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    Title: 美國亞太再平衡戰略下的美日韓安全互動研究
    U.S. Asia-Pacific rebalance : U.S., Japan, and South Korea security interaction
    Authors: 劉宗翰
    Liu, Tsung-Han
    Contributors: 朱新民
    劉宗翰
    Liu, Tsung-Han
    Keywords: 亞太再平衡
    東北亞悖論
    三角同盟
    避險
    Asia-Pacific rebalance
    Northeast Asia paradox
    Triangular alliance
    Hedging
    Date: 2017
    Issue Date: 2017-07-03 14:44:16 (UTC+8)
    Abstract: 美日韓安全議題影響著東北亞的安全結構,而美國重返亞太或再平衡戰略是一股改變的最大牽引力。美國再平衡戰略主要是防範中共崛起,並希冀在亞太地區制定出美國主導的區域規則,其次是解決北韓問題。在東北亞打造美日韓三角同盟就是美國的因應之道,不過仍是未竟其功。
    日本在安倍主義、北韓威脅及美國支持等因素下,完成國家安全轉型。而在第三版防衛指針的簽定下,日美同盟再定義也畢竟其功,未來日本將可主動出擊,因應周邊情勢。南韓在安全上選擇在美「中」之間維持戰略平衡,以獲取制衡北韓的最大效益。美日、美韓同盟各自強化安全合作時期,可說是東北亞安全結構的穩定期。
    然而,變動中的2016年,北韓進行兩次核試爆與多次彈道飛彈試射、美韓部署薩德系統、美日韓進行首次飛彈防衛演習,以及日韓簽定軍事情報交流協定等,導致美日韓強化三邊的安全合作,改變了東北亞的戰略平衡,使得安全結構趨於更不穩定。在過程中,美日韓逐漸陷入安全悖論,也就是愈是要強化三邊安全關係來制衡威脅,反而陷入更不穩定的情勢。至於該如何回歸朝鮮半島的戰略平衡,使東北亞安全結構趨於穩定,端賴各國領導人的智慧了。
    The security issues of U.S., Japan, and Korea affect Northeast Asia’s security structure. And the return to Asia or rebalance strategy is a major traction of change. The U.S. rebalance aims at against China’s rise, and expects to make the U.S.-led order of Asia-Pacific region. Secondly, it’s to solve the problem of North Korea. In response to the challenges, U.S. intends to build U.S.-Japan-Korea triangular alliance. But the result is proved just a dream.
    Japan has carried out the transformation of national security driven by Abe doctrine, North Korea threat, and the support of U.S. factor. Japan-U.S. alliance has redefined under the third version of Guidelines for Japan-U.S. Defense Cooperation, so Japan will conduct the pre-emptive strike under contingencies. In order to effectively balance against North Korea, South Korea keeps the strategy balance between U.S. and China in security issue. It is the stable period of the Northeast security structure during the U.S.-Japan and U.S.-Korea alliances separately strengthen security cooperation.
    However, the dynamic year of 2016 happened that North Korea conducted two times nuclear exploration and many times of ballistic missile test; U.S. and South Korea deployed the THAAD; U.S., Japan, and South Korea conducted first joint missile defense exercise; Japan and South Korea signed the military intelligence-sharing pact. These efforts caused the increased security cooperation of U.S.-Japan-Korea relation, also changed the strategy balance of Northeast Asia. And the security structure is more and more unstable. In this process, U.S., Japan, and South Korea are caught in security paradox that is the more to strengthen security relation against the threat, the more to cause the unstable situation. How to back to the strategic balance of Korea Peninsula and sustain the stable security structure of Northeast Asia depended on the wisdom of the national leaders.
