政大機構典藏-National Chengchi University Institutional Repository(NCCUR):Item 140.119/104764
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    政大典藏 > Journal of NCCU > Issue 72 > Journal Articles >  Item 140.119/104764


    Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/104764


    Title: 時空數列模式在訂位保留比率控制之應用
    Other Titles: Application of Space-Time ARMA Models to the Seat Reservation Control
    Authors: 吳柏林
    Wu, Berlin
    Contributors: 應數所
    Date: 1996-05
    Issue Date: 2016-12-12 14:53:03 (UTC+8)
    Abstract: 近年來我國經濟發展快速，台北已經成為亞洲地區重要的貿易中心和觀光據點。頻繁的商務往來以及為數頗多的觀光客，使得台北市區的觀光飯店和國內航線的班機出現一位難求的情況。若將多數房間或機位供旅客預訂，很容易發生顧客臨時退房或退票的狀況，而造成公司的損失。如果能夠事先預測出顧客人數，公司就能提出適當比例的客房和機位供旅客預訂，使公司獲得較大收益。本研究將針對飯店和航空公司，利用過去住宿人數與搭機人數的資料，以時空數列的STARMA模式的方法，建立一個模式，找出應將多少比例的房間或機位提供給顧客做預定保留，以不免不必要的損失。
    Relation: 國立政治大學學報,72 part 2 ,1-21
    Data Type: article
    Appears in Collections:[Issue 72] Journal Articles

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