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    Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/118786


    Title: 個人素質與在地連結:台灣六都市議員候選人背景與選舉表現之相關性
    Personal Quality and Local Connection: The Relation between Candidate’s Background and Electoral Performance in Taiwan Special Municipal Parliament Election
    Authors: 陳恒佑
    Chen, Heng-You
    Contributors: 蘇昱璇
    陳恒佑
    Chen, Heng-You
    Keywords: 直轄市議員選舉
    候選人個人素質
    在地連結程度
    選舉表現
    量化研究
    Taiwan special municipal election
    Personal quality
    Local connection
    Election performance
    Quantitative research
    Date: 2018
    Issue Date: 2018-07-20 18:08:50 (UTC+8)
    Abstract: 本文關注民國99年與103年的直轄市議員選舉中,候選人個人背景與其選舉表現的關聯。本研究透過選舉公報來收集客觀的候選人背景資料,之後透過量化實證研究的方式,了解這些變數對於候選人選舉表現的重要性。而候選人背景主要分為以下三類:候選人基本資訊、個人素質變數、在地連結程度。此外,本研究也使用七分制來綜合評估個人素質與在地連結的情況,並且藉此釐清候選人各項背景在直轄市議員選舉中的影響程度。除了釐清六都候選人背景影響其選舉表現的整體趨勢外,本研究也另外處理兩個問題,首先關注於台灣兩大政黨,中國國民黨、民主進步黨的候選人差異;接著則依據台灣北、中、南三個地理區位來劃分候選人,觀察地理區位之間是否存在趨勢上的差異。
    本研究有以下幾個發現:一、直轄市議員候選人是否受到兩大政黨提名,將會是影響其是否能夠當選的關鍵因素。二、候選人個人素質以及在地連結程度,皆會與候選人之選舉表現高度相關。在直轄市議員選舉中,又以候選人在地連結的重要性略高於候選人個人素質。三、過去傳統上對於兩大黨候選人的印象(例如:國民黨教育程度較高等),在直轄市議員層級的選舉中似乎不再存在。四、候選人受到兩大黨提名,將能夠抵銷其政治經驗不足所存在的劣勢。五、在台灣三個地理區位中,北部地區之候選人,相較於中南部地區,在教育程度、候選人個人素質等變數表現相對較高。
    This thesis uses 2010 and 2014 Taiwan special municipal election as research sample and tries to figure out the relation between candidate’s background and their electoral performance. In this thesis we first collect objective candidate’s objective background information through election bulletins and then use quantitative methods to test the importance of each variable. The candidate’s background variables are divided into the following three categories: basic information, personal quality, and local connection. Furthermore, this study also deals with two other issues. First, we focus on the differences between the two major political parties in Taiwan, KMT and DPP. Second, we divide the candidate sample into three geographical regions: north, middle, and south regions, in order to observe whether there are different patterns across regions.
    The thesis presents the following findings: First, whether a candidate is nominated by the two major political parties will be the key variable affecting his or her electoral performance. Second, both the personal quality and the local connection are highly correlated with candidate’s electoral performance. Third, some stereotypes of the two major parties’ candidates seem to no longer exist in 2010 and 2014 Taiwan special municipal election. Forth, nominations of the two major parties will compensate candidates’ lack of political experience. Fifth, among the three geographical regions in Taiwan, candidates in northern region have relatively higher education level and personal quality.
    Reference: 英文文獻
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    中文文獻
    國家發展委員會國土區域離島發展處,2016,《都市及區域發展統計彙編》。台北:國家發展委員會。
    王中天,2008,〈SNTV的政黨失誤類型之探討、測量與運用:以台灣立法院選舉為例(1992-2004)〉。《選舉研究》,第十五卷,第一期,51-72。
    佘健源,2017,〈台灣立委選制改革對現任者競選優勢之影響〉。《經濟論文叢刊》,第四十五卷,第三期,453-494。
    李承達、駱明慶,2008,〈美貌對候選人得票率的影響-以2004年立委選舉為例〉。《經濟論文叢刊》,第三十六卷,第一期,67-113。
    林聰賢、游清鑫,2009,〈政黨形象與台灣選民的投票行為:1996-2008年總統選舉的實證分析〉。收錄陳陸輝等編,《2008年總統選舉:論兩次政黨輪替之關鍵選舉》。台北:五南。頁177-208。
    林瓊珠,2008,〈議題、候選人評價、黨派意識-2006年台北市長選舉投票行為研究〉。《台灣民主季刊》,第五卷,第二期,59-87。
    胡佛、游盈隆,1983。〈選民的投票取向:結構與類型的分〉。《政治學報》,第十一期,225-279。
    黃秀端,1996,〈決定勝負的關鍵:候選人特質與能力在總統選舉中的重要性〉。《選舉研究》,第三卷,第一期,103-135。
    黃秀端,2005,〈候選人形象、候選人情感溫度計、與總統選民投票行為〉。《台灣民主季刊》,第二卷,第四期,1-30。
    黃紀、林長志、王宏忠,2013,〈三合一選舉中之一致與分裂投票:以2010年高雄市選舉為例〉。《選舉研究》,第二十卷,第一期,1-45。
    盛治仁,2008,〈縣市長連任關鍵何在?影響縣市長選舉因素探討〉。《選舉研究》,第十五卷,第一期,1-18。
    童振源、周子全、林繼文、林馨怡,2009,〈2009年台灣縣市長選舉預測分析〉。《選舉研究》,第十八卷,第一期,63-94。
    游清鑫,2003,〈探索台灣選民心目中理想的候選人:以2000年總統選舉為例〉。《東吳政治學報》,第十七期,93-120。
    劉義周,1992,〈國民黨責任區輔選活動之參選觀察研究〉。《國立政治大學學報》,第六十四期,209-233。
    鄭夙芬,2014,〈候選人因素與投票抉擇-以2012年臺灣總統選舉為例〉。《臺灣民主季刊》,第十一期,第一卷,103-151。

    網路資料
    中央選舉委員會選舉資料庫網站,http://db.cec.gov.tw/
    中央選舉委員會選舉及公民投票公報查詢系統,http://bulletin.cec.gov.tw/bin/home.php
    BBC中文網,2016年 1月14日,http://www.bbc.com/zhongwen/trad/china/
    2016/01/160114_2016twelection_shoutouzu
    遠見雜誌,2016年9月29日,https://www.gvm.com.tw/article.html?id=34723
    中華民國統計資訊網-縣市重要統計指標查詢系統,http://statdb.dgbas.gov.tw/pxweb/Dialog/CityItemlist_n.asp
    Description: 碩士
    國立政治大學
    國家發展研究所
    105261014
    Source URI: http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0105261014
    Data Type: thesis
    DOI: 10.6814/THE.NCCU.GIDS.003.2018.F09
    Appears in Collections:[國家發展研究所] 學位論文

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