrini, A. (2008). Government expenditure and economic growth in the EU: long-run tendencies and short-term adjustment. European Economy - Economic Papers 2008 - 2015 300, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN). Retrieved April 16, 2020 from http://ec.europa.eu/economy_finance/publications Baldwin, R. E. (1994). Towards an integrated Europe (Vol. 25, No. 234). London: Centre for Economic Policy Research. Baldwin, R. E., Francois, J. F., & Portes, R. (1997). EU enlargement: Small costs for the west, big gains for the east. Economic Policy, 24, 127-175. Retrieved April 14, 2020 from https://www.jstor.org/stable/1344733 Baldwin, R. E., Wyplosz, C., & Wyplosz, C. (2006). The economics of European integration (Vol. 2). Berkshire: McGraw-Hill Education. Beacháin, D. Ó., Sheridan, V., & Stan, S. (Eds.). (2012). Life in post-communist Eastern Europe after EU membership (Vol. 37). London: Routledge. Belka, Marek. (2013). How Poland`s EU membership helped transform its economy. Washington, DC: Group of Thirty. Berend, I. T., & Berend, T. I. (2009). From the Soviet bloc to the European Union: the economic and social transformation of Central and Eastern Europe since 1973. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. Billmeier, A., & Nannicini, T. (2013). Assessing economic liberalization episodes: A synthetic control approach. Review of Economics and Statistics, 95(3), 983-1001. doi: https://doi.org/10.1162/REST_a_00324 Böröcz, J. (2012). Hungary in the European Union:`Catching Up`, Forever. Economic and Political Weekly, 47, 22-25. Retrieved May 14, 2020 from http://aei.pitt.edu/95136/. Böwer, U., & Turrini, A. (2010). EU accession: a road to fast-track convergence?. Comparative Economic Studies, 52(2), 181-205. doi: https://doi.org/10.1057/ces.2010.7 Breuss, F. (2001). Macroeconomic effects of EU enlargement for old and new members (No. 143). WIFO Working Papers. Retrieved May 17, 2020 from https://www.econstor.eu/handle/10419/128688 Campos, N. F., Coricelli, F., & Moretti, L. (2014). Economic growth and political integration: estimating the benefits from membership in the European Union using the synthetic counterfactuals method. IZA Discussion Paper No. 8162. Retrieved May 14, 2020 from https://ssrn.com/abstract=2432446 Crespo Cuaresma, J., Ritzberger-Grünwald, D., & Silgoner, M. A. (2008). Growth, convergence and EU membership. Applied Economics, 40(5), 643-656. doi: https://doi.org/10.1080/00036840600749524 Dangerfield, M. (2009). The Contribution of the Visegrad Group to the European Union`s ‘Eastern’Policy: Rhetoric or Reality?. Europe-Asia Studies, 61(10), 1735-1755. doi: https://doi.org/10.1080/09668130903278934 Dedman, M. (2006). The origins and development of the European Union 1945-1995: a history of European integration. (2nd ed.). New York: Routledge. EUR-Lex. (2007)-a. The 2004 enlargement: the challenge of a 25-member EU. Retrieved February 12, 2020 from https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/HTML/?uri=LEGISSUM:e50017&from=EN EUR-Lex. (2007)-b. Accession Criteria (Copenhagen Criteria). Retrieved 4 April 2020, from https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EL/TXT/?uri=LEGISSUM:e50026 EUR-Lex. (n.d). Enlargement, two years after - an economic success. Retrieved February 12, 2020 from https://eur-lex.europa.eu/summary/glossary/accession_criteria_copenhague.html European Commission. (2001). The economic impact of enlargement. European Communities. Retrieved May 23, 2020 from https://www.unece.org/fileadmin/DAM/trade/workshop/april2003/5EconomicImpactOfEnlargement.pdf European Commission. (2009). Five years of an enlarged EU Economic achievements and challenges. Luxembourg: Office for Official Publications of the European Communities. doi: 10.2765/11656 European Commission. (n.d.). 15 rokov Slovenska v Európskej únii. Retrieved April 16, 2020 from https://ec.europa.eu/slovakia/news/15_rokov_sr_v_eu_sk. European Commission. Balcerowicz, E. (2007). The Impact of Poland`s EU Accession on its Economy. Center for Social and Economic Research CASE Report No. 335. Retrieved May 16, 2020 from https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1015782 European Parliament. (2018). The historical development of European integration. Retrieved February 11, 2020 from https://www.europarl.europa.eu/RegData/etudes/PERI/2018/618969/IPOL_PERI(2018)618969_EN.pdf European Union. (n.d.). Living in the EU. Retrieved 22 May 2020, from https://europa.eu/european-union/about-eu/figures/living_en Gomułka, S. (2016). Poland`s economic and social transformation 1989–2014 and contemporary challenges. Central Bank Review, 16(1), 19-23. doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cbrev.2016.03.005 Government of the Czech Republic. (2010). Cost-cutting Budget For 2011. Retrieved May 23, 2020 from https://www.vlada.cz/en/media-centrum/aktualne/cost-cutting-budget-for-2011-75862/ Győrffy, D. (2007). Deficit bias and moral hazard on the road to the EMU: The political dimension of fiscal policy in Hungary. Post-Communist Economies, 19(1), 1-16. doi: https://doi.org/10.1080/14631370601162907 Henrekson, M., Torstensson, J., & Torstensson, R. (1997). Growth effects of European integration. European Economic Review, 41(8), 1537-1557. doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/S0014-2921(97)00063-9 Ivanová, E., & Masárová, J. (2018). Performance evaluation of the Visegrad Group countries. Economic research-Ekonomska istraživanja, 31(1), 270-289. doi: https://doi.org/10.1080/1331677X.2018.1429944 Jedlička, J., Kotian, J., & Münz, R. (2014). Visegrad Four-10 years of EU membership. Erste Group Research CEE Special Report. Retrieved April 19, 2020 from https://www.erstebank.hr/content/dam/hr/ebc/www_erstebank_hr/misc/press/2014/2014_04_23_EN_Report_Visegrad.pdf. Kolodziejczyk, K. (2016). Poland in the European Union. Ten years of membership. Revista UNISCI, (40), 9-26. