政大機構典藏-National Chengchi University Institutional Repository(NCCUR):Item 140.119/12970

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政大機構典藏 > 商學院 > 風險管理與保險學系 > 期刊論文 > Item 140.119/12970

Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/12970

Title:	Value at Risk of Life Insurance Policy Reserves
Other Titles:	壽險保單準備金之風險值
Authors:	蔡政憲;郭維裕;李孟倚
Keywords:	Value at risk;Policy reserves;Life Insurance;風險值;保單準備金;人身保險
Date:	2003-04
Issue Date:	2008-12-08 11:05:45 (UTC+8)
Abstract:	We estimate the value at risk (VaR) of life insurance policy reserves in this paper. Since the market price of reserves does not exist, we construct a simulation model considering mortality rate risk, interest rate risk, surrender rate risk, and parameter estimation risks to estimate the VaR. Simulation results show that the VaR from mortality rate risk is small but interest rate risk as well as the parameter estimation risk of interest rate model significantly enlarges the VaR. On the other hand, surrender rate risk reduces reserve VaR. With regard to individual product, annuity and whole life insurance have the largest VaR, followed by pure endowment and endowment. Term life insurance has the smallest one. 作者們於本文中估計數種保險商品準備金之風險值。由於準備金沒有市場價格，作者們建立了一個包含死亡率風險，利率風險，解約率風險，以及參數估計風險的模擬模型來估計風險值。我們發現死亡率所產生的風險值很低，利率風險以及利率模型的參數估計風險會使風險值顯著變大，而解約率風險則會降低準備金的風險值。保險商品中，年金與終身壽險的風險值最大，生存險與生死合險次之，而定期壽險的風險值則最小。
Relation:	財務金融學刊 ,11(1),41-65
Data Type:	article
Appears in Collections:	[風險管理與保險學系] 期刊論文

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