政大機構典藏-National Chengchi University Institutional Repository(NCCUR):Item 140.119/112404
English  |  正體中文  |  简体中文  |  Post-Print筆數 : 27 |  全文筆數/總筆數 : 113648/144635 (79%)
造訪人次 : 51652431      線上人數 : 599
RC Version 6.0 © Powered By DSPACE, MIT. Enhanced by NTU Library IR team.
搜尋範圍 查詢小技巧：
  • 您可在西文檢索詞彙前後加上"雙引號"，以獲取較精準的檢索結果
  • 若欲以作者姓名搜尋，建議至進階搜尋限定作者欄位，可獲得較完整資料
    •  進階搜尋


    請使用永久網址來引用或連結此文件: https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/112404


    題名: 臺北市公共自行車站點需求分析之研究
    A research in the demand of the public bike station in Taipei.
    作者: 張辰尉
    貢獻者: 白仁德
    張辰尉
    關鍵詞: 大數據
    公共自行車系統
    微笑單車
    社群網絡分析
    熱點分析
    最小平方法
    地理加權迴歸
    Big data
    Public bike system
    Youbike
    Social network analysis
    Hot spot analysis
    Least squares method
    Geographically weight regression
    日期: 2017
    上傳時間: 2017-08-31 12:20:07 (UTC+8)
    摘要: 近年來由於溫室效應加劇以及氣候變遷加劇，因此符合綠色運輸特性的公共自行車系統，成為各國交通部門發展綠運輸政策時的目標之一，同時，大數據分析亦是目前受到高度關注的熱門議題。而本研究首先使用臺北市微笑單車租借大數據探討在不同時間點下民眾日常使用微笑單車之旅運行為，分析不同站點間的旅次特性。再運用社群網絡分析，以站點之間旅次連結多寡作為權重，探討站點間之緊密程度，以及不同時間點下微笑單車租借量之熱點分布情形，並將其視覺化呈現。
    後續透過文獻分析，擷取影響公共自行車使用量之因素後，本研究嘗試運用一般線性迴歸模型與地理加權迴歸進行模型建立，並探討各影響因素對於旅運需求之影響情形。實證結果顯示，地理加權迴歸模型可以解決一般線性迴歸所產生空間自相關問題，使得模型解釋能力獲得改善。本研究並使用地理加權迴歸進行使用需求分析以及預測，對未來公共自行車營運以及站點擴張提出結論以及建議，期能提升公共自行車系統之使用量。
    Due to the climate change and aggravation of the greenhouse effect in recent years, the public bicycle system with the feature of low-carbon emission has raised more and more attention internationally, and has become one of the targets in developing green transportation policies of transportation departments of governments around the world. Meanwhile Big Data analysis issues, on the other hand, are currently a sought-after topic which has caused great concern as well. In this study, we utilize the rental data of the YouBike system in Taipei to discuss the public usage of YouBike tour at different periods. With the use of social network analysis, we discuss the relationships between different bicycle stops based on applying the number of travels between different sites as the weight. Eventually, the hotspot analysis will be carried out by operating the GIS system. In this way, we are able to discuss the hotspot distribution of YouBike rentals in different time and then visualize the result.
    After that this study pick up the variables which will effect the YouBike usage by reference review. This research try to built models by utilizing the Least Squares Method and Geographically Weighted Regression. Then we will have a discussion with the result of the two models. The result shows that Geographically Weighted Regression can resolve the spatial autocorrelation problem which happened in the Least Squares Method and to gain a better result. With the analysis and prediction of public bicycle system from Geographically Weighted Regression, we hope to raise the usage of public bicycle system by concluding as well as making recommendations for the future operation of public bicycle and the expansion of bicycle stops.
    參考文獻: 許添本，2003，人本交通與綠色交通的發展理念，『都市交通季刊』18(3)：41-52。