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.5209/rev_RUNI.2016.n40.51803 Kovacevic, T. (2019). EU budget: Who pays most in and who gets most back?. Retrieved March 15, 2020 from https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-48256318. Koyame-Marsh, R. O. (2011). The complexities of economic transition: Lessons from the Czech Republic and Slovakia. International Journal of Business and Social Science, 2(19). Retrieved March 15, 2020 from http://ijbssnet.com/journals/Vol_2_No_19_Special_Issue_October_2011/8.pdf Kumar, A., & Liang, C. Y. (2018). Labor Market Effects of Credit Constraints: Evidence from a Natural Experiment. FRB of Dallas Working Paper No. 1810. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.24149/wp1810r1 Kutan, A. M., & Yigit, T. M. (2007). European integration, productivity growth and real convergence. European Economic Review, 51(6), 1370-1395. doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.euroecorev.2006.11.001 Maliszewska, M. (2004). EU enlargement: benefits of the single market expansion for current and new member states. CASE Network Studies and Analyses, (273). Retrieved March 15, 2020 from https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1440164 Mann, K. (2015). The EU, a growth engine? The impact of European integration on economic growth in Central Eastern Europe (No. 136). FIW Working Paper. Retrieved March 15, 2020 from https://www.econstor.eu/handle/10419/121136 Matkowski, Z., & Próchniak, M. (2007). Economic convergence between the CEE-8 and the European Union. Eastern European Economics, 45(1), 59-76. doi: https://doi.org/10.2753/EEE0012-8775450103 Molendowski, E. (2015). 10 Years of Membership in the European Union-Poland in Comparison with the Visegrad Group Countries. Central European Review of Economics & Finance, 10(4), 5-18. Retrieved March 15, 2020 from http://yadda.icm.edu.pl/yadda/element/bwmeta1.element.cejsh-element-000171452401 Myant, M. (2007). Economic transformation in the Czech Republic—a qualified success. Europe-Asia Studies, 59(3), 431-450. doi: https://doi.org/10.1080/09668130701239872 Pintér, T. (2018). The Integration of Hungary into the European Union–Economic Aspects. POLGÁRI SZEMLE: GAZDASÁGI ÉS TÁRSADALMI FOLYÓIRAT, 14(Spec.), 165-183. doi: https://doi.org/10.24307/psz.2018.0411 Rapacki, R., & Prochniak, M. (2009). The EU enlargement and economic growth in the CEE new member countries (No. 367). Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission. Retrieved May 23, 2020 from https://ideas.repec.org/p/euf/ecopap/0367.html Ratajczak, M. (2009). Polish Economics and the Polish Economy. The History of Economic Thought, 51(2), 1-17. doi: https://doi.org/10.5362/jshet.51.2_1 Réti, T. (1995). East Central European Economic Transition and the West. Macalester International, 2(1), 9. Retrieved April 22, 2020 from http://digitalcommons.macalester.edu/macintl/vol2/iss1/9 Romer, P. M. (1990). Endogenous technological change. Journal of political Economy, 98(5, Part 2), S71-S102. doi: https://doi.org/10.5362/jshet.51.2_1 Schengen Visa Information. (n.d.). Schengen Area – The World’s Largest Visa Free Zone. Retrieved April 22, 2020 from https://www.schengenvisainfo.com/schengen-visa-countries-list/ Sedelmeier, U. (2014). Europe after the eastern enlargement of the European Union: 2004-2014. Europe for Citizens. Heinrich Böll Stiftung European Union, 1-12. Retrieved May 22, 2020 from https://eu.boell.org/sites/default/files/uploads/2014/06/eastern_enlargement.pdf Solow, R. M. (1956). A contribution to the theory of economic growth. The quarterly journal of economics, 70(1), 65-94. doi: https://doi.org/10.2307/1884513 Tang, H. (Ed.). (2000). Winners and losers in EU integration: Policy issues for Central and Eastern Europe. The World Bank. doi: https://doi.org/10.1596/0-8213-4427-7 Ungváry, K. (2018). Hungary and the European Union 1989-2014–a Success Story?. Heinrich Böll Stiftung. Retrieved April 19, 2020 from https://eu.boell.org/sites/default/files/uploads/2014/10/hungary_and_the_european_union.pdf Valentinyi, A. (2012). The Hungarian crisis. VoxEU & CEPR. Retrieved April 25, 2020 from https://voxeu.org/article/hungarian-crisis. Žídek, L. (2011). Transformation in Poland. Review of Economic Perspectives, 11(4), 237-270. doi: https://doi.org/10.2478/v10135-011-0015-x Žídek, L. (2014). Evaluation of economic transformation in Hungary. Review of Economic Perspectives, 14(1), 55-88. doi: https://doi.org/10.2478/revecp-2014-0004 Zielonka, J. (2004). Europe Moves Eastward: Challenges of EU Enlargement. Journal of Democracy 15(1), 22-35. doi:10.1353/jod.2004.0019.
描述:	碩士國立政治大學應用經濟與社會發展英語碩士學位學程(IMES) 107266010
資料來源:	http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0107266010
数据类型:	thesis
DOI:	10.6814/NCCU202000585
显示于类别:	[應用經濟與社會發展英語碩士學位學程 (IMES)] 學位論文

