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| Title: | 歐盟穩定暨成長公約的政治經濟學─以兩次改革為例
The political economy of the stability and growth pact ─ the case of two refroms |
| Authors: | 陳盛彬 |
| Contributors: | 姜家雄
陳盛彬 |
| Keywords: | 穩定暨成長公約
兩次改革政治經濟學
德國與法國政治經濟利益
歐洲整合與財政同盟
財政同盟未來發展與困境
Stability and growth pact
Political and economic analysis
Germany and France |
| Date: | 2017 |
| Issue Date: | 2017-07-11 12:11:20 (UTC+8) |
| Abstract: | 《穩定暨成長公約》目的是防止歐元區成員國的財政赤字與政府債務嚴重影響歐元匯率的穩定，但是對財政赤字與政府債務的限制卻侵蝕國家的財政主權，因此從《穩定暨成長公約》規範的落實開始，到 2005 年、2011 年的兩次改革，皆不是單純的經濟議題。
《穩定暨成長公約》所具有的政治與經濟特性也就成為所欲研究的主題，藉由 2005 年與 2011 年《穩定暨成長公約》的兩次改革案例，本文希望了解德、法的政治與經濟利益對歐盟與歐洲整合中所帶來的影響與改變，同時也對《穩定暨成長公約》在第二次改革後的後續發展進行分析。為了能夠完整分析德、法的政治與經濟利益對《穩定暨成長公約》及歐盟後續發展的影響程度，文中以三項研究子題架構全論文：第一，德、法政治與經濟利益對《穩定暨成長公約》的影響與重要性；第二，德、法對《穩定暨成長公約》的第一次與第二次改革立場；第三，《穩定暨成長公約》兩次改革對歐盟的影響。
研究方法則是採取歷史分析與文獻回顧方式，並搭配「層次分析法」（Level of Analysis）從國內、國家與歐盟三層次切入，分別包括：第一，德國與法國國內政治和經濟利益對《穩定暨成長公約》兩次改革的影響；第二，德國、法國兩國政治與經濟利益對《穩定暨成長公約》的衝突與妥協；第三，德國與法國的政治、經濟利益與歐盟的衝突與影響。資料來源則主要包括以下七項：1.書籍 2.期刊 3.研討會與學會論文 4.研究報告 5.政府出版品 6.報章雜誌 7.網路資料。上述資料的討論時間範圍則是主要集中在 1999 年到 2015 年之間，以符合本文主題討論的內容架構。
最後，得到的結論重點主要能夠分成以下四點：第一，德、法的政治與經濟影響力是《穩定暨成長公約》無法逃避的問題；第二，外部經濟衝擊影響的差異，形塑德、法對《穩定暨成長公約》兩次改革立場；第三，歐洲整合的政治議題加深對《穩定暨成長公約》未來發展的影響；第四，歐元區「南北」經濟均衡發展是達成歐盟「財政同盟」的必要條件。
The main research topic of this dissertation is how Germany and France ‘s political and economic interests affect the two reforms of the Stability and Growth Pact, and the development of the European Union has been made under the influences of the Germany and France ‘s political and economic interests.
In order to fully analyze the main research topic, the dissertation structured with three other sub-topics. First, how far Germany and France ‘s political and
economic interests influence the Stability and Growth Pact. Second, what is the standpoint of Germany and France during the two reforms of the Stability and
Growth Pact. Third, how much reforms of the Stability and Growth Pact influences the European Union.
And with materials collected mainly from Books, Journals, Thesis, Research Reports, Government Publications, News Papers or Magazines and Internet resources, this paper handled original materials with Level of Analysis, including domestic level,
state level and European level.
From three Levels of Analysis, three other research
sub-topics derived: First, the influence of Germany and France ‘s domestic economic and political interests on the two reforms of the Stability and Growth Pact. Second,
the conflicts and compromises between Germany and France ‘s economic and political interests on the Stability and Growth Pact reforms. Third, the influence and
of Germany and France ‘s economic and political interests of the European Union.
Finally, four main points has been concluded: First, the influence of Germany and France ‘s economic and political interests has been a integral part of the Stability and Growth Pact. Second, different experiences between
Germany and France on the economic “black swan” constitute their positions toward the reforms of the Stability and Growth Pact. Third, the influence of political issues in European integration will
be more important to the future development of the Stability and Growth Pact.
