政大機構典藏-National Chengchi University Institutional Repository(NCCUR):Item 140.119/129780

English | 正體中文 | 简体中文 | Post-Print筆數 : 27 | Items with full text/Total items : 113311/144292 (79%)
Visitors : 50922246 Online Users : 927

RC Version 6.0 © Powered By DSPACE, MIT. Enhanced by NTU Library IR team.

Home ‧ Login ‧ Upload ‧ Help ‧ About ‧ Administer

政大機構典藏 > 理學院 > 心理學系 > 期刊論文 > Item 140.119/129780

Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/129780

Title:	Can knowledge of election results change recall of our predictions? Neural correlates of political hindsight bias
Authors:	顏乃欣 Yen, Nai-Shing 陳尹華 Chen, Yin-Hua 鄭旭博 Cheng, Hsu-Po 盧毓文 Lu, Yu-Wen Northoff, Georg Lee, Pei-Hong
Contributors:	心理系
Date:	2019-09
Issue Date:	2020-05-25 15:42:10 (UTC+8)
Abstract:	Hindsight bias (HB) is the tendency to retrospectively exaggerate one’s foresight knowledge about the outcome of an event. Cognitive processes influenced by newly obtained outcome information are used to explain the HB phenomenon, but the neural correlates remain unknown. This study investigated HB in the context of election results using a memory design and functional magnetic resonance imaging for the first time. Participants were asked to predict and recall the percentage of votes obtained by (pairs of) candidates before and after an election. The results revealed that 88% of participants showed HB by recalling that their predictions were closer to the actual outcomes than they really were; and participants had HB for 38% of the events. The HB effect was associated with activation in the medial superior frontal gyrus and bilateral inferior frontal gyrus (IFG), which have been implicated in updating an old belief due to new information and is similar to the process of reconstruction bias. Furthermore, participants with a greater HB effect showed greater activation of the left IFG. In conclusion, we successfully observed the HB phenomenon in election results, and our imaging results suggested that the HB phenomenon might involve reconstruction bias.
Relation:	PLoS ONE, Vol.14, No.10, pp.e0220690
Data Type:	期刊論文
DOI 連結:	https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0220690
DOI:	10.1371/journal.pone.0220690
Appears in Collections:	[心理學系] 期刊論文

Files in This Item:

File	Size	Format
283.pdf	697Kb	Adobe PDF2	353	View/Open

社群 sharing

著作權政策宣告 Copyright Announcement

1.本網站之數位內容為國立政治大學所收錄之機構典藏，無償提供學術研究與公眾教育等公益性使用，惟仍請適度，合理使用本網站之內容，以尊重著作權人之權益。商業上之利用，則請先取得著作權人之授權。
The digital content of this website is part of National Chengchi University Institutional Repository. It provides free access to academic research and public education for non-commercial use. Please utilize it in a proper and reasonable manner and respect the rights of copyright owners. For commercial use, please obtain authorization from the copyright owner in advance.

2.本網站之製作，已盡力防止侵害著作權人之權益，如仍發現本網站之數位內容有侵害著作權人權益情事者，請權利人通知本網站維護人員(nccur@nccu.edu.tw)，維護人員將立即採取移除該數位著作等補救措施。
NCCU Institutional Repository is made to protect the interests of copyright owners. If you believe that any material on the website infringes copyright, please contact our staff(nccur@nccu.edu.tw). We will remove the work from the repository and investigate your claim.

Loading...