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    Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/104656


    Title: 存貨緩衝下之總體失衡動態分析
    Authors: 林進益
    Contributors: 王春源
    林進益
    Date: 1985
    Issue Date: 2016-12-07 15:17:28 (UTC+8)
    Abstract: 本文嘗試將Blinder (1980) , Green & Laffont (1981) 之廠商的個體存貨行為引入 Honkapohja (1979 , 1980) 失衡模型內，以得出與Honkapohja不同之結果。本文發現存貨緩衝將使廠商訴諸於物價之調整較慢。在通貨緊縮區內，因廠商之銷售受到限制，故存貨增加將影響其安定性與修正後之就業乘數。而在通貨膨脹區內，因生產部門在商品市場不受限制，故存貨不再是一個重要的影響變數。
    由於Honkapohja模型乃遵從"供需法則"與貨幣餘額之調整，故物價會比工資更富伸縮性；由此獲致在凱因斯失業區將可能呈螺旋狀盤旋而趨於通貨緊縮均衡，而在壓抑性通貨膨脹區則未必能趨於通貨膨脹均衡。當工資與物價僵硬性持續若干期時，則凱因斯失業區之修正後就業乘數將大於短期乘數；但若工資與物價能充分調整，則二者修正後之就業乘數皆不確定。而在本文中，除沿用Honkapohja之設定外，尚考慮貨幣派預期與存貨存量，故反使物價調整比工資調整僵硬；由此獲致在通貨緊縮均衡內不易確定其安定性，而在通貨膨脹均衡下，則必為安定，且兩者皆可能呈螺旋狀盤旋。當工資與物價固定並持續若干期時，則凱因斯失業區之修正後就業乘數將大於其短期乘數；而壓抑性通貨膨脹區之修正後就業乘數等於其短期乘數。若工資與物價皆具伸縮性，則凱因斯之修正後就業乘數將大於短期乘數；而壓抑性通貨膨脹之修正後就業乘數可正可負。
    由上可知，存貨緩衝將會緩和Honkapohja模型內物價之調整速度，且會影響準均衡之安定性與修正後之供需乘數。因此，本文應有其比較對照之參考價值。
    摘要Ⅲ
    第一章 緒論1
    第一節 研究動機與方法1
    第二節 本文結構3
    第二章 模型之基本架構5
    第三章 固定價格均衡型態13
    第四章 經濟動態27
    第一節 工資與物價的調整27
    第二節 總體失衡之經濟動態30
    第五章 動態均衡後之就業乘數44
    第六章 結論與建議62
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    Relation: 國立政治大學
    經濟研究所
    碩士
    73
    Data Type: thesis
    Appears in Collections:[經濟學系] 學位論文

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