政大機構典藏-National Chengchi University Institutional Repository(NCCUR):Item 140.119/104083

English | 正體中文 | 简体中文 | Post-Print筆數 : 27 | Items with full text/Total items : 113318/144297 (79%)
Visitors : 50951393 Online Users : 986

RC Version 6.0 © Powered By DSPACE, MIT. Enhanced by NTU Library IR team.

Home ‧ Login ‧ Upload ‧ Help ‧ About ‧ Administer

政大機構典藏 > 學術期刊 > Issues & Studies > 期刊論文 > Item 140.119/104083

Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/104083

Title:	The Weak Preempting the Strong: The Case of the Taiwan Strait
Authors:	李恆宇 Lee, Heng-Yu
Keywords:	asymmetric conflict ; preemptive strike ; Taiwan Strait ; game theory ; United States
Date:	2011-06
Issue Date:	2016-11-18 11:51:37 (UTC+8)
Abstract:	The purpose of this article is to decide whether a preemptive strike is a better option for a weaker power at the beginning of an asymmetric military conflict. The author examines five possible situations in the Taiwan Strait crisis via normal form game, extensive form game, and mixed strategy in order to discover why a weaker power might choose to launch a preemptive strike under certain circumstances. The findings show that no matter whether two or three countries are involved in armed conflict in the Strait or whether such an asymmetric conflict is initiated by Taiwan or China, it would always be in Thiwan`s interest to assert preemption, assuming conflict has become inevitable. Given situations of incomplete information, the results still hold. This presents strong evidence that a weaker power facing unavoidable armed conflict should strike first. This study also proves that the threat need not be ”imminent”: it need only be ”inevitable.”
Relation:	Issues & Studies,47(2),205-230
Data Type:	article
Appears in Collections:	[Issues & Studies] 期刊論文

Files in This Item:

File	Size	Format
index.html	0Kb	HTML2	392	View/Open

社群 sharing

著作權政策宣告 Copyright Announcement

1.本網站之數位內容為國立政治大學所收錄之機構典藏，無償提供學術研究與公眾教育等公益性使用，惟仍請適度，合理使用本網站之內容，以尊重著作權人之權益。商業上之利用，則請先取得著作權人之授權。
The digital content of this website is part of National Chengchi University Institutional Repository. It provides free access to academic research and public education for non-commercial use. Please utilize it in a proper and reasonable manner and respect the rights of copyright owners. For commercial use, please obtain authorization from the copyright owner in advance.

2.本網站之製作，已盡力防止侵害著作權人之權益，如仍發現本網站之數位內容有侵害著作權人權益情事者，請權利人通知本網站維護人員(nccur@nccu.edu.tw)，維護人員將立即採取移除該數位著作等補救措施。
NCCU Institutional Repository is made to protect the interests of copyright owners. If you believe that any material on the website infringes copyright, please contact our staff(nccur@nccu.edu.tw). We will remove the work from the repository and investigate your claim.

Loading...