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    賀桂芬,2016/1/28。〈一齣沒有腳本的戲,南海到底在爭什麼?〉,《天下雜誌》,<http://www.cw.com.tw/article/article.action?id=5074221>。
    辜樹仁,2016/2/2。〈中日韓和解,臺灣經貿熱鍋螞蟻〉,《天下雜誌》,第591期,<http://www.cw.com.tw/article/article.action?id=5074399>。
    辜樹仁,2016/7/19。〈南海仲裁結果,改變不了的事實〉,《天下雜誌》,第602期,<http://www.cw.com.tw/article/article.action?id=5077497>。
    鄭海麟,2016/2。〈韓日慰安婦問題達成協定的背後〉,《海峽評論》,第302期,<https://www.haixia-info.com/articles/7768.html>。
    ____,2011/4/13。〈美國始終是一個太平洋國家〉,《天下雜誌》,第436期,<http://www.cw.com.tw/article/article.action?id=5000846>。
    ____,2012/1/16。〈2012美國軍事戰略之變〉,《中國評論月刊網路版》,<http://www.zhgpl.com/crn-webapp/mag/docDetail.jsp?coluid=21&docid=101981232>。
    官方文件
    中共國防部,2013/11/23。〈東海防空識別區航空器識別規則公告〉,<http://www.mod.gov.cn/affair/2013-11/23/content_4476910.htm>。
    陳永峰,2014/9。〈由日本 2014 年「防衛白皮書」析論日「中」關係發展〉,《大陸與兩岸情勢簡報》,行政院。
    智庫專文
    王緝思、李侃如,2012/3。《中美戰略互疑:解析與應對》。北京大學國際戰略研究中心,<http://www.brookings.edu/~/media/research/files/papers/2012/3/30-us-china-lieberthal/0330_china_lieberthal_chinese.pdf>。
    何思慎,2015/5/14。〈日相安倍訪美與東亞情勢〉,臺北論壇,<http://140.119.184.164/view_pdf/219.pdf>。
    郭育仁,2014/1/21。〈解析日本2013年防衛計畫大綱〉,臺北論壇,<http://140.119.184.164/view_pdf/117.pdf>。
    郭育仁,2014/11/5。〈美日防衛合作指針之可能走向〉,臺北論壇,<http://140.119.184.164/view_pdf/168.pdf>。
    郭育仁,2015/11/12。〈日本的戰略憂慮:新安保法與安倍主義〉,臺北論壇, <http://140.119.184.164/print/P_252.php>。
    國際交流暨研究組,2016/4/7。〈北韓試爆氫彈分析專題報告〉,遠景基金會,<http://www.pf.org.tw/Pages/ResearchManage/ResearchDetail.aspx?id=26346>。
    曾復生,2013/8/29。〈美國「亞太再平衡」戰略發展前景研析〉,國家政策研究基金會,<http://www.npf.org.tw/2/12643>。
    彭蕙仙,2017/5/17。〈大權在握,一年容易春將盡?〉,國家政策研究基金會,<http://www.npf.org.tw/printfriendly/16944>。
    鄭永年,2016/6/20。〈美國版「安全體系」能夠保障亞洲和平嗎?〉,The Glocal,<http://www.glocal.org.hk/archives/45556>。
    新聞媒體
    文龍,2014/10/30。〈北韓變臉,南北韓次輪高層會談流產〉,《大紀元》,<http://www.epochtimes.com/b5/14/10/30/n4284339.htm>。
    王佳慧,2010/12/6。〈韓國防部長「臨危受命」,如何治軍引關注〉,《大紀元》, <http://www.epochtimes.com/b5/10/12/6/n3105593.htm>。
    主筆室,2015/7/22。〈安倍的DNA,宮崎駿的良心〉,《中時電子報》,<http://www.chinatimes.com/newspapers/20150722000977-260310>。
    主筆室,2016/7/13。〈薩德系統,攪亂東北亞安全〉,《中時電子報》, <http://www.chinatimes.com/newspapers/20160713000880-260310>。
    田思怡編譯,2016/8/31。〈美印簽軍事後勤協定,抗衡大陸〉,《聯合新聞網》, <http://udn.com/news/story/6809/1929882>。
    朱建陵,2014/6/16。〈日反制中,宮古島、熊本部署導彈〉,《中時電子報》,<http://www.chinatimes.com/newspapers/20140616000407-260108>。
    朴春蘭,2017/1/9。〈一尊少女銅像,掀起日韓外交滔天風波〉,《端傳媒》, <https://theinitium.com/article/20170109-international-statueofpeace/>。
    李永鍾、金炯九,2016/5/9。〈金正恩在勞動黨第七次全國代表大會上宣布拒絕放棄核〉,《韓國中央日報中文網》,<http://chinese.joins.com/big5/article.do?method=detail&art_id=151524>。
    吳榮煥、劉智惠,2016/3/19。〈日本77%高中教科書主張獨島是日本領土〉,《韓國中央日報中文網》,<http://chinese.joins.com/big5/article.do?method=detail&art_id=149411>。
    林永富,2017/1/9。〈陸8軍機飛越日本海,日十餘戰機升空對應〉,《中時電子報》,<http://www.chinatimes.com/realtimenews/20170109006105-260417>。
    林翠儀編譯,2014/7/3。〈行使集體自衛權,須符合三要件〉,《自由時報》, <http://news.ltn.com.tw/news/world/paper/792736>。