Fourth, a indispensible-condition for euro zone to achieve “Fiscal Union” depends on whether the “north-south” economic develops evenly.Union” depends on whether
the “north-south” economic develops evenly. |
| Reference: | 壹、中文部分
一、專書
王啟明。《歐洲政經整合的三重奏》。台北：秀威科技，2010年。
李顯峰、李貴英主編。《歐債陰影下歐洲聯盟新財經政策》。台北：國立台灣大 學出版中心，2013年。
宋衛剛。《貨幣區問題研究》。北京。中國財政經濟出版社；2010年。
二、期刊論文
李俊毅、羅至美。〈歐元歷史：分析層次的觀點〉。《政治科學論叢》，第46期2009年12月，頁71-110。
李綱信。〈歐洲主權債信危機之分析〉。《經濟研究》，第11期，2011年3月，頁231-258。
邱俊榮。〈金融海嘯、歐債危機後的財政問題—「撙節」抑或「成長」〉。《台灣思想坦克》，第20期，2013年9月，頁54-61。
翁豪。〈歐盟暨穩定成長公約：僅是德國意志的展現嗎？〉。《淡江大學歐盟資訊中心通訊》，第18期，2008年5月，頁24-29。
郝培芝。〈法國總統大選與歐盟政經走向〉。《新世紀智庫論壇》，第58期，2012年6月，頁83-89。
鄭建軍、高倩倩。〈歐洲財政聯盟：作用、侷限與展望〉。《廈門大學學報》（哲學社會科學版），第4期，2012年，頁99-106。
鍾志明。〈歐洲共同體創始階段之歷史制度分析：經濟與安全權衡〉。《政治科學論叢》，第46期，2010年12月，頁1-30。
三、網路期刊論文
何啟嘉、魏資尹。〈希臘債務危機之最新發展〉。《國際金融參考資料》，第68期，2015年6月。
趙柯。〈德國在歐盟的經濟主導地位：根基和影響〉。《國際問題研究》（北京），5期，2014年10月14。
葉國俊。〈歐元區的財政整合：必要性及其極限〉。《當代財政》，第22期，2012年10月。
四、其它網路專文
甘逸驊。〈希臘國債風暴對歐洲統合的影響意涵〉。
沈中華。〈歐元區的阿基里斯腳裸是在財政政策〉。
卓宗宏。〈歐洲債務危機：經濟問題、政治解讀〉。
姜雲飛。〈歐債危機背景下歐盟財政一體化的進展與挑戰〉。
張福昌。〈德國批准「財政公約」的辯論、發展與影響〉。
黃得豐。〈歐債危機的原因與解決之道及對歐元之影響〉。
黃得豐。〈追蹤希臘債信之原委、發展及影響〉。
曾秀珍，〈歐洲經濟與貨幣政策探討〉。
楊聖璋。〈希臘與南歐財政危機的啟示〉。
〈如果歐元區成立財政部〉。每日頭條。
〈歐洲雙防線，不怕希臘倒債？〉。《天下雜誌》。
〈歐債怎麼辦？德法緊張〉。新新聞。
〈歐盟財政公約-走出危機之路？〉。新浪網。
〈歐蘭德效應 民粹主義加深歐債危機〉。《今周刊》。
〈九十年代的歐洲匯率機制危機〉，每日頭條，
貳、英文部分
一、專書
Heipertz, Martin and Verdun, Amy. Ruling Europe: The Politics of the Stability and Growth Pact. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2010.
Kaarlejarvi, Jani. Fiscal Policy Without a State in EMU? Germany, the Stability and Growth Pact and Policy Coordination. New York: Palgrave Macmillan, 2007.
Ngai, Victor. Stability and Growth Pact and Fiscal Discipline in the Eurozone. Philadelphia: Financial Institutions Center, Wharton School, University of
Pennsylvania, 2012.
Talani, Leila Simona and Bernard Casey, eds. Between Growth and Stability: The Demise and Reform of the European Union’s Stability and Growth Pact.Northampton: Edward Elgar, 2008.
二、期刊論文
Allen, Franklin, and Ngai, Victor. ”In what form will the Eurozone Emerge from the Crisis?” Journal of Applied Finance 22, no. 1（August 2012）: 1-36.
Baun, Michel J. ”The Maastricht Treaty as High Politics: Germany France and European Integration.” Political Science Quarterly 110, no. 4（1995-1996）: 605- 624.
Lee, Jae-Seung. ” The French Road to European Community: From ESCS to the EEC（1945-1957）. ”Journal of International And Asia Studies 11, no. 2（2004）: 107-123.
