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    Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/123059


    Title: 政治版圖：兩個選舉行為研究途徑的對話
    The Two Faces of Political Clustering in Electoral Studies: Endogenous vs. Correlated Effects
    Authors: 徐永明
    Contributors: 問題與研究
    Keywords: 政治版圖;忠誠選民;內生性影響;相關性影響
    Political clustering;Voting behavior;Endogenous effects;Correlated effects
    Date: 2001-03
    Issue Date: 2019-04-18 13:59:43 (UTC+8)
    Abstract: 政治版圖作為一測量的概念，基本上乏用以判定一個政黨在某個地區的影響力，尤其以得票率作為判別政治版圖的劃分標準，評估選舉之後的政黨重組。而本文與政治版圖的對話是：若忠誠選民的比例在群集變化上與投票率走一致的，就表示對於民進黨友善與不友善的地區的確影響了選民的投票抉譯（內生性影響）；但若忠誠選民的比例並不與群集變化一致，表示投票率所界定的不同群集代表的政治環境，並不對於選民的投票決定造成太大影響（相關性影響）。由分析可得知，民進黨忠誠選民在群集中並無太大的差異，而少數有群集差異的選舉年份，其差異並未如同群集順序一樣，顯示以民進黨得票率高低所劃分的群集，對於民進黨忠誠選民而言並未有太大的影響，表示影響民進黨選民投票忠誠度的因素，是基於民進黨選民的某些特質，而非源於環境因素（contensexual variable）。
    Political clustering analysis was created with the stated objectives of generating information regarding the political nature of geographical distribuyion. This article uses township-level data on several electoral outcomes to analyze the contextual effect on the stability and geographical distribution of the Democratic Progressive Party`s (DPP) loyal voters. I reach one conclusion that DPP voter`s stability is uncorrelated with politacal clustering, which suggests the endogenous contextual effect is less persuasive than the correlated effect,-due to individual-specific characteristics-in predicting DPP voter behavior.
    Relation: 問題與研究, 40(2), 95-115
    Data Type: article
    Appears in Collections:[問題與研究 TSSCI] 期刊論文

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