    林翠儀編譯,2015/5/27。〈劍指中國,日將首次參加美澳軍演〉,《自由時報》,<http://news.ltn.com.tw/news/focus/paper/883961>。
    初曉,2016/11/25。〈中國挑戰一書書評:艱難面對中國挑戰〉,《美國之音》,<http://www.voachinese.com/a/book-review-the-china-challange-20161124/3610500.html>。
    周虹汶編譯,2014/10/25。〈戰時指揮權移交,美韓再延〉,《自由時報》,<http://news.ltn.com.tw/news/world/paper/824445>。
    金珉奭,2016/9/20。〈韓國防部制定3K計畫,將嚴懲朝鮮挑釁行為〉,《韓國中央日報中文網》,<http://chinese.joins.com/big5/article.do?method=detail&art_id=157201>。
    胡一天,2015/5/14。〈日本是否應該成為「中等國家」〉,《風傳媒》,<http://www.storm.mg/article/49009>。
    姜遠珍,2017/2/13。〈應對北韓發射,南韓擬發射玄武飛彈〉,《中央社》,<http://www.cna.com.tw/news/aopl/201702130291-1.aspx>。
    陳君碩,2016/8/7。〈防尼克森震撼重演,安倍向陸示好〉,《中時電子報》,<http://www.chinatimes.com/newspapers/20160807000622-260301>。
    徐尚禮,2016/1/23。〈大陸火箭軍,擁有戰略轟炸機及潛艦〉,《中時電子報》,<http://www.chinatimes.com/realtimenews/20160123002589-260417>。
    徐尚禮,2016/6/9。〈安倍凌晨被叫醒:中、俄軍艦來了〉,《中時電子報》,<http://www.chinatimes.com/realtimenews/20160609006182-260417>。
    峯岸博,2017/3/9。〈脫北公使:中國3年就能讓金正恩垮臺〉,《日經中文網》,<https://zh.cn.nikkei.com/politicsaeconomy/politicsasociety/24089-2017-03-09-08-38-34.html>。
    峯岸博,2016/11/1。〈韓國總統權力太大,醜聞頻出〉,《日經中文網》,<http://cn.nikkei.com/politicsaeconomy/45/22133-20161101.html>。
    峯岸博,2016/11/23。〈日韓簽署軍事情報保護協定〉,《日經中文網》,<http://zh.cn.nikkei.com/politicsaeconomy/politicsasociety/22493-2016-11-23-03-30-15.html>。
    原野城治,2015/9/15。〈安保法制,25年來的發展歷程〉,《日本網nippon》,<http://www.nippon.com/hk/features/h00112/?pnum=1>。
    原野城治,2015/11/24。〈安保法案通過:日本的防衛、安保體制發生重大轉變〉,《日本網nippon》,<http://www.nippon.com/hk/genre/politics/l00128/?pnum=2>。
    孫曄飛,2010/12/17。〈新防衛計畫大綱加速推動日本防衛政策轉向〉,《人民網》,<http://military.people.com.cn/BIG5/42969/58519/13505634.html>。
    陳一新,2013/6/10。〈中美競合關係新在哪裡〉,《中時電子報》,<http://www.chinatimes.com/newspapers/20130610000428-260109>。
    陳建瑜,2016/10/30。〈美推抵銷戰略保優勢,抗中俄崛起〉,《中時電子報》,<http://www.chinatimes.com/newspapers/20161030000556-260301>。
    陳建瑜,2017/3/28。〈應對北韓威脅,日向薩德招手〉,《中時電子報》,<http://www.chinatimes.com/newspapers/20170328000801-260309>。
    張加,2016/12/24。〈歐巴馬簽了國防授權法案,美臺高級軍事交流入法〉,《聯合新聞網》,<https://udn.com/news/story/6813/2189448>。
    張國威,2014/11/15。〈陸切香腸戰略,改變臺海東海現況〉,《中時電子報》,<http://www.chinatimes.com/newspapers/20141115000917-260309>。
    張國威,2015/2/12。〈美放棄空海一體戰,削弱針對性〉,《中時電子報》,<http://www.chinatimes.com/realtimenews/20150212013850-260408>。
    張國威,2015/6/3。〈南韓成功試射彈道飛彈,射程覆蓋北韓全境〉,《中時電子報》,<http://www.chinatimes.com/realtimenews/20150603003535-260408>。
    曹國星,2015/11/27。〈中共歷史上最大規模軍事體制改革揭幕〉,《法廣》,<http://trad.cn.rfi.fr/%E4%B8%AD%E5%9C%8B/20151127-%E4%B8%AD%E5%85%B1%E6%AD%B7%E5%8F%B2%E4%B8%8A%E6%9C%80%E5%A4%A7%E8%A6%8F%E6%A8%A1%E8%BB%8D%E4%BA%8B%E9%AB%94%E5%88%B6%E6%94%B9%E9%9D%A9%E6%8F%AD%E5%B9%95>。
    揭仲,2016/8/21。〈淺論中共「戰略支援部隊」之建置與戰力〉,《青年日報》,<http://www.ydn.com.tw/News/114773>。
    童倩,2015/10/1。〈日本成立防衛裝備廳加速出口武器〉,《BBC中文網》,<http://www.bbc.com/zhongwen/trad/world/2015/10/151001_japan_military_weapons>。
    黃捷瑄,2014/2/14。〈兩韓會談結束,敲定離散家屬如期團聚〉,《大紀元》,<http://www.epochtimes.com/b5/14/2/14/n4083429.htm>。