    交通部運輸研究所，2012，交通政策白皮書，交通部運輸研究所。

    臺北市交通局，2015，105年公共自行車租賃站設置準則訂彈性作業方式 ，台北市政府交通局。

    白詩滎，2013，臺北公共自行車使用行為特性分析與友善環境建構之研究，國立政治大學碩士學位論文。

    王俊偉，2011，以系統模擬探討公共自行車租借系統之建置及營運策略，國立成功大學資訊管理研究所碩士論文。

    邱辰，2015，從空間角度分析公共自行車系統對站點周邊土地活動影響，國立臺灣大學碩士學位論文。

    余書枚，2009，公共自行車租借系統選擇行為之研究，國立交通大學交通運輸研究所碩士學位論文。

    曹壽民、林俊宏，2004，臺北都會區捷運車站腳踏車停車需求之研究，『都市交通季刊』19(3)：16-31。

    李家儂、賴宗裕，2009，交通運輸與土地使用連結下的都市模式演變-全球36個主要城市比較分析，『都市與計劃』36(1)：25-49。

    鄭雨桐，2016，建成環境對公共自行車使用之影響，國立臺灣大學地理環境資源學系研究所碩士學位論文。

    王勇、靳瑞濤、蘇煜釗、陳春禮，2016，網絡大數據時代的發展現狀與挑戰，『農業經濟』(4)：21-24。

    詹佳俊，2015，向塞車問題宣戰!荷蘭TNO將與Google合作分析交通大數據，數位時代，11月22日。

    李永正，2015，如何在大數據時代發揮開放資料的社會價值，『台灣經濟研究月刊』38(9)：105-112

    于嘉元，2009，土地使用變遷之空間自迴歸分析-以新店安坑地區為例，國立台灣大學建築與城鄉研究所碩士學位論文。

    程稚茵，2016，用地理加權迴歸分析獨立式與集合式住宅之價格分布-已改制前台中市為例，國立政治大學地政學系碩士學位論文。

    陳慈仁，2001，台北市資訊軟體業與網際網路服務業區位分佈之研究，國立台灣大學建築與城鄉研究所碩士學位論文。

    楊孝博，2011，鐵路車站旅客運輸需求之實證性研究-地理加權迴歸之應用，國立臺灣大學地理環境資源研究所碩士學位論文。

    劉人華，2014，大眾運輸導向建成環境特性對捷運運量影響之研究-以台北捷運為實證對象，『建築與規劃學報』15(2/3)：111-128。

    張顏鵬，2003，住商混合開發中商業環境企劃之研究-以運用社區開放空間塑造商店內街之集合住宅案為例，國立成功大學建築研究所碩士論文。

    溫在弘，2015，空間分析方法與應用，臺北市:雙葉書廊。

    Anselin, L. ,2013, Spatial econometrics: methods and models (Vol. 4). Springer Science & Business Media.


    Anselin, L. ,2002,. Under the hood issues in the specification and interpretation of spatial regression models. Agricultural economics, 27(3), 247-267.

    Anselin, L., & Griffith, D. A. ,1988, Do spatial effecfs really matter in regression analysis?. Papers in Regional Science, 65(1), 11-34.

    Alta planning+design ,2012, Cincinnati bike share feasibility study.

    Bordagaray, M , Ibeas, A , dell’Olio, L ,2012, Modeling user perception of public bicycle services, Social and Behavioral sciences 54:1308-1316.

    Cervero, R. and Kockelman, K., 1997, Travel demand and the 3Ds: Density, Diversity, and Design, Transportation Research-D,2(3), 199-219.

    Cliff, A. D., & Ord, J. K., 1973, Spatial autocorrelation (No. 04; QA278. 2, C5.).

    DeMaio, P.,2003,Smart Bikes: Public transportation for the 21st Century, Transportation quarterly,57(1):9-11.

    DeMaio, P & Gifford, J. ,2004, Willsmart bikes succeed as public transportation in the United State?, Journal of Public Transportation, 7(2):1-15

    DeMaio, P.,2009,Bike-sharing: History,impacts, models of provision, and future, Journal of Public Transportation, 12(4):41-56.

    Etienne, C ,Latifa, O ,2014, Model-based count series clustering for bike sharing system usage mining: a case study with the v´elib’ system of paris, 5(3)article 39.

    Faghih-I mani, A., Eluru, N., El-Geneidy, A. ,Rabbat, M.,Haq, U.,2014, How land-use and urban form impact bicycle flows: evidence from the bicycle-sharing system (BIXI) in Montreal, Journal of Transport Geography, 41:306-314

    Fotheringham,A.S, Charlton, M.E ,1996, The geography of parameter space: an investigation of spatial non-stationarity, geographical information system 10(5)605-627.

    Fotheringham,A.S,Brunsdon, C,Charlton, M.E,2000,Qualitative geography perspectives on spatial data analysis.

    Fotheringham,A.S,Brunsdon, C,Charlton, M.E,2002,Geographically Weighted Regression,Wiley, Chichester.

    Brunsdon, C., Fotheringham, S., & Charlton, M., 1998. Geographically weighted regression. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series D (The Statistician), 47(3), 431-443.

    Gauthier, A., Hughes, C., Kost, C., Li, S., et al., 2013. The Bike-share Planning Guide.ITDP Report.

    Hampshire, R &Marla, L.,2012, An analysis of bike sharing usage: explaining trip generation and attraction from observed demand. TRB Annual Meeting.

    Hughes, C.,2014. Planning Bike Share for Better Performance. Transforming Transportation.

    Laney, D ,2001, 3D Data Management: Controlling Data Volume, Velocity, and Variety. MATE Group.

    Lin, J.J., and Shin, T.Y., 2008, Does Transit-Oriented Development affect metro ridership? Evidence from Taipei, Taiwan.,Transportation research record: Journal of the transportation research board, 2063:149-158.

    Long, Y & Thill, J-C ,2015,Combining smart card data and household travel survey to analyze jobs-housing relationships in Beijing, Computers, Environment and Urban System, 53 (2015)19-35.

    Legendre, P ,1993,Spatial autocorrelation: Trouble or new paradigm?, 74(6)1659-1673

    Midgley, P.,2011, Bicycle-sharing schemes: enhancing sustainable mobility in urban areas, Commission on Sustainable Development Nineteenth Session, New York.