Lubke, Astrid. ”Fiscal Discipline between Levels of Government in Germany.” OECD Journal on Budgeting 5, no. 2（February 2006）: 23-37.
Marco Buti, Daniele Franco and Ongena, Hedwig. ” Fiscal discipline and flexibility in EMU: The implementation of the Stability and Growth Pact.” Oxford Review of Economic Policy 14, no.3（1998）: 81-97.
Chang, Michele. ”Reforming the Stability an Growth Pact: Size and Influence in EMU Policymaking.” Journal of European Integration 28, no. 1（2007）: 1-31.
Nobay, A.R. “The Political Economy of European Monetary Union.” LSE Financial Markets Group Paper Series 204 （December 2011）: 1-20.
三、網路期刊論文
Annett, Anthony. “Enforcement and the Stability and Growth Pact: How Fiscal Policy Did and Did Not Change Under Europe’s Fiscal Framework.
Bakker, Age, and Chapple, Bryan. ”Advanced Country Experiences with Capital Account Liberalization.”
Tekin, Beyza C. “France and European Integration: An Uneasy Relationship.”
Bibow, Jorge. ” On The Franco-German Euro Contradiction And Ultimate Euro Battleground.”
Camenen, Francois-Xavier, and Sibout, Isabelle. ”EMU and France.”
Catania, Moira. ”Preventing another Euro Area Crisis: Economic Governance’Six-Pack’—a case of too little, too late?”
Collignon, Stefen. “The end of the Stability and Growth Pact?”
Cottarelli, Carlo. “Potential Growth Rates and the Working of SGP Fiscal Rules.”
Deschamp, Etienne, and Maufort, Laurence . ”Preparation of the Single European Act.”
Exenberger, Andreas. “The Stability and Growth Pact-Experience and Lessens to be Learnt for Europe and the World.”
Exenberger, Andreas. “The Stability and Growth Pact: Experience and Lessens to beLearnt for Europe and the World.”
Eichert, Wolfgang. “Completing Europe’s Economic and Monetary Union Reform Options under
Discussion. ”
Filipek, Amy K., and Schreiber, Till. ”The Stability and Growth Pact: Past Performance and Future Reforms.”
Feust, Clemens, and Peichl, Andreas. ”European Fiscal Union: What is it? Does it work? And Are There Really ‘No Alternatives’?”
Fabbrini, Federico. ”The Fiscal Compact,”the Golden Rule”,and the Paradox of European Federalism.”
Farina, Francesco, and Tamborini, Roberto. ”Completing Europe’s Economic and Monetary Union. Any Support from the citizens?”
Fitz, Gerald John, and Bergin, Adele. “The Stability and Growth Pact: How Much Coordination?”
Feldstein, Martin. “The Euro and The Stability Pact.”
Frankel, Jeffrey. “Causes of Eurozone Crisis.”
Gros, Daniel, and Aleidi, Cinzia “The Case of the Disappearing Fiscal Compact.”
Gerald, John Fitz, and Bergin, Adele. “The Stability and Growth Pact: How Much Co-ordination?”
Guerot, Ulrike and Klau, Thomas. ”After Merkozy: How France and German can make Europe work.”
Howarth, David J. ”Making and Breaking the Rules: French policy on EU Government economique and the Stability and Growth Pact.”
Howarth, David. ”French Aversion to Independent Monetary Authority and the Development of French Policy on the EMU Project.”
Heipertz, Martin and Verdun, Amy. ”The Stability and Growth Pact Theorising a Case in European Integration.”
Hall, Peter A. ”The Economics and Politics of the Euro Crisis.”
Ivaldi, Gilles ”Beyond France’s 2005 Referendum on the European Constitutional Treaty.”
Kriesberg, Louis. “German Evaluation of the Coal and Steel Community, 1950-1956.”
Larres, Klaus. ”The Companion to Europe Since 1945.”
Lee, Jae-Seung. ”Defining the National Interests: Domestic Source of the Franchise
Mongelli, Francesco Paolo. “European Economic and Monetary Integration and he Optimum Currency Area Theory.”
Matthijs, Matthias. “The Euro’s ‘Winner-Take-All’Political Economy: Institutional Choice, Policy Drift,and Diverging Patterns of Inequality.”
Slater, Conor . “Does the Greek Debt Crisis Mark the Beginning of the End for the Euro?”
Soskice, David. ”The Political Economy of the EMU: Rethinking the Effects of Monetary Integration on Europe.”