    曾復生,2016/4/21。〈美中交鋒加劇,不利亞太穩定〉,《中時電子報》,<http://www.chinatimes.com/newspapers/20160421001014-260310>。
    園田耕司,藏前勝久,2014/5/6。〈安倍政權討論修改自衛權行使的必要條件〉,《朝日新聞中文網》,<http://asahichinese.com/article/politics_economy/AJ201405060050>。
    楊家鑫,2015/9/28。〈受安保法影響,日本自衛隊恐難招募〉,《中時電子報》,<http://www.chinatimes.com/realtimenews/20150928001776-260408>。
    劉必榮,2015/9/21。〈焦慮的東北亞〉,《中時電子報》,<http://www.chinatimes.com/newspapers/20150921000428-260109>。
    劉必榮,2017/2/5。〈等待一盤東北亞活棋〉,《中時電子報》,<http://opinion.chinatimes.com/20170205002934-262104>。
    劉順達,2017/3/12。〈朴槿惠的故事,小英要讀〉,《中時電子報》,<http://www.chinatimes.com/newspapers/20170312000440-260109>。
    蔡東杰,2017/3/12。〈大國夾縫中的南韓鐘擺〉,《中時電子報》,<http://opinion.chinatimes.com/20170312003185-262105>。
    蕭喬云,2016/3/3。〈聯合國安理會通過制裁北韓新決議,金正恩回敬飛彈數枚〉,《風傳媒》,<http://www.storm.mg/article/84008>。
    賴錦宏,2017/2/26。〈日本4架戰機盯一架,應對解放軍軍機〉,《聯合新聞網》,<https://udn.com/news/story/4/2308616>。
    藍孝威、陳柏廷,2016/8/4。〈薩德導彈危機陸祭5招反制〉,《中時電子報》,<http://www.chinatimes.com/newspapers/20160804000442-260108>。
    魏宅煥、李承娥,2013/9/11。〈韓國統一部長官柳吉在談朝鮮半島信任進程〉, Korea.net,<http://chinese.korea.net/NewsFocus/People/view?articleId=112452#pagePrint>。
    Perlez, Jane and Yufan, Huang, 2016/4/1。〈中朝邊境有漏洞,違禁物資繼續跨越鴨綠江〉,《紐約時報中文網》,<http://cn.nytimes.com/china/20160401/c01sanctions/>。
    ____,2010/12/17。〈解讀日防衛新大綱:不排除先發制人攻擊可能〉,《中國評論新聞網》,<http://cnc.geetech.cnrn.tw/doc/1015/4/0/9/101540958.html?coluid=4&kindid=20&docid=101540958&mdate=1217121743>。
    ____,2011/7/30。〈駐韓美軍耗費萬億遷移背後的故事〉,《新華網》,<http://big5.news.cn/gate/big5/news.xinhuanet.com/world/2011-07/30/c_121742551.htm>。
    ____,2012/12/15。〈日政壇怪象,7年7首相〉,《中央通訊社》,<http://www.cna.com.tw/news/firstnews/201212150056-1.aspx>。
    ____,2013/2/10。〈日本威脅公開中共雷達照射證據〉,《大紀元》,<http://www.epochtimes.com/b5/13/2/11/n3798438.htm>。
    ____,2013/3/19。〈日媒:中共軍方將領承認用射控雷達瞄準日艦〉,《大紀元》,<http://www.epochtimes.com/b5/13/3/19/n3825817.htm>。
    ____,2013/6/26。〈朴槿惠明訪華,開啟「心信之旅」〉,《新華網》,<http://news.xinhuanet.com/world/2013-06/26/c_124911736.htm>。
    ____,2013/12/3。〈韓美討論擴大韓國防空識別區一事〉,《韓聯社》,<http://chinese.yonhapnews.co.kr/newpgm/9908000000.html?cid=ACK20131203000300881>。
    ____,2014/3/22。〈美日韓高峰會,25日海牙登場〉,《中時電子報》,<http://www.chinatimes.com/realtimenews/20140322002193-260408>。
    ____,2014/5/10。〈日解禁集體自衛權,設6條件〉,《中央通訊社》,<http://www.cna.com.tw/news/firstnews/201405100109-1.aspx>。
    ____,2014/5/14。〈安保報告書主張脫離日本憲法控制〉,《朝日新聞中文網》,<http://asahichinese.com/article/politics_economy/AJ201405140025>。
    ____,2014/8/10。〈日集體自衛權解禁,鄰憂美挺〉,《中時電子報》,<http://www.chinatimes.com/realtimenews/20140810001273-260408>。
    ____,2014/8/12。〈美澳簽署增加駐澳美軍協議〉,《美國之音》,<http://www.voacantonese.com/a/us-australia/2410574.html>。
    ____,2014/10/8。〈北韓巡邏艇侵入韓海域,雙方交火〉,《大紀元》,<http://www.epochtimes.com.tw/n105097/%E5%8C%97%E9%9F%93%E5%B7%A1%E9%82%8F%E8%89%87%E4%BE%B5%E5%85%A5%E9%9F%93%E6%B5%B7%E5%9F%9F-%E9%9B%99%E6%96%B9%E4%BA%A4%E7%81%AB.html>。
    ____,2015/4/29。〈安倍美國國會演講對二戰表「深刻悔改」〉,《BBC中文網》,<http://www.bbc.com/zhongwen/trad/world/2015/04/150429_abe_us_speech_congress>。