    Midgley, P.,2009, The role of smart Bike-sharing systems in urban mobility, Journeys, 2:23-31

    Martens K ,2004, The bicycle as a feedering mode: experiences from three European countries, Transport Research Part D, 9:281-294

    Murphy, E , &USHER, J ,2015, The role of bicycle-sharing in the city: analysis of the Irish experience, International journal of sustainable transportation, 9: 116-125

    Rixey, R ,2012, Station-level forecasting of bike sharing ridership: station network effects in three U.S. systems, TRB 2013 Annual meeting.

    Shaheen, S., &Guzman, S., 2011, Worldwide Bikesharing, ACCESS,39:22-27.

    Shaheen, S., Guzman, S., & Zhang, H.,2010, Bikesharing in Europe, the Americas, and Asia Past, Present, and Future, Journal of the Transportation Research Board,2143:159-167.

    Shaheen, S., Zhang, H., Martin, E &Guzman, S.,2011, Hangzhou Public Bicycle: Understanding Early Adoption and Behavioral Response to Bikesharing in Hangzhou, China, Transportation Research Record, 2247:34-41

    Shaheen, S.A.,Martin,E.W.,Cohen,A.P.,Finson,R.S.,2012, Public Bike-sharing in
    North America: Early Operator and User Understanding,

    Tobler, W. R. (1979). Cellular geography. In Philosophy in geography (pp. 379-386). Springer Netherlands.

    Tran,T.D, Ovtracht, N , Faivre d’Arcier, B ,2015, Modeling bike sharing system using built environment factors, Prosedia CIRP, 30,293-298.

    Yisheng Lv, Yanjie Duan, Wenwen Kang, Zhengxi Li, and Fei-Yue Wang ,2015, Traffic flow prediction with big data: a deep learning approach, IEEE,16(2)865-872

    Zhao, J , Deng W, Song Y ,2014, Ridership and effectiveness of bikesharing: The effects of urban features and system characteristics on daily use and turnover rate of public bikes in China, Transport Policy 35:253-264

    行政院環境保護署，2013，溫室氣體排放統計(2016/10/4下載)。
    http://www.epa.gov.tw/ct.asp?xItem=10052&ctNode=31352&mp=epa

    臺北市微笑單車系統官方網站，2016，關於Youbike大事記(2016/10/6下載)。
    http://taipei.youbike.com.tw/cht/f31.php

    臺北市微笑單車系統官方網站，2016，營運成果「臺北市租賃次」，(2016/10/06)下載。
    http://taipei.youbike.com.tw/cht/f212.php?nid=5b0857440e1a6649ffc29cd93eba9b35&rows=20&page=1

    臺北市交通局，2015，「本市YouBike實施收費無法借車還車情形減少週轉率仍高於全球各大城市」，市府新聞稿，12月22日。

    高雄市政府環保局，2016，高雄市公共腳踏車資訊網(2016/10/06下載)。
    http://www.c-bike.com.tw/CMSMain.aspx?mid=3
    Janet Larson，2013，Bike-Sharing Programs Hit the Streets in Over 500 Cities Worldwide.(2016/10/16下載)。
    http://www.earth-policy.org/plan_b_updates/2013/update112

    臺北市交通局，2012，「臺北大眾運輸新網絡 YouBike微笑單車拓展全新通勤文化」，市府新聞稿，8月29日。

    Lloyd Alter，2015，Copenhagen`s GoBike share program is collapsing圖片(2016/10/25 下載)。
    http://www.treehugger.com/bikes/copenhagens-gobike-share-program-collapsing.html
    描述: 碩士
    國立政治大學
    地政學系
    104257010
    資料來源: http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0104257010
    資料類型: thesis
    顯示於類別:[地政學系] 學位論文

    文件中的檔案:

    檔案 大小格式瀏覽次數
    701001.pdf10396KbAdobe PDF2675檢視/開啟


    在政大典藏中所有的資料項目都受到原著作權保護.


    社群 sharing

    著作權政策宣告 Copyright Announcement
    1.本網站之數位內容為國立政治大學所收錄之機構典藏，無償提供學術研究與公眾教育等公益性使用，惟仍請適度，合理使用本網站之內容，以尊重著作權人之權益。商業上之利用，則請先取得著作權人之授權。
    The digital content of this website is part of National Chengchi University Institutional Repository. It provides free access to academic research and public education for non-commercial use. Please utilize it in a proper and reasonable manner and respect the rights of copyright owners. For commercial use, please obtain authorization from the copyright owner in advance.

    2.本網站之製作，已盡力防止侵害著作權人之權益，如仍發現本網站之數位內容有侵害著作權人權益情事者，請權利人通知本網站維護人員(nccur@nccu.edu.tw)，維護人員將立即採取移除該數位著作等補救措施。
    NCCU Institutional Repository is made to protect the interests of copyright owners. If you believe that any material on the website infringes copyright, please contact our staff(nccur@nccu.edu.tw). We will remove the work from the repository and investigate your claim.
    DSpace Software Copyright © 2002-2004  MIT &  Hewlett-Packard  /   Enhanced by   NTU Library IR team Copyright ©   - 回饋