Schwarzer, Daniela. ”The Political Economy of Germany in the Sovereign Debt Crisis.”
Sylvester, Eijffinger “On A Reformed Stability and Growth Pact.”
Sachs, Jeffrey and Wyplosz, Charles. “The Economic Consequences of President Mitterrand.”
Storper, Michael. ”The Foreigners’ 10-minutes Guide to the French Urban Riots of 2005?”
Troitino, David Ramiro. ”De Gaulle and European Communities.”
Turger, Achim and Will, Henner. ”The German ‘Debt Brake’—A Shining Example for European Fiscal Policy?”
Pusch, Toralf. ”Could a Debt Repayment Pact Lead Europe out of the Crisis?”
Ruth Heukstra,Cecil Hortsmann,Juliana Knabl,Derek Kruse and Wiedemann, Sara. ”Germanizing Europe? The Evolution of the European Stability and Growth Pact.”
Ruppold, Julian. ”Are Austerity Measures Leading to a North-South Divide?”
Wyplosz, Charles. ”Fiscal Discipline in the Monetary Union.”
Walouzet, Laurent. ”France and the Negotiation on the Treaty of Rome （1955- 1957）.”
Whyte, Philip. ”Why Germany is not a Model for the Eurozone.”
四、其它網路專文
”A New Growth Bloc Against Germany’s Flawed Leadership.” Social Europe.
”Bridging the gap between Europe’s Economic Culture.” The Globalist.
“Did German Sow the Seeds of the Eurozone Debt Crisis?” BBC.
“EU Treaty Reform: What Does It Mean?” The Guardian.
”French Flunk Labor Reforms.” The Guardian.
”Facing Slow to no Growth, EU’s Poor Nations Plot Next Move.” CNBC.
“German Jobless Rate at New Record.” BBC.
“German Struggles with Inertia.” The Age.
“Germany`s Record Unemployment and Political Change.” Beyond Today.
”Germany’s Leading Role in Weakening the Euro.” Spiegel Online.
”Mitterrand Loses Some Battles in War on Unemployment.” The Christian Science
”Riots in Britain today, France in 2005.” Fox News.
”Schroder Draws a Line in the Sand.” EU referendum.
“ The Eurocrisis And the Stability and Growth Pact.” Social Europe.
”The Decline of Austerity Politics.” Geopolitical Futures.
“The ‘Franc Fort’ Comes Under Siege.” New York Time.
“Union Anger at French Jobs Plan.” BBC.
”Why a Tougher Stability and Growth Pact is a Bad Idea.” VOX CEPR’s Policy Portal.
五、官方資料
”Commission Assesses Updated Stability Programme of Netherland.（2001）. ”
“COUNCIL DECISION of 2 July 2004, on the Existence of an Excessive Deficit in Netherlands.” Official Journal of European Union.
“COUNCIL DECISION of 5 July 2004, on the Existence of an Excessive Deficit in Greece.“ Official Journal of European Union.
“Commission Decision of 24 February 2010 Amending Its Rules of Procedure.” Official Journal of the European Union.
”Completing Economic and Monetary Union: Rebalancing European Economic
Governance（ETUC position）.” European Trade Union Confederation （ETUC）
”Comments on the Five Presidents’ Report’, Completing Europe’s Economic and Monetary Union.” European Commission.
”Economic and Financial Affairs.” 2546th Council meeting.
“EU Economic Governance ’Six-Pack’enters into Force.” European Commission.
”How Does France Compare?” Employment Outlook 2005.
“How does Ecofin Work?” Economic and Financial Affairs Council configuration
“Qualified Majority: A New Rule from November 2014.” Council of the European Union.
“The Single European Act.” EUR-Lex Accessed to the European Union Law.
”The Euro: Six Months after Its Introduction.” European Central Bank.
“Two-Pack’ Enters into Force, Completing Budgetary Surveillance Cycle and Further Improving Economic governance for the euro area.” European Commission.
“The Debt Brake in Germany-key Aspects and Implementation.” Deutsche Bank
“The ‘Fiscal Compact’s’ Weak Points,” Conclusion from the Green/EFA group’s hearing on the fiscal compact of 8 February 2012,
“A History of European Monetary Integration,” European Parlianment, |
| Description: | 碩士
國立政治大學
外交學系
103253016 |
| Source URI: | http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G1032530163 |
| Data Type: | thesis |
| Appears in Collections: | [外交學系] 學位論文
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