    ____,2015/7/22。〈韓召日武官,抗議日本主張獨島主權〉,《大紀元》,<http://www.epochtimes.com/b5/15/7/21/n4485191.htm>。
    ____,2015/8/10。〈兩士兵被地雷炸傷,南韓:北韓要付出代價〉,《自由時報》, <http://news.ltn.com.tw/news/world/breakingnews/1407183>。
    ____,2015/8/25。〈南北韓緊張,是虛像還是實像〉,《聯合報》,A2版。
    ____,2015/8/25。〈南北韓對談43小時,一句話化解開戰危機〉,《自由時報》, <http://news.ltn.com.tw/news/world/breakingnews/1422869>。
    ____,2015/9/9。〈藍普頓語中評:美中關係不是在墜崖〉,《中國評論新聞網》,<http://hk.crntt.com/doc/1039/3/5/6/103935611.html?coluid=93&kindid=7950&docid=103935611&mdate=0919000840>。
    ____,2015/10/13。〈日欲削駐日美軍數億軍費,美不悅〉,《中時電子報》,<http://www.chinatimes.com/newspapers/20151013000888-260301>。
    ____,2015/11/1。〈中日韓領導人舉行三年來首次會談〉,《紐約時報中文網》,<http://cn.nytimes.com/asia-pacific/20151101/cc01korea/zh-hant/>。
    ____,2015/11/27。〈分析:習近平軍隊改革六大要點〉,《大紀元》,<http://www.epochtimes.com/b5/15/11/27/n4583280.htm>。
    ____,2015/12/16。〈日美商定駐日美軍經費,日媒稱係日方妥協結果〉,《中國新聞網》,<http://www.chinanews.com/gj/2015/12-16/7674330.shtml>。
    ____,2016/2/20。〈防北韓失控亂來,美韓5027作戰計畫擬定超強反攻〉,《東森新聞雲》,<http://www.ettoday.net/news/20160220/650290.htm>。
    ____,2016/3/23。〈中國人民解放軍裁軍30萬人,陸媒:開始啟動〉,《風傳媒》,<http://www.storm.mg/article/92222>。
    ____,2016/4/22。〈北京在朝邊境部署軍隊,防範朝鮮核試驗〉,《大紀元》,<http://www.epochtimes.com/b5/16/4/21/n7578958.htm>。
    ____,2016/5/17。〈美眾院通過對臺六項保證訴諸文字〉,《中央通訊社》,<http://www.cna.com.tw/news/firstnews/201605170017-1.aspx>。
    ____,2016/6/25。〈駐日美軍不受歡迎,但趕走它很難〉,《鉅亨網》,<http://news.cnyes.com/news/id/2082557>。
    ____,2016/7/5。〈陸指日機高速逼近挑釁,日高官反駁〉,《中時電子報》,<http://www.chinatimes.com/realtimenews/20160705004050-260408>。
    ____,2016/8/6。〈美智庫熱炒戰爭,美中遲早開戰?〉,《聯合新聞網》,<http://udn.com/news/story/6813/1877607>。
    ____,2016/8/17。〈薩德陰影下的中韓美關係:韓國智庫訪談〉,《大公網》,<http://news.takungpao.com/world/exclusive/2016-08/3358292.html>。
    ____,2016/9/6。〈挑中國辦G20鬧場,北韓再射3飛彈,落在日海域〉,《自由時報》,<http://news.ltn.com.tw/news/world/paper/1029431>。
    ____,2016/9/8。〈北韓進攻「薩德」恐發射大量飛彈,美軍以行動挺南韓〉,《東森新聞雲》,<http://www.ettoday.net/news/20160908/771639.htm>。
    ____,2017/2/5。〈財閥囂橫政治腐敗,韓國改革任重道遠〉,《明報新聞網》,<http://news.mingpao.com/pns/dailynews/web_tc/article/20170205/s00003/1486230786379>。
    ____,2017/3/18。〈文在寅若當選韓總統,幕僚:與陸磋商薩德〉,《中央通訊社》,<http://www.cna.com.tw/news/aopl/201703180142-1.aspx>。

    二、英文部分
    專書
    Cha, Victor D., 1996. Alignment Despite Antagonism: The United States-Korea-Japan Security Triangle. Stanford, California: Stanford University Press.
    Eadie, Pauline and Rees, Wyn ed., 2016. The Evolution of Military Power in the West and Asia: Security Policy in the Post-Cold War Era. New York: Routledge.
    Glosserman, Brad and Snyder, Scott A., 2015. The Japan-South Korea Identity Clash: East Asian Security and the United States. New York: Columbia University Press.
    Hughes, Christopher W., 2004. Japan’s Re-emergence as a “Normal” Military Power. New York: Routledge.
    Hughes, Christopher W., 2015. Japan’s Foreign and Security Policy under the ‘Abe Doctrine’. New York: Palgrave Macmillan.
