Reference: | 參考文獻 一、中文部分 1.陸民仁,“當前經濟思潮”,政大公企中心演講稿,民國七十一年十月二十三日。 2.陳師孟,“理性預期模型中的價格僵固性與貨幣中立性”,台大經研所經濟論文叢刊第十一輯,民國七十二年五月,頁133~148。 3.黃宗煌,“淺談理性預期及其應用”,台灣經濟研究月刊,第六卷第八期,民國七十二年八月。 4.吳嘉隆,“理性預期模型與貨幣政策”,企銀季刊,第六卷第一期,民國七十一年七月。 5.包佈訓,“理性的預期和總體經濟模型之探討--台灣實證研究”,政大碩士論文,民國七十一年。 6.陳麗霞,“時變係數迴歸模式之探討”,政大碩士論文,民國七十一年。 二、英文部分 7. Abrams, R. K. , R. T. Froyen, and R.N. Waud, “ The Variability of Output-Inflation Tradeoff,” JEDC 5, 1983, 151~171. 8. Alberro, J. , The Lucas Hypothesis on the Phillips Curve: Further International Evidence,” JME 7, 1981, 239~250. 9. Arak, M. ,“ Some International Evidence on Output-Inflation Tradeoff: Comment,” AER, Sep. 1977, 728~730. 10. Asako, K, “Rational Expectations and the Effectiveness of Monetary Policy with Special Reference to the Barro-Fischer Model , ” JME 9 , 1982 , 99~107. 11. Barro, R. J., “ Rational Expectations and the Role of Monetary Policy,” JME 2, 1976. 12. Begg, D. K. H., The Rational Expectations Revolution in Macroeconomics : Theories & Evidence, 1982. 13. Benhabib, J., “ Adaptive Monetary Policy and Rational Expectations,” JET 23,1980 , 261~266. 14. Blanchard, O. J., “ Backwark and Forward Solutions for Economics with Rational Expectations,” AER 69 ,1979 , 114~118. 15._________, and C. M. Kahn, “ The Solution of Linear Difference Models under Rational Expectations, ” Econometrica Vol. 48, No. 5, July 1980, 1304~1311. 16. Brunner, K., A. Cukierman, and A. H. Meltzer, “ Money and Economic Activity, Inventory and Business Cycle,” JME 11, 1983, 281~319. 17. Bull, C. and R. Frydman, “The Derivation and Interpretation of the Lucas Supply Function,” JMCB, Feb. 1983, 82~95. 18. Burmeister, E., R. P. Flood, and P. M. Garber, “On the Equivalence of Solutions in Rational Expectations Models,” JEDC, 1983, 311~321. 19. Chun-Yan Wang, “ A Supplement to Reduced Forms of Rational Expectations Models,” Economic Essays, Vol. XI, May, 1983, 211~217. 20. Collard, D. A., “ Pigou on Expectations and Cycle,” EJ. June 1983, 411~413. 21. Cukierman, A., “ The Relationship between Relative Prices and the General Price Level : A suggested interpretation,” AER, June 1979, Vol. 69, No. 3 ,444~447. 22.__________, “ Rational Expectations and the Role of Monetary Policy : A Generalization,” JME5 ,1979, 213~229. 23.__________ , and P. Wachtel, “ Differential Inflationary Expectations and the Variability of the Rate of Inflation : Theory and Evidence, ” AER, Sep. 1979, 595~609. 24.__________, “ Inflationary Expectations : Reply and Further Thoughts on Inflation Uncertainty,” AER, Vol. 72, No. 3, 508~511. 25. Fischer, S., Long-Term Contracts, Rational Expectations, and the Optimal Money Supply Rule,” JPE, Vol. 85, No. 1, 1977. 26. Fischer, S., Rational Expectations and the Economic Policy, 1980. 27. Froyen, R. T. and R. B. Waud, “ Further International Evidence on Output-Inflation Tradeoffs;” AER, June 1980, 409~421. 28. Granger, C. W. J. and P. Newbold, Forecasting Economic Time Series, 1977. 29. Judge, Hill, Griffiths, Lutkepohl, and Lee, Introduction to the Theory and Practice of Econometrics 1982. 30. Lawrence, C. , “ Rational Expectations, Supply Shocks and the Stability of the Inflation-Output Tradeoff : some time series evidence for the united Kingdom 1957~1977,” JME 11, 1983, 225~245. 31. Lucas, R. E. “ Some International Evidence on Output-Inflation Tradeoffs,” AER, Vol .63, No. 3, 1973, 326~334 32. ________, “ An Equilibrium Model of the Business Cyle ” JPE, Vol. 83, No. 6, 1975, 1113~1144. 33.________ , “ Some International Evidence on Output -Inflation Tradeoffs; Reply,” AER, Sep. 1977, 731. 34._________ , “ Understanding Business Cycles,” JME, Vol. 5, Sep. 1977, 7~29. 35._________, “Methods and Problems in Business Cycle Theory,” JMCB, Vol. 12, No. 4, 1980, 699~715. 36. ________ , and L. A. Rapping, “Real Wages, Employment and Inflation,” JPE, Oct. 1969, 721~754. 37. McCallum, B. T. and J. K. Whitaker, “The Effectiveness of Fiscal Feedback Rules and Automatic Stabilizers under Rational Expectations,” JME 5, 1979, 171~186. 38. Mcnees, S .K. ,“ The “Rationality” of Economic Forecasts,” AER, May 1978, 301~305. 39. Mitchell, D. W. and H. E. Taylor, “ Inflationary Expectations :Comment,” AER, Vol. 72, No. 3, 1982, 502~507. 40. Nelson, C. R., “ Adjustment Lags Versus Information Lags,” JMCB, Vol. 13, No. 1, Feb 1981, 1~11. 41. Parks, R.W., “ Inflation and Relative Price Variability,” JPE, Vol. 86, No. 1, 1978, 79~95. 42. Patrick Minford and David Peel, “The Microfoundations of the phillips Curve with Rational Expectations,” The Microfoundations of the phillips Curve with Rational Expectations.” OEP. No. 5. 1982, 449~451. 43. Pesando, J. E., A Note on the Rationality of the Livingston Price Expectations,” J P E, Vol. 83, No. 4, 1975, 849~858. 44. Sargent, T. J , Macroeconomic Theory, 1979. 45. ________and N. Wallace, “ Rational Expectations, the Optimal Monetary Instrument, and the Optimal Money Supply Rule, ”JPE, 1975. 46. Sijben, J., Rational Expectations and Monetary Policy, 1980. 47. Sims, C. A. “ IS There a Monetary Business Cycle ? AER, May 1983, Vol. 73, No. 2, 228~233. 48. Swamy, P. A. V. B. and J. S. Mehta, “ Bayesian and Non -Bayesian Analysis of Switching Regressions and of Random Coefficient Regression Models,” JASA, Vol. 70, Sep. 1975. 49. Waldo, D. G, “ Rational Expectations and the Role of counter-Cyclical Monetary Policy,” JME 10, 1982, , 101~109. 50. Vining, D. R. and T. C. Elwertowski, “The Relationship between Relative Prices and the General Price Level,” AER, Vol. 66, No. 4, Sep. 1976, 699~798. |