政大機構典藏-National Chengchi University Institutional Repository(NCCUR):Item 140.119/112303

English | 正體中文 | 简体中文 | Post-Print筆數 : 27 | 全文筆數/總筆數 : 113318/144297 (79%)
造訪人次 : 51040405 線上人數 : 948

RC Version 6.0 © Powered By DSPACE, MIT. Enhanced by NTU Library IR team.

政大機構典藏 > 商學院 > 風險管理與保險學系 > 期刊論文 > Item 140.119/112303

請使用永久網址來引用或連結此文件: https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/112303

題名:	Mortality Dependence and Longevity Bond Pricing: A Dynamic Factor Copula Mortality Model with the GAS Structure
作者:	Chen, Hua MacMinn, Richard D. Sun, Tao
貢獻者:	風險與保險研究中心
關鍵詞:	Mortality
日期:	2017-04
上傳時間:	2017-08-30 15:28:39 (UTC+8)
摘要:	Modeling mortality dependence for multiple populations has significant implications for mortality/longevity risk management. A natural way to assess multivariate dependence is to use copula models. The application of copula models in the multipopulation mortality analysis, however, is still in its infancy. In this article, we present a dynamic multipopulation mortality model based on a two-factor copula and capture the time-varying dependence using the generalized autoregressive score (GAS) framework. Our model is simple and flexible in terms of model specification and is widely applicable to high dimension data. Using the Swiss Re Kortis longevity trend bond as an example, we use our model to estimate the probability distribution of principal reduction and some risk measures such as probability of first loss, conditional expected loss, and expected loss. Due to the similarity in the structure and design of CAT bonds and mortality/longevity bonds, we borrow CAT bond pricing techniques for mortality/longevity bond pricing. We find that our pricing model generates par spreads that are close to the actual spreads of previously issued mortality/longevity bonds.
關聯:	Journal of Risk and Insurance, Special Edition, Vol. 84, 393-415
資料類型:	article
DOI 連結:	http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/jori.12214
DOI:	10.1111/jori.12214
顯示於類別:	[風險管理與保險學系] 期刊論文

文件中的檔案:

檔案	描述	大小	格式	瀏覽次數
6.pdf		799Kb	Adobe PDF2	444	檢視/開啟

在政大典藏中所有的資料項目都受到原著作權保護.

社群 sharing

著作權政策宣告 Copyright Announcement

1.本網站之數位內容為國立政治大學所收錄之機構典藏，無償提供學術研究與公眾教育等公益性使用，惟仍請適度，合理使用本網站之內容，以尊重著作權人之權益。商業上之利用，則請先取得著作權人之授權。
The digital content of this website is part of National Chengchi University Institutional Repository. It provides free access to academic research and public education for non-commercial use. Please utilize it in a proper and reasonable manner and respect the rights of copyright owners. For commercial use, please obtain authorization from the copyright owner in advance.

2.本網站之製作，已盡力防止侵害著作權人之權益，如仍發現本網站之數位內容有侵害著作權人權益情事者，請權利人通知本網站維護人員(nccur@nccu.edu.tw)，維護人員將立即採取移除該數位著作等補救措施。
NCCU Institutional Repository is made to protect the interests of copyright owners. If you believe that any material on the website infringes copyright, please contact our staff(nccur@nccu.edu.tw). We will remove the work from the repository and investigate your claim.

資料載入中.....