    Sutter, Robert G., et al., 2013.“Balancing Acts: The U.S. Rebalance and Asia-Pacific Stability.,” Elliot School of International Affairs, The George Washington University.
    Tae-Hwan, Kwak, and Seung-Ho, Joo ed., 2014. North Korea and Security Cooperation in Northeast Asia. Burlington, VT: Ashgate.
    期刊
    Bowen, Glenn A., 2009. “Document Analysis as a Qualitative Research Method,” Qualitative Research Journal, Vol. 9, No. 2, pp. 27-40.
    Carter, Ashton, 2016/11-12. “The Rebalance and Asia-Pacific Security,” Foreign Affairs, Vol. 95, No. 6, pp. 65-75.
    Clinton, Hillary Rodham, 2011/11-12. “America’s Pacific Century,” Foreign Policy, No. 189, pp. 56-63.
    Dominguez, Gabriel, 2016/6/29. “Japan, U.S., South Korea Conduct Joint Missile-Tracking Exercise,” Jane’s Defence Weekly, p. 5.
    Green, Michael J. and Cooper, Zack., Fall 2014.“Revitalizing the Rebalance: How to Keep U.S. Focus on Asia,” The Washington Quarterly, Vol. 37, No. 3, pp. 25-46.
    Grevatt, Jon, 2017/5/10. “A Great Leap Forward,” Jane’s Defence Weekly, pp. 22-27.
    Holsti, K. J., 1970/9. “National Role Conceptions in the Study of Foreign Policy,” International Studies Quarterly, Vol. 14, No. 3, pp. 233-309.
    Jerdén, Björn, 2014. “The Assertive China Narrative: Why It Is Wrong and How So Many Still Bought into It,” The Chinese Journal of International Politics, pp. 47-88.
    Johnston, Alastair Iain, Spring 2013. “How New and Assertive Is China’s New Assertiveness?,” International Security, Vol. 37, No. 4, , pp.7-48.
    Koga, Kei, 2016. “The Rise of China and Japan’s Balancing Strategy: Critical Junctures and Policy Shifts in the 2010s,” Journal of Contemporary China, Vol. 25, No. 101, pp. 784-789.
    Krepinevich, Andrew F., 2015/3-4. “How to Deter China,” Foreign Affairs, Vol. 94, No. 2, pp. 78-86.
    Lampton, David, Fall 2016. “China: Challenger or Challenged?,” The Washington Quarterly, Vol. 39 No. 3, pp. 107-119.
    Maslow, Sebastian, 2015/7-8. “A Blueprint for a Strong Japan? Abe Shinzo and Japan’s Evolving Security System,” Asian Survey, Vol. 55, No. 4, pp. 739-765.
    Ratner, Ely, 2013. “Rebalancing to Asia with an insecure China,” The Washington Quarterly, Vol. 36, No. 2, pp. 21-38.
    Saunders, Phillip C., 2014/9.“China’s Rising Power, the U.S. Rebalance to Asia, and Implications for U.S.-China Relations,” Issues & Studies, Vol. 50, No. 3, pp. 19-55.
    Saunders, Phillip C. and Wuthnow, Joel, 2016/7. “China’s Goldwater-Nichols? Assessing PLA Organizational Reforms,” Joint Force Quarterly, Issue 82, 3rd Quarter, pp. 68-75.
    Samuels, Richard J., Autumn 2006. “Japan’s Goldilocks Strategy,” The Washington Quarterly, Vol. 29, No. 4, pp. 111-127.
    Synder, Glenn H., 1984/7. “The Security Dilemma in Alliance Politics,” World Politics, Vol. 36, No. 4, pp. 461-495.
    Walton, Timothy A., 2016/7. “Securing the Third Offset Strategy: Priorities for the Next Secretary of Defense,” Joint Force Quarterly, Issue 82, 3rd Quarter, pp. 6-15.
    Wasserbly, Daniel and Fein, Geoff, 2016/8/18. “THAAD’s Capacity for Intercepts in South Korea Remains Unclear,” Jane’s Defense Weekly, p. 13.
    線上期刊
    Bitzinger, Richard A., 2015/3/19. “China’s Double-Digit Defense Growth,” Foreign Affairs, <https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/china/2015-03-19/chinas-double-digit-defense-growth>.
    Geun-hye, Park, 2011/9/10. “A New Kind of Korea: Building Trust Between Seoul and Pyongyang,” Foreign Affairs, <https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/northeast-asia/2011-09-01/new-kind-korea>.
    Swaine, Michael and Fravel, M. Taylor, 2011/9/21. “China’s Assertive Behavior, Part Two: The Maritime Periphery,” China Leadership Monitor, Issue 35, <http://www.hoover.org/sites/default/files/uploads/documents/CLM35MS.pdf>.
    ____, 2013/12/7. “Holding Pattern,” The Economist, <http://www.economist.com/news/asia/21591212-american-vice-president-attempts-ease-tension-east-china-sea-holding-pattern>.