文件中的档案:

档案	描述	大小	格式	浏览次数
601001.pdf		4324Kb	Adobe PDF2	137	检视/开启

在政大典藏中所有的数据项都受到原著作权保护.

社群 sharing

著作權政策宣告 Copyright Announcement

1.本網站之數位內容為國立政治大學所收錄之機構典藏，無償提供學術研究與公眾教育等公益性使用，惟仍請適度，合理使用本網站之內容，以尊重著作權人之權益。商業上之利用，則請先取得著作權人之授權。
The digital content of this website is part of National Chengchi University Institutional Repository. It provides free access to academic research and public education for non-commercial use. Please utilize it in a proper and reasonable manner and respect the rights of copyright owners. For commercial use, please obtain authorization from the copyright owner in advance.

2.本網站之製作，已盡力防止侵害著作權人之權益，如仍發現本網站之數位內容有侵害著作權人權益情事者，請權利人通知本網站維護人員(nccur@nccu.edu.tw)，維護人員將立即採取移除該數位著作等補救措施。
NCCU Institutional Repository is made to protect the interests of copyright owners. If you believe that any material on the website infringes copyright, please contact our staff(nccur@nccu.edu.tw). We will remove the work from the repository and investigate your claim.

DSpace Software Copyright © 2002-2004 MIT & Hewlett-Packard / Enhanced by NTU Library IR team Copyright © - 回馈