    ____, 2014/9/1. “Japan’s Military Spending: Tooling up,” The Economist, <http://www.economist.com/blogs/banyan/2014/09/japans-military-spending>.
    官方文件
    Abe, Shinzo, 2015/4/29. “Toward an Alliance of Hope,” The Government of Japan, <http://www.japan.go.jp/_src/230551/summer15_12-13.pdf>.
    Carter, Ashton, 2016/6/4. “Meeting Asia’s Complex Security Challenges, IISS Shangri-La Dialogue 2016 First Plenary Session,” <https://www.iiss.org/en/events/shangri%20la%20dialogue/archive/shangri-la-dialogue-2016-4a4b/plenary1-ab09/carter-1610>.
    Japan Ministry of Defense, “The Guidelines for Japan-U.S. Defense Cooperation,” <http://www.mod.go.jp/e/d_act/anpo/>.
    Japan Ministry of Defnese, 2013/12/17. “National Defense Program Guidelines for FY 2014 and beyond,” <http://www.mod.go.jp/j/approach/agenda/guideline/2014/pdf/20131217_e2.pdf>.
    Prime Minister of Japan and His Cabinet, 2013/12/17. “National Security Strategy,” <http://www.cas.go.jp/jp/siryou/131217anzenhoshou/nss-e.pdf>.
    The White House, 2009/11/14. “Remarks by President Barack Obama at Suntory Hall,” <https://www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/remarks-president-barack-obama-suntory-hall>
    The White House, 2011/11/17. “Remarks By President Obama to the Australian Parliament,” <https://www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/2011/11/17/remarks-president-obama-australian-parliament>.
    United Nations, 2016/3/2. “Security Council Imposes Fresh Sanctions on Democratic People’s Republic of Korea, Unanimously Adopting Resolution 2270 (2016),” <http://www.un.org/press/en/2016/sc12267.doc.htm>.
    U.S. Department of Defense. Quadrennial Defense Review 2014.
    U.S. Department of Defense, 2012/1. Sustaining U.S. Global Leadership: Priorities for 21st Century Defense.
    U.S. Defense Security Cooperation Agency, 2014/11/5. “Republic of Korea: Patriot Advanced Capability (PAC-3) Missiles,” <http://www.dsca.mil/major-arms-sales/republic-korea-patriot-advanced-capability-pac-3-missiles>.
    U.S. Pacific Command, 2008/11/14. USPACOM Strategy.
    智庫專文
    Abe, Shinzo. 2012/12/27. “Asia’s Democratic Security Diamond,” Project Syndicate, <http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/a-strategic-alliance-for-japan-and-india-by-shinzo-abe?barrier=true>.
    Berteau, David J. and Green, Michael J., 2012/8. “U.S. Force Posture Strategy in the Asia Pacific Region: An Independent Assessment,” Center for Strategic and International Studies, <http://csis.org/files/publication/120814_FINAL_PACOM_optimized.pdf>.
    Berteau, David J., Green, Michael J., and Cooper, Zack, 2014/12. “Assessing the Asia-Pacific Rebalance,” Center for Strategic and International Studies.
    Blackwill, Robert D. and Tellis, Ashley J., 2015/3. “Revising U.S. Grand Strategy Toward China,” US Council on Foreign Relations, <http://www.cfr.org/china/revising-us-grand-strategy-toward-china/p36371>.
    Chaesung, Chun, 2014/12. “East Asian Security and South Korea’s Middle Power Diplomacy,” East Asia Institute Middle Power Diplomacy Initiative, Working Paper 09, <file:///C:/Users/TEMP/Downloads/201412031153412.pdf>.
    Cheng-Chwee, Kuik, 2015/6/11. “Introduction: Decomposing and Assessing South Korea’s Hedging Options,” The Asan Forum, <http://www.theasanforum.org/introduction-decomposing-and-assessing-south-koreas-foreign-policy-options/>.
    Credit Suisse, 2015/9. The End of Globalization or a More Multipolar World?, <http://publications.credit-suisse.com/tasks/render/file/index.cfm?fileid=EE7A6A5D-D9D5-6204-E9E6BB426B47D054>.
    Delury, John, 2016/11/2. “The ‘China Factor’ in US North Korea Policy,” The Diplomat, <http://thediplomat.com/2016/11/the-china-factor-in-us-north-korea-policy/>.
    Friedhoff, Karl, 2014/5/8. “South Korean Views on the U.S. Rebalance to Asia,” Korea Economic Institute of America.
    Fukushima, Glen S., 2016/2/23. “U.S.-Japan Relations, 2015-2017,” The Asan Forum, <http://www.theasanforum.org/us-japan-relations-2015-2017/>.
    Gompert, David C., Cevallos, Astrid, and Garafola, Cristina L., 2016. “War with China: Thinking Through the Unthinkable,” RAND, <file:///C:/Users/Hans/Downloads/RAND_RR1140.pdf>.
    Green, Michael J., Hicks, Kathleen H., and Cooper, Zack, 2014/12/11. “Federated Defense in Asia,” Center for Strategic and International Studies, <http://csis.org/files/publication/141120_Green_FederatedDefenseAsia_Web.pdf>
    Kardon, Isaac, 2010/9/10.“China’s Emerging Debate on Military Transparency,” China Brief Vol.10, Issue 18, <https://jamestown.org/program/chinas-emerging-debate-on-military-transparency/>.
    Keck, Zachary, 2013/7/26. “South Korea Goes All In On Missile Defense,” The Diplomat, <http://thediplomat.com/2013/07/south-korea-goes-all-in-on-missile-defense/>.
    Kelly, Robert E., 2017/1/18. “Why THAAD in South Korea is a Red Line for China,” The National Interest, <http://nationalinterest.org/feature/why-thaad-south-korea-red-line-china-19098>.
    Klingner, Bruce, 2015/6/12. “South Korea Needs THAAD Missile Defense,” The Heritage Foundation.
    Martinage, Robert, 2017/10/27. “Toward a New Offset Strategy: Exploiting U.S. Long-Term Advantages to Restore U.S. Global Power Projection Capability,” Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments.
    Montague, Karen, 2014/3/11. “A Review of South Korean Missile Defense Programs,” George C. Marshall Institute, <http://marshall.org/wp-content/uploads/2014/03/South-Korean-BMD-Mar-14.pdf>.
    Pollack, Jonathan D., 2016/9. “Order at Risk: Japan, Korea, and the Northeast Asian Paradox,” Brookings Institution, Asia Working Group Paper 5.
    Rinehart, Ian E., Hildreth, Steven A., and Lawrence, Susan V., 2015/4/3. “Ballistic Missile Defense in the Asia-Pacific Region: Cooperation and Opposition,” Congressional Research Service.
    Rozman, Gilbert ed., 2015. Joint U.S.-Korea Academic Studies 2015, Vol. 26, Korea Economic Institute of America.
    Sneider, Daniel C., Sohn, Yul, and Soeya, Yoshihide, 2016/7. “U.S.-ROK-Japan Trilateralism: Building Bridges and Strengthening Cooperation,” The National Bureau of Asian Research, NBR Special Report #59.
    Stockholm International Peace Research Institute, 2015/4. Trends in World Military Expenditure 2014, <http://books.sipri.org/files/FS/SIPRIFS1504.pdf>.
    Suk-joon, Yoon, 2016/7/12. “THAAD in South Korea: What Does It Really Mean for China?,” The Diplomat, <http://thediplomat.com/2016/07/thaad-in-south-korea-what-does-it-really-mean-for-china/>.
    Tsai, Sabrina, 2013/9. “Osama’s Second Term in the Asia-Pacific Region: Reflecting on the Past, Looking to the Future,” Project 2049 Institute, <https://project2049.net/documents/Tsai_Obama_Second_Term_in_Asia_Pacific_Region.pdf>.
    新聞媒體
    Crumplar, Robert, 2016/5/16. “Opinion: Tomahawk Missile for Japan,” USNI News, <https://news.usni.org/2016/05/16/opinion-tomahawk-missile-for-japan>.
    Deok-hyun, Kim, 2016/6/29. “China’s Xi Says Beijing will not Recognize North Korea’s Nuclear Policy,” Yonhap News Agency, <http://english.yonhapnews.co.kr/news/2016/06/29/0200000000AEN20160629009100315.html>.
    Eun-jung, Kim, 2013/6/12. “South Korea to Deploy New Surface-to-Air Missiles for Aegis Destroyers,” Yonhap News Agency, <http://english.yonhapnews.co.kr/national/2013/06/12/37/0301000000AEN20130612004900315F.HTML>.
    Gale, Alastair and Carol E., Lee, 2016/2/21. “U.S. Agreed to North Korea Peace Talks Before Latest Nuclear Test,” The Wall Street Journal, <http://www.wsj.com/articles/u-s-agreed-to-north-korea-peace-talks-1456076019>.
    McKirdy, Euan, 2017/4/28. “Trump Says He Would Consult With China’s Xi Before Speaking to Taiwan,” CNN, <http://edition.cnn.com/2017/04/28/asia/trump-taiwan-xi-comments/>.
    Sang-Hun, Choe, 2012/10/7. “U.S. Agrees to Let South Korea Extend Range of Ballistic Missiles,” The New York Times, <http://www.nytimes.com/2012/10/08/world/asia/us-agrees-to-let-south-korea-extend-missile-range.html?_r=0>.
    Sonoda, Koji, 2013/12/14. “A Lot of New Equipment Purchases in Latest Five Year Defense Plan,” The Asahi Shimbun, <http://ajw.asahi.com/article/behind_news/politics/AJ201312140033>.
    Description: 碩士
    國立政治大學
    外交學系戰略與國際事務碩士在職專班
    104922005
    Source URI: http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0104922005
    Data Type: thesis
    Appears in Collections:[Masters Program in Strategic and International Affairs